Would you take GB -3.5 +300 tonight Please read before you start screaming

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  • DMB40
    SBR MVP
    • 04-04-09
    • 1258

    #1
    Would you take GB -3.5 +300 tonight Please read before you start screaming
    I have a A few teasers with min +6

    thinking of taking gb -3.5 +300

    If gb won by 4 or 5 i would cash both bets

    GB wins by 6 or more and I break even for the weekend

    If min wins plus 6 then i have a small profit,



    Any advice

  • dbldown
    SBR MVP
    • 12-09-08
    • 1055

    #2
    I've done this many times. Depending on the amount of money you stand to win on your teaser straight up, I would take half that amount and put it on the Packers if that is the last win you need.

    You guarantee yourself money, and a chance at the sweet spot of cashing both.
    Comment
    • angelodebo
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 12-04-08
      • 671

      #3
      I love Green Bay tonight! Why?

      Law of averages. Favorites went 8-5 this weekend. Thats 61% of the games came out for the favorite. Most likely an underdog will cover tonight.

      Plus...Everyone is all over the Vikings 62%--which has the line at 5 now.

      This game is going to be won by a field goal at the end of the 4th qtr. I think the Vikings D is overrated. If the 49ers can score on them...so can Green Bay!
      Comment
      • yisman
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 09-01-08
        • 75682

        #4
        I'd rather take them -3.
        [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
        [/quote]

        [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
        Comment
        • DMB40
          SBR MVP
          • 04-04-09
          • 1258

          #5
          Originally posted by yisman
          I'd rather take them -3.

          5dimes doesnt have a line on that or i cant find it
          Comment
          • yisman
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 09-01-08
            • 75682

            #6
            on 5dimes.com, I don't even see an alternate line with GB favored.

            what they're showing me are variations from +3 to +6
            [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
            [/quote]

            [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
            Comment
            • DMB40
              SBR MVP
              • 04-04-09
              • 1258

              #7
              Originally posted by yisman
              on 5dimes.com, I don't even see an alternate line with GB favored.

              what they're showing me are variations from +3 to +6

              you got to go to props half way down the page
              Comment
              • topgame85
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-30-08
                • 12325

                #8
                I have alternate lines at betjam and took Minnesota -10.5 +205
                Comment
                • PorkChop
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-18-08
                  • 8193

                  #9
                  I would LOVE green bay - 3.

                  I hate that half point.
                  Comment
                  • yisman
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 09-01-08
                    • 75682

                    #10
                    Originally posted by DMB40
                    you got to go to props half way down the page
                    I see. Thanks.

                    Originally posted by topgame85
                    I have alternate lines at betjam and took Minnesota -10.5 +205
                    Now there's a bet I don't like.
                    [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                    [/quote]

                    [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                    Comment
                    • topgame85
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-30-08
                      • 12325

                      #11
                      green Bay is not in the same league as the vikings only way this game stays close is if the "favre rivalry" thing makes Green Bay play 10x what they usually do Minnesota 31 Green Bay 14 final
                      Comment
                      • SportsTerminator
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-18-09
                        • 5179

                        #12
                        Originally posted by topgame85
                        I have alternate lines at betjam and took Minnesota -10.5 +205
                        Wow gutsy.
                        Bet To Win
                        Comment
                        • bruceBRUCEbruce
                          SBR MVP
                          • 06-20-09
                          • 2560

                          #13
                          Originally posted by angelodebo
                          Law of averages. Favorites went 8-5 this weekend. Thats 61% of the games came out for the favorite. Most likely an underdog will cover tonight.
                          Comment
                          • keyboarding
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 07-30-09
                            • 6817

                            #14
                            Originally posted by angelodebo
                            I love Green Bay tonight! Why?

                            Law of averages. Favorites went 8-5 this weekend. Thats 61% of the games came out for the favorite. Most likely an underdog will cover tonight.

                            Plus...Everyone is all over the Vikings 62%--which has the line at 5 now.

                            This game is going to be won by a field goal at the end of the 4th qtr. I think the Vikings D is overrated. If the 49ers can score on them...so can Green Bay!
                            Comment
                            • crackerjack
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-01-06
                              • 3366

                              #15
                              Originally posted by angelodebo
                              I love Green Bay tonight! Why?

                              Law of averages. Favorites went 8-5 this weekend. Thats 61% of the games came out for the favorite. Most likely an underdog will cover tonight.
                              This is the perhaps one of the dumbest things I've read on these forums.

                              Should point out the home teams covered in all but two games...
                              Comment
                              • nick2060
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-28-08
                                • 1051

                                #16
                                I like the packers tonight, and jumped on the -3.5, hopefully it doesn't come down to a field goal. My reasoning is such:

                                1. Pack veterans played against this guy everyday in practice, and Al harris has played against him since kingdom come. Now this might give Bret a bit of an edge as well, but I think the pack will benefit more from the familiarity.

                                2. Vikings so far have faced Matt stafford, Brady quinn, and Shaun hill. This is their first real test defensively, and I think they'll fail. Here are Rogers numbers in his first 2 games against the vikes:
                                Aaron Rodgers 18/22 178 1TD 0INT
                                Aaron Rodgers 15/26 142 0TD 0INT

                                Nothing really standout there but no picks is a plus.

                                3. Peterson had 2 pretty nice games against the packers and with their defensive performances against the run in the past 2 games you should probably expect peterson to have success. This point basically boils down to, if the pack can limit peterson to under 110 yards, I believe they'll win this game.

                                Misc points:
                                Will Blackmon has a punt return for a touchdown in each of his games last year against the vikings, let's cross our fingers for tonight. Vikings really have bad special teams and have already given up 2 special teams touchdowns in 3 games this year.

                                Anyways this game can really go anyway, I just have a feeling the pack are the way to go, even if they win i have a feeling that half point is gonna break my balls.
                                Comment
                                • Mac4Lyfe
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-04-09
                                  • 48437

                                  #17
                                  I would think Favre would have the advantage knowing what plays GB like to run in certain situations. With his experience, I'd think he'd be a huge plus for the Vikings defensive preparation if anything.
                                  Comment
                                  • daggerkobe
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-25-08
                                    • 10744

                                    #18
                                    Minn +6 is SAFE.

                                    Don't waste any money on GB.
                                    Comment
                                    • yisman
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 09-01-08
                                      • 75682

                                      #19
                                      Minnesota wins by 7, so that -10.5 bet does not hit.
                                      [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                      [/quote]

                                      [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                      Comment
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