When a team at home is FAVES by -3 BANG THE VISITING TEAM.
Tonights Play:
Colts +3 10 Units
SmackdownV
SBR Hall of Famer
04-14-09
5918
#2
I'm telling you right now:
There is equal action on both sides of this game.
-3 Is 95% a TRAP LINE.
BANG THE COLTS AND THANK ME LATER.
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CashIn
SBR Sharp
03-10-09
482
#3
ill take ya word buddy. what do u feel about: game u49, 1q u24, colts u23, arizona u25.5
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SmackdownV
SBR Hall of Famer
04-14-09
5918
#4
I'm still on the fence on the over.
Indy's performance vs. Miami was not normal..........they run clock and take time down the field. Manning RUNS THE CLOCK DOWN TO 5 or BELOW every snap while calling audibles.
I'm only BANGING the COLTS +3 and will make a play at halftime depending on the game.
I see INDY WINNING THIS ONE 34-20.
But I'll wait till halftime to make another play on this one.
Right now it's 10 units on the Colts +3
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smack3179
SBR Sharp
09-18-09
317
#5
even with as banged up as the colts are?
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Hells Kitchen
SBR Sharp
02-11-09
383
#6
Colonel sanders being oot really decimates indies already weak D.
Zona will put up 30!
Can indy put up 27? That is thee qvestion
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Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#7
Originally posted by SmackdownV
When a team at home is FAVES by -3 BANG THE VISITING TEAM.
Tonights Play:
Colts +3 10 Units
what is the line opens at 3, and closes at 3.5.
or what if the line opens at 4.5, and closes at 3.
or what if 5 books have 3, and 4 have 3.5?
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Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#8
along these lines, i like to take a deep look at the dog when getting 5.
such an odd number.
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alzor
SBR High Roller
11-27-08
120
#9
On the Colts as well, good luck Smackdown!
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RobbReport
SBR MVP
09-22-09
2042
#10
remember, they made it to the superbowl last year, it will get brung up all night. home team looks good here to me.
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TWG1992
SBR Sharp
08-22-09
492
#11
Not buying the whole trap talks. We'll know more going into the 2nd half.
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BTTNext
SBR Sharp
04-06-09
355
#12
SMACK hit us up with a 2h play!
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Mybologne
SBR Posting Legend
09-20-09
13507
#13
ov24 2h
GL......................
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KingKing
SBR Sharp
01-29-09
408
#14
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chrisharvard01
Restricted User
10-24-08
2943
#15
nice work buddy
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SmackdownV
SBR Hall of Famer
04-14-09
5918
#16
Had a GREAT day.
Sorry fellas on that 2nd half pick.
That line was 100% fixed.
You would have to be a fool not to know that Vegas had a hand in that going under.
Ouch..................
But again..........any time you see a line with the home team faves by -3.............that should be an AUTO BET for the visitor.............In college or the pros.
GOOD Day no doubt..........
I'll post for MNF! (I might only play the OVER in the cowboys game)...................
8.5 is a TRAP LINE as well......
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Mybologne
SBR Posting Legend
09-20-09
13507
#17
very nice smack............
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RobbReport
SBR MVP
09-22-09
2042
#18
Originally posted by RobbReport
remember, they made it to the superbowl last year, it will get brung up all night. home team looks good here to me.
glad i realized how wrong i was quick and hedged!
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KingKing
SBR Sharp
01-29-09
408
#19
keep it up! thanks for the insights!! bol...
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Vincepcion
SBR Wise Guy
02-07-09
834
#20
nice pick
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MarkHammond
Restricted User
12-12-08
247
#21
didnt work for the titans
jets were -3 at home and won
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darkenergy
SBR MVP
01-08-09
4013
#22
Originally posted by SmackdownV
Had a GREAT day.
Sorry fellas on that 2nd half pick.
That line was 100% fixed.
You would have to be a fool not to know that Vegas had a hand in that going under.
Ouch..................
But again..........any time you see a line with the home team faves by -3.............that should be an AUTO BET for the visitor.............In college or the pros.
GOOD Day no doubt..........
I'll post for MNF! (I might only play the OVER in the cowboys game)...................
8.5 is a TRAP LINE as well......
Do you have track record for these bets smackdown? Friend of my told me exactly the same thing in week one of college...and on that day, Standford and Air Force fit into the criteria, but they both losses. Hummm....interesting you brought this up again.
