Atlanta/Carolina goes way over??

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  • Smogs
    SBR MVP
    • 12-31-08
    • 4173

    #1
    Atlanta/Carolina goes way over??
    I think this goes way way over the 43 points total.
    Atlanta scored 19 on a generally very good Miami defence. Admittedly Miami did turn the ball over a lot (4 times).
    Then on the other side you have a turnover machine in Delhomme. But if the guy gets his head straight he has the offence to get some serious yardage down. He generally throws for roughly 270-290 yards but relies very much on the rush side for TD's.

    This game finished 45-28 last year and with Tony Gonzalez looking good offensively, this could be a very good over bet in a shootout
  • Glitch
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-08-09
    • 11795

    #2
    atlantas defense looked real serious last week. and matty ice missed a few td passes he shoulda made. a lotta the eagles' points last week against the panthers were off turnovers...there were a lot.

    soo....maybe...? probably not
    Comment
    • wal66
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 10-14-08
      • 5305

      #3
      Just to put this out there. Jake Delomme's last two regular games, that's last week's game and the playoff game last year against Arizona is 24 completions, 1 touchdown and 9 ( that's NINE ) interceptions. So Carolina is struggling but they do still play good defense although not as good as in previous years.

      Not saying the over isn't the play just pointing out something about why it deserves to be closely evaluated.

      I guess you could look at it though as if Delomme continues to turn the ball over it will put Atlanta in more scoring oppertunities.
      Comment
      • username474
        SBR Sharp
        • 01-09-09
        • 480

        #4
        If you put a gun to my head and made me decide I would have to say under 43. I just finished watching Atl vs Mia and think Atl run defense looked for real .Atl will spend most of the time with 8 in the box and keep their safties shallow and make Delhomme beat them. They will basically be able to keep the same defensive sceme as last week, which they had weeks to prepare for. Fox is going to keep things simple this week ,if Delhomme throws the ball more them 15 times I will be shocked. Carolina's D had to play against their own QB and the Phi offense and a punt return and still only gave up 34 points last week. It could definitely go over I just think it will be right around 43. 24-17 , 27-13, 30-16 . Charles Johnson and Chris Harris are both questionable this week and that would help the over. But it's just to close for me to have an opinion.
        Comment
        • ZBOIZ
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 06-22-08
          • 21464

          #5
          Atlanta should be a solid play
          Comment
          • rezkoness69
            SBR High Roller
            • 02-16-09
            • 249

            #6
            I would say under myself. I think this one will be a slow, grind it out game. Carolina will try to establish the run with williams and stewart early and often, while Atlanta will surely give Turner every chance in the world to start his 2009 season.
            Comment
            • Smogs
              SBR MVP
              • 12-31-08
              • 4173

              #7
              Thanks for the info, i have already played the over on my thread tho but i'm not worried. i think that like Username said, it will be around the total mark. I know how sharp the linesmakers are and this could go one of two ways (what a great cliche lol)

              I didn't think of this before but the under looks so easy that maybe the over will be the play just to make sure the books make money. That's getting rather technical but i still like the over
              Comment
              • Limey
                SBR Sharp
                • 09-18-09
                • 382

                #8
                I hate to disagree with a fellow Brit, but I'd be highly wary of the over here. Atlanta didn't get it in the endzone enough last week despite starting several drives with good field position. They also missed two gettable field goals, which combined with a missed EP suggests the kicking game has some serious early-season glitches. On top of that, I'm not sure this is over-likely to be a shoot-out given DelHomme's woes last week - Carolina will surely play more of a clock game.

                Still, 43 points isn't all that much and it only takes a big play or two to set a game up to go over that. Good luck!
                Comment
                • Smogs
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-31-08
                  • 4173

                  #9
                  Had me worried in the 1st quarter but a nice over hit there
                  Comment
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