MNF Week 1 Plays and Leans

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  • Robust
    SBR MVP
    • 09-13-08
    • 3254

    #1
    MNF Week 1 Plays and Leans
    Bills/Pats:

    I cannot for the life of me lay down up to 13 points on an unproven Pats team in week one of the NFL..

    and conversely, I cannot take up to 13 points on a bad bills team in week one. I need time to see them play and bet for or against them in future weeks.

    what I do love is the total. The public is predicting a blowout... at 47.5, if the bills suck as most say, what happens if they don't score? do the patriots get 50+ by themselves? nahhh... And if the bills show up to play, can they hold the pats to fewer scores? this one has me stumped.. a few good or "lucky" plays and the score stays under...

    I do know that betting against the public is more lucrative than betting with them.

    Lean Bills +13 (currently at 12.5)
    Bills/Pats UNDER 47.5

    SD/Oakland:

    I jumped on the chargers earlier, but still got -9.5.. not a great number considering the line started at -7.. I cannot see Oakland keeping this game close by any means... but being home might get them a bit pumped up like TB yesterday... If oakland plays hard, they have a chance to cover (I still don't agree with you VD.. lol), but as a team, I can't see them playing all 4 quaters..

    SD might even be down at the end of the 1st Half, but the raiders give up in the second and SD scores enough to cover.. but not enough to go over 43.

    SD -9.5 (-10 now in most places)
    SD/Oak UNDER 43 (42.5 now)

    and remember my disclaimer.. I do well on sides and SUCK at totals.. went 2-2 on totals yesterday, but was 9-0 on plays and 6-0 on leans for the sides through week 1.

    good luck to ALL!

    Robust
  • Robust
    SBR MVP
    • 09-13-08
    • 3254

    #2
    0-1 on plays, 1-0 on leans..

    i gotta cut out these totals bets.. lol

    Robust
    Comment
    • Robust
      SBR MVP
      • 09-13-08
      • 3254

      #3
      wow !! massive collapse for monday night..

      0-3 on plays and 1-0 on leans.. sheesh!!

      total for the week..
      9-4 plays
      7-1 leans..

      all loses 'cept for one were totals.. lol..

      Robust
      Comment
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