NFL Week 5 Plays and Leans - With Adjusted Capping

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  • Robust
    SBR MVP
    • 09-13-08
    • 3254

    #1
    NFL Week 5 Plays and Leans - With Adjusted Capping
    Adjusted my caping style since I went from 9-1 to 4-7 in 4 weeks.. lol

    I think I figured out why my picks were doing progressively worse, and based on that info, I re-thought the picks for this week.

    Don't be surprised if you like them. And see any teams missing? LOL

    Plays:
    Min -9.5
    Oak +16
    Ind -3.5
    NYJ -1

    Leans (Most likely Plays(75% chance):
    WAS +3.5
    HOU +5.5
    Dal -9
    Den +3

    Teasers are TBA (prolly 6.5, 4-teamers).
    They will probably include Dal, TB, NYG, BAL AND CIN (lol, but do the math and see why!), Det, Hou, and MIA

    Yes, the teasers seem to have alot of candidates, but again.. do the math on the current spreads..

    Did I pick well? Am I headed for a disaster? lemme know!

    Robust
  • Robust
    SBR MVP
    • 09-13-08
    • 3254

    #2
    After some days capping, I have made and locked in my plays for the week!

    Hou +5 and ML
    Was +4
    Oak +14.5 (got burned by waiting)
    Bal -9

    and totals (oh my!):
    Cin/Bal Over 42
    Hou/Ari Under 50.5

    and the teasers:
    Dal-2.5
    Bal -2.5
    TB +21
    Oak +21

    Dal-2.5
    Cin +15.5
    TB +21
    Oak +21

    Indy and Jets didn;'t make the cut.. there is something strange about those lines so I decided to pass on them.

    Leans:
    Min -9.5
    Jax +1
    Ind -3.5
    NYJ -1
    Pit -10.5

    note: teasers do not count towards my official record. they are for fun

    good luck to ALL!!

    Robust
    Comment
    • Robust
      SBR MVP
      • 09-13-08
      • 3254

      #3
      adding a Lean:

      TB +14.5

      adding it cuz I keep track of my leans (and have been doing better than plays.. lol)

      Robust
      Comment
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