JuiceManSports NFL Week 5 (19-8 ytd +16.8Units)

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  • payingthejuice
    Restricted User
    • 04-02-09
    • 2075

    #1
    JuiceManSports NFL Week 5 (19-8 ytd +16.8Units)
    2009 Season Record 19-8 +16.8Units

    N.E. Patriots -3.5 vs Denver Broncos
    Patriots are a CONTENDER and have rebounded from their shakey starts in the first couple of weeks, and are looking like the Patriots we are used to seeing. While on the flip-side, the Broncos are PRETENDERS. The Broncos have given up only 26 points in 4 games, but look at who those 4 games were against. Browns, Raiders, Bengals and the Cowboys. Their offense is also suspect, as all of those games have been close, with the exception of the Raiders game. Now if this game was in week 1 to open the season, the Patriots would have been a -7.5 all the way up to a -9.5 favorite. The Patriots are a playoff team again this year, and they know how to win. The Broncos are a new fresh team and are about to be brought back to what kind of team they really are, This is one game that you need to jump on early to get the best line, but it shouldnt matter in this blowout. Patriots 38 Broncos 17

    Ind Colts -3.5 vs Tenn Titans
    The Colts are a CONTENDER, as they are looking to go on a 5-0 start this year, and also beat a division rival on Prime Time TV. Manning and company are going to come out firing, and scoring, then scoring some more. The Colts are a team everyone is overlooking this year, there isnt much hype or talk, which is great for us on the betting side. The Titans are a PRETENDER this year. They are going to try and not start the season in an 0-5 position, but in my opinion, they have mentally already given up this year, and it shows with how they played last week vs the Jaguars. Last year the Titans did win a Monday Night Game, but when it really mattered in the playoffs, Manning and company shoed them how to get it done. Ill easily lay -3.5 on Manning vs a weak pass defense that let the Jaguars (yes the Jaguars) run up the score on the Titans. Easy money here, Manning in the spotlight on a televised game, with great recievers all around him. Expect another shutout here, maybe the Titans get a field goal. Colts 31 Titans 3

    Pitt Steelers -10 vs Detriot Lions
    The Steelers are a CONTENDER, and they proved it last Sunday night vs the Chargers. They came out firing, found their rythm, and even found a secret weapon in Rashard Mendenhall. The Steelers will still be without Troy Palamalu this week, but do they really need them playing against the Lions? Now the Lions are a PRETENDER, they were last year, and the year before... Its getting old. They havent done anything to change their ways, except finally getting a win this year againts the Washington Redskins. The Lions dont have a good pass rush, and they dont have any real run stoppers. This game is going to be a fantasy football players dream if you have any starters on the Steelers offense. They get it done, and Mendenhall has another 150+yd day, Roethlisberger also should close in on 300yds and 2-3 TD's. Steelers 41 Lions 13

    NY Jets -1.5 vs Miami Dolphins (MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL)
    The Jets are a CONTENDER this year, and they have proven it in my eyes. They were off to a great 3-0 start, and then they met up with the Saints in week 4. Sanchez is a rookie, and it was due to catch up to him against a team he was playing against on the road. Now on the other side of the ball, the Dolphins are a PRETENDER. Pennington is out, and they are starting Chad Henne ... Say that again with me... Henne. The Dolphins are going to try and control the ball and the clock the entire game, which they have been successful at doing for the most part of the year. They really havent faced a defense that will be able to force many "3 and outs" on them. This week the Jets defense shows up pumped, and ready to get over the loss they had last week in New Orleans. Look for the Dolphins to not have much ball control and amass many 1st downs. Jets roll easy. NY Jets 27 Miami Dolphins 13
  • bypp
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-05-08
    • 664

    #2
    Agree with each pick! Best of luck to ya
    Comment
    • JimmyJet
      SBR High Roller
      • 06-27-09
      • 126

      #3
      Very good writeups. I agree also with each pick...good luck!
      Comment
      • Deceptive
        SBR Rookie
        • 10-15-07
        • 40

        #4
        Yeah right

        Let me guess you do not lay real money, your write ups are a joke, just opinions based on what no facts, no numbers, not even simple stats, it is obvious with the predicted scores, nobody who really bets predicts scores, just state a cover of the spread or not.
        MIAMI WILL COVER, DENVER WILL COVER, AND TENN. WILL COVER based on defense, rush yds allowed, time of pos. and yds per point differential. and if you want the numbers do the research and you might actually learn something about betting..
        Comment
        • TheIntegrityKid
          SBR MVP
          • 06-08-09
          • 3063

          #5
          gl this season ptj!


