Solid TOTAL trend for week 3

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  • taxman
    SBR High Roller
    • 09-11-07
    • 182

    #1
    Solid TOTAL trend for week 3
    play OVER any team where total is between 35.5 and 42 points off an upset win over a divisonal rival as a home underdog against oppt off a home loss 29-8 since 1997 78.4%

    Statfox.com
  • taxman
    SBR High Roller
    • 09-11-07
    • 182

    #2
    Originally posted by taxman
    play OVER any team where total is between 35.5 and 42 points off an upset win over a divisonal rival as a home underdog against oppt off a home loss 29-8 since 1997 78.4%

    Statfox.com

    Jets/Tenn OVER the play
    Comment
    • Smogs
      SBR MVP
      • 12-31-08
      • 4173

      #3
      Thanks for that, it is a very low total at 37
      Comment
      • Limey
        SBR Sharp
        • 09-18-09
        • 382

        #4
        Stats like that are interesting. I can't for the life of me think of a logical reason why that should be a winning trend, but thanks for highlighting it.
        Comment
        • dimon
          SBR MVP
          • 08-14-09
          • 1159

          #5
          That's a good numbers, I personally like TN win outright
          Comment
          • SR
            SBR MVP
            • 09-10-08
            • 1317

            #6
            Originally posted by Smogs
            Thanks for that, it is a very low total at 37
            I like the idea, but in reality this one scares me.

            Tennessee plays good d against a good Pittsburgh team.

            Tennessee plays HORRIBLE d against an OK Houston team.

            .....what comes next...my intuition says they bounce back to their normal strong defense against the rookie qb?

            However...Tenneesee appears able to put up points this year which would could help validate the over. I'm thinking a 21-17 type game but that's a guess. Too close to the spread for me as it stands in my head.

            Tennesee plays horrible d against an decent Jets team
            Comment
            • taxman
              SBR High Roller
              • 09-11-07
              • 182

              #7
              Don't ask me why this trend is hitting at over 75%...sometimes the trend is your friend...Tenn needs this one badly to or fall to 0-3...
              Comment
              • BGboothA
                SBR MVP
                • 08-07-08
                • 4202

                #8
                hmmmm...Thanks
                Comment
                • bombCanada
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 08-19-09
                  • 965

                  #9
                  Originally posted by taxman
                  play OVER any team where total is between 35.5 and 42 points off an upset win over a divisonal rival as a home underdog against oppt off a home loss 29-8 since 1997 78.4% Statfox.com
                  Try and figure that one out without an aneurysm. Curve fitting all the way. Simple systems are better... bet over any line under 37, bet under any line over 51. put them in teasers it's even better.

                  Good luck.
                  Comment
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