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SmackdownV
SBR Hall of Famer
04-14-09
5918
#23
Dark......
Usually for a National TV game where the home team is faves by -3........the "Squares" think to themselves........"They are only favored by 3.......at home.............Hell Yeah! I'll take that bet". Rubbing the hands together.........thinking it's EASY cash..........
Then BAM....Wham.....Boom.........Vegas comes in and takes that candy bar from them.
Not on EVERY game..........Just high profile ones where it's on TV.
The same formula holds true for NCAA BB as well.
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rezkoness69
SBR High Roller
02-16-09
249
#24
vegas has been getting their asses kicked this season though.
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L2Gunz
SBR MVP
09-23-08
2199
#25
smack...any thoughts on tonights game????
keep up the excellent work
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SmackdownV
SBR Hall of Famer
04-14-09
5918
#26
L2........
I am going to post that play in a little bit. The only thing I am struggling with right now is that Romo has no reason to choke tonight and Carolina NEEDS this one BAD..........but so do the Cowgirls.
The Cowgirls should be flat tonight and Carolina MUST have this one. Add in that there is equal action on both sides again, which tells me the Dog is the bet here.
I'm seeing a 31-24 or 31-28 win here for the Girls..........but must do more work on this bet........
Monday is the day people get KILLED (Chasing Sat-Sun) so I am extra capping this one so that does not happen to us.
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ASH0479
SBR Sharp
02-24-09
491
#27
Originally posted by SmackdownV
Dark......
Usually for a National TV game where the home team is faves by -3........the "Squares" think to themselves........"They are only favored by 3.......at home.............Hell Yeah! I'll take that bet". Rubbing the hands together.........thinking it's EASY cash..........
Then BAM....Wham.....Boom.........Vegas comes in and takes that candy bar from them.
Not on EVERY game..........Just high profile ones where it's on TV.
The same formula holds true for NCAA BB as well.
Play the same strategy....but I wait right til gametime and if it stays at 3, I am all over the road team
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ASH0479
SBR Sharp
02-24-09
491
#28
Originally posted by Hells Kitchen
Colonel sanders being oot really decimates indies already weak D.
Zona will put up 30!
Can indy put up 27? That is thee qvestion
Indy is built to face teams like the Cards, pass happy team where the quick d line can rush the passer.....not so good against the run though...but Zona being a one dimensional team feeds right into what the Colts want to do
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CashIn
SBR Sharp
03-10-09
482
#29
Originally posted by SmackdownV
L2........
I am going to post that play in a little bit. The only thing I am struggling with right now is that Romo has no reason to choke tonight and Carolina NEEDS this one BAD..........but so do the Cowgirls.
The Cowgirls should be flat tonight and Carolina MUST have this one. Add in that there is equal action on both sides again, which tells me the Dog is the bet here.
I'm seeing a 31-24 or 31-28 win here for the Girls..........but must do more work on this bet........
Monday is the day people get KILLED (Chasing Sat-Sun) so I am extra capping this one so that does not happen to us.
Homo has ALL the reason to choke. hes gotta win this one or face 0-2 at the new stadium. hes like heating up glass. CRACKS UNDER PRESSURE.
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CashIn
SBR Sharp
03-10-09
482
#30
oh and did i mention its MNF
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SmackdownV
SBR Hall of Famer
04-14-09
5918
#31
Both teams need this one so badly.............Just waiting for positive line movement before I make my play.
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darkenergy
SBR MVP
01-08-09
4013
#32
Originally posted by SmackdownV
Dark...... Usually for a National TV game where the home team is faves by -3........the "Squares" think to themselves........"They are only favored by 3.......at home.............Hell Yeah! I'll take that bet". Rubbing the hands together.........thinking it's EASY cash.......... Then BAM....Wham.....Boom.........Vegas comes in and takes that candy bar from them. Not on EVERY game..........Just high profile ones where it's on TV. The same formula holds true for NCAA BB as well.
Originally posted by ASH0479
Play the same strategy....but I wait right til gametime and if it stays at 3, I am all over the road team
Thanks smack to clarify about ONLY prime time games. Because current line has Packer +3.
Do you agreed with ASH0479 about waiting for about the game time to be sure the line stay the same?
Thanks