          Comment
          • BGboothA
            SBR MVP
            • 08-07-08
            • 4202

            #6
            I am on each of these games too Juice
            Comment
            • Bogart45
              SBR Sharp
              • 11-21-08
              • 379

              #7
              Originally posted by Deceptive
              Let me guess you do not lay real money, your write ups are a joke, just opinions based on what no facts, no numbers, not even simple stats, it is obvious with the predicted scores, nobody who really bets predicts scores, just state a cover of the spread or not.
              MIAMI WILL COVER, DENVER WILL COVER, AND TENN. WILL COVER based on defense, rush yds allowed, time of pos. and yds per point differential. and if you want the numbers do the research and you might actually learn something about betting..
              What's wrong with him having some opinions? So what? Even though his blowout predictions in every game may look silly, this is how he makes his picks. So who cares? The fact of the matter is that most games are in the 60/40 category, meaning there is a 60% chance one team will cover and 40% chance the other team will cover and your insistance that Mia, Den, and Ten WILL COVER makes you look equally as rediculous as you think you are trying to make payingthejuice look.

              I like Pit and Ind as well, but I think the scores will be much closer to the lines than your predictions. Just to piss deceptive off, here my score predictions...

              Pit 31 Det 17
              Ind 28 Ten 16
              Comment
              • payingthejuice
                Restricted User
                • 04-02-09
                • 2075

                #8
                Originally posted by Deceptive
                Let me guess you do not lay real money, your write ups are a joke, just opinions based on what no facts, no numbers, not even simple stats, it is obvious with the predicted scores, nobody who really bets predicts scores, just state a cover of the spread or not.
                MIAMI WILL COVER, DENVER WILL COVER, AND TENN. WILL COVER based on defense, rush yds allowed, time of pos. and yds per point differential. and if you want the numbers do the research and you might actually learn something about betting..

                Sorry if my post offended you in some way, but I do lay real money on games, do it practically every day in every sport. Guess thats why those who use just Stats And Trends tend to only hit 55% or better over the course of gambling. The way I do it I use many different angles, and dont focus heavily on just stas and trends. Guess thats why I usually hit 60% or better year after year ... I must be doing something right
                Comment
                • Smogs
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-31-08
                  • 4173

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Deceptive
                  Let me guess you do not lay real money, your write ups are a joke, just opinions based on what no facts, no numbers, not even simple stats, it is obvious with the predicted scores, nobody who really bets predicts scores, just state a cover of the spread or not.
                  MIAMI WILL COVER, DENVER WILL COVER, AND TENN. WILL COVER based on defense, rush yds allowed, time of pos. and yds per point differential. and if you want the numbers do the research and you might actually learn something about betting..
                  What a prick, 33 posts and he thinks he can see the future, what a friggin loser
                  Comment
                  • TheCommish
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-23-09
                    • 1013

                    #10
                    I like your opinions... and agree 100% with each of your picks.

                    GL this weekend
                    Comment
                    • Timmay
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-09-08
                      • 1301

                      #11
                      Ouch! I disagree with all your picks.
                      Comment
                      • hornet0202
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 10-09-08
                        • 57

                        #12
                        Scary, because we all seem to agree with his picks. Making me second guess myself.
                        Comment
                        • TheIntegrityKid
                          SBR MVP
                          • 06-08-09
                          • 3063

                          #13
                          ptj made some sweet baseball picks...

                          may he continue to do so in foots....


                          Comment
                          • artist
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 09-30-09
                            • 673

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Deceptive
                            Let me guess you do not lay real money, your write ups are a joke, just opinions based on what no facts, no numbers, not even simple stats, it is obvious with the predicted scores, nobody who really bets predicts scores, just state a cover of the spread or not.
                            MIAMI WILL COVER, DENVER WILL COVER, AND TENN. WILL COVER based on defense, rush yds allowed, time of pos. and yds per point differential. and if you want the numbers do the research and you might actually learn something about betting..
                            So your saying these 3 team will cover??? Hahaha your a loser
                            Comment
                            • duke4s907
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 10-07-09
                              • 11

                              #15
                              For what its worth!

                              I for one enjoyed reading your picks. It was very well written. I strongly agree with each and everyone of them. So much so, I have parlayed them all. I don't agree with your scores. New England is in Denver, you have to consider elevation and that the weather predicts rain, wind and snow.

                              Odds makers are very nervous about the Tenn. and Titans game. This is not going to affect Manning and company. Your going to have to bull dog rush Manning of any hope in staying in the game. Manning will cut them apart like a skilled surgeon.

                              My advice: Parlay, Parlay, Parlay. Baby needs a new pair of shoes!!!!
                              Comment
                              • MexicanStallion
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 09-08-08
                                • 20429

                                #16
                                Excellent start to the NFL season. Good luck PTJ.
                                Comment
                                • TheIntegrityKid
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 06-08-09
                                  • 3063

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by duke4s907
                                  I for one enjoyed reading your picks. It was very well written. I strongly agree with each and everyone of them. So much so, I have parlayed them all. I don't agree with your scores. New England is in Denver, you have to consider elevation and that the weather predicts rain, wind and snow.

