my NFL week 4 ticket

RageWizard · 10-03-09, 08:59 AM

I don't like the first parlay with Denver covering against Dallas. Denver got really lucky against the Bungles, then beat up on some teams that really suck. I think they get hammered at home and brought back down to reality. Then the Jesters will stay instride with N.O. they won't win, but they can stay within a touchdown of the saints.

I do like the second parlay with the totals. I may switch out the Bal @ N.E total with the G.B @ Min (OVR 45.5) total. It will be raining in chowda land, and I think everyone will be conservative for the first quarter before they get things rolling. Both N.E and Balt will be looking to run the ball first, and when that doesn't work, they will start to throw, and each team will be looking to run out the clock right from the get go.

Cris_from_Europe · 10-03-09, 09:46 AM

Thanks for the advice, my picks are based on what I red on this forum but mostly what I red over at walterfootball.com. The play regarding the DEN vs DAL game and MIA vs BUF are his strongest plays (5 Units each) and from what I saw his doesn't miss these kind of plays. I hope that NO will cover taking advantage of home field and also Drew Brees will act cool when NYJ will blitz him. (he did pretty good against the blitz of Philadelphia). As for the Titans, well, I think its about time for them to win and hopefully Chris Johnson will have a "monstrous game" like Walter says.
All in all I will give it some thought and maybe combine the two tickets into a solid one of 4 plays with a 50$ bet to win 557$

delijaworld · 10-03-09, 12:38 PM

Hi Bettors

Hope that we have a successful betting weekend...don't forget to check some of the best betting strategy before then you make decision to invest more funds on betting industry...don't lean just on luck...

New York Jets +260-(The Giants hope to get Canty, Ross and Dockery back soon, but none of them have played this season.)

Jacksonville Jaguars +130-(Jacksonville is looking to end its struggles against Tennessee
by riding the momentum of its first win of 2009 and first in five games against AFC South rivals.)

P.s. Good betting...

RageWizard · 10-03-09, 02:01 PM

Originally posted by delijaworld

Hi Bettors

Hope that we have a successful betting weekend...don't forget to check some of the best betting strategy before then you make decision to invest more funds on betting industry...don't lean just on luck...

New York Jets +260-(The Giants hope to get Canty, Ross and Dockery back soon, but none of them have played this season.)

Jacksonville Jaguars +130-(Jacksonville is looking to end its struggles against Tennessee
by riding the momentum of its first win of 2009 and first in five games against AFC South rivals.)

P.s. Good betting...

What does this have to do with the Jesters?

If this dude on some website has the Den and Mia as his best bets, then I have questions.

I can see Miami beating the Buffalo Bills, with just their running game and protecting Chad Henne, but I can't really see Denver even competing with Dallas unless tony Homo has several interceptions and maybe a couple of fumbles. Dallas is the best rushing team in the land, and the passing game isn't that bad either. Denver has a really good statistical defense, but that is what I think it is, stats. The first game against the Bungles was fortunate because the bungles are pretty decent this year, but right out of the gate, they just looked like they didn't have their offense in regular season mode. Then denver beat up on the Clowns who really suck, and the Raiders who blew their wad in the opener, and barely hung on against Kansas City.

If denver is to beat the Cowboys (who I totally hate by the way), I think that they will have to play allot better than they have against lesser teams.

RageWizard · 10-03-09, 02:06 PM

Of course with all the crap that I have been spewing from my computer this afternoon. I guess I should show you my spreadsheet for the year. Keep in mind that I work on the fade my own plays system. So this weekend, I am actually taking Denver against the boys, but I really like Dallas to cover. Every game you see here on the spreadsheet, I have actually bet the other way. In reality though, I did my best and picked these games, but I know that I pick losers more than I pick winners so I fade my own picks. It has worked so far until last week when I did well picking game and poorly betting games.

BustedPretext · 10-03-09, 03:50 PM

I don't like the Under in Cin/Cle.

Carson Palmer has yet to have a really good game and I'm sure if Marvin gets the chance he'll let Palmer put the ball up a bit more than usual late in the game. I also think the switch to Derrick Anderson shoots that game to an Over. He is much more willing to force the ball than Quinn was and that's gonna lead to more points.

Maybe I just can't shake the last time Carson and DA battled in Cleveland they went for about 100 points...

(96 with a quick check).