                                  Odds makers are very nervous about the Tenn. and Titans game. This is not going to affect Manning and company. Your going to have to bull dog rush Manning of any hope in staying in the game. Manning will cut them apart like a skilled surgeon.

                                  My advice: Parlay, Parlay, Parlay. Baby needs a new pair of shoes!!!!

                                  parlay!


                                  Comment
                                  • Mikail
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 07-19-09
                                    • 21689

                                    #18
                                    Solid card there PTJ. You will in all probability be in the + this weekend!
                                    Comment
                                    • Caliente
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 10-10-09
                                      • 5

                                      #19
                                      This is my first post here, Hi to all.

                                      I have parleyed your opinions/predictions as well as the U/O on wednesday 10/07/09 at 6pm pacific time.

                                      Your opinions/predictions and writeups are as my thinking, and enjoyed reading them, thanks.


                                      GLTA
                                      Comment
                                      • payingthejuice
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 04-02-09
                                        • 2075

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Caliente
                                        This is my first post here, Hi to all.

                                        I have parleyed your opinions/predictions as well as the U/O on wednesday 10/07/09 at 6pm pacific time.

                                        Your opinions/predictions and writeups are as my thinking, and enjoyed reading them, thanks.


                                        GLTA
                                        your welcome
                                        Comment
                                        • madworld
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 08-08-08
                                          • 251

                                          #21
                                          I agree with all your picks also, but believe you will go 3-1 so I wouldn't parlay them. I believe that either Pitt or Colts don't cover. I agree with the Broncos being a pretender, and I also agree that New England looked like the New England of old last week vs the Ravens. I think this game will not be very close, and by the end of the 3rd quarter the Pats will have it wrapped up. I also believe that the Jets should cover without a problem. This Jets defense did outstanding in New Orleans last week, and although they lost I thought they still showed that they are a top teir team in the AFC. Miami is a great team, but dont have near the offense that New Orleans has. I expect a low scoring game here, but Jets should win by atleast 3 pts.
                                          The reason I think that the Colts might lose is they are catching Tenn. at a bad time. This is a must win for Tenn. if they lose this game they can kiss the playoffs goodbye. Also, they are playing at home and have played Indi very well the past couple years at home. I could see Tenn edging this one out.
                                          I don't think that Pitt will lose there game this week, although it could be a game where the spread is not covered. I watched the Bears vs Lions last week, and saw something in the Lion's offense that I haven't seen in a long time. A QB who is not affraid to stand in the pocket and throw the ball. The main problem is they have no running game to slow the pace of the game down and grind the defense down. If the Lions want a shot at this game, they have to run the ball better. Can they do this? Doubtful! But in their defense Pitt has looked awful on the road.
                                          Anyways good luck to you! I hope you do go 4-0 as I am not betting against any of those plays, and will be on 3 (to scared to pull the trigger on the Colts).
                                          Comment
                                          • Checkerboard
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 05-15-06
                                            • 7799

                                            #22
                                            I think the public gets smashed today, which means the public probably won't get smashed today, which means I like your picks ptj, bol this aft!
                                            Comment
                                            • Deceptive
                                              SBR Rookie
                                              • 10-15-07
                                              • 40

                                              #23
                                              After Monday night i will be 2-1, what are you guys a bunch of fags defending someone who obviously cant pick, really ? he writes up paragraphs that amount to nothing.

                                              P.S. dumbass who said i made the same predictions read the post i said the teams that i like will cover, i said nothing about the score my fault for posting with douchbags really but i will take my 2-1 and 2-0 in college keep going with guys who lay monopoly money
                                              Comment
                                              • 19th Hole
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 03-22-09
                                                • 18959

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Deceptive
                                                After Monday night i will be 2-1, what are you guys a bunch of fags defending someone who obviously cant pick, really ? he writes up paragraphs that amount to nothing.

                                                P.S. dumbass who said i made the same predictions read the post i said the teams that i like will cover, i said nothing about the score my fault for posting with douchbags really but i will take my 2-1 and 2-0 in college keep going with guys who lay monopoly money
                                                ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
                                                How to win friends and influence people.
                                                Comment
                                                • Deceptive
                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                  • 10-15-07
                                                  • 40

                                                  #25
                                                  Well even with the gay ass refs on the jets balls miami not only covers but wins 2-1 like i said, nice paragraphs yeah right and whoever defended him and took his picks well what can i say i hope you used monopoly money....
                                                  Comment
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