season long picks newbie

Kek13 · 09-20-09, 10:06 AM

pretty bad last week 1-3, going to put more effort in my picks this week we shall see what happens
Early games
Cincy +9 3/5 confidence at GB
Cin has a very good defense and proved it last week, before the stupid 87 yd td that they gave up there at the end of the game denver had a total of 215 off yds, kyle orton and the denver offense which was pretty bad, constantly had 3 and outs, while the cin off was moving the ball but kept shooting themselves in the foot, with either a ochocinco holding penalty or off pass interference, Carson Palmer throwing an interception, coles dropping passes, and the fg team fumbling the snap to take an early lead. Cincy turned the ball over 3 times (not counting the last interception by palmer) made too many mental mistakes and still should of won the game. The offense for Cincy has the ability to be so good, Benson seems to be able to run the ball, if Palmer can just get back from missing all those games last year to way he can play with coles, henry and ochocinco. Now GB they played a chicago team that turned the ball over alot and they should of lossed the game, alot of those int's by cutler were forced passes that should of never been thrown, although cutler was pressured alot and this could be one of the factors that could hurt Cin alot, alot has been said about barbe gbs right tackle, but cin rt isnt anything special either, he'll be having to go against kampman, but this game to me comes down to the fact i cant give 9 pts to a team that can explode and has the d to keep the game close, and GB mite be missing the left side of the line Clifton is out and so mite the lg, with the addition of Bigby gone.

Car +6 3/5 confidence at Atl: When carolina took an early 7-0 lead on philly i was feeling so good about my pick, home underdog playing the eagles who didnt look good at all during the regular season, but then Delhomme started throwing the ball over and over to the wrong team, but lets take a look at how that game got outta hand, car up 7-0, delhomme throws int, philly moves the ball 1 yd gets fg, 7-3, delhomme fumbles, 10-7, desaun jackson pr td 17-7, delhomme int philly moves the ball 9yds and scores td 24-7, so at 24-7 philly has almost no offense and there up 17, by this point the morale of the team is gone. Car is gonna win games running the ball an when u go down 24-7 early u gotta play catch up. Atlanta last week beat miami, im a huge miami fan and let me tell you everytime they moved the ball in that game they would turn the ball over, the turnovers are what lead to the majority of atls points, but this game comes down to the fact carolina has to go out a prove something def delhomme, your giving 6 pts to a team that was embarrassed last week, i still think carolina is a good team, and a lot of people think there overrated but i see carolina winning straight up this week and if they dont i will bet against them every week from now on.

NE -3.5 3/5 confidence at NYJ: Idk if its cause i think NE is gonna be as good as they were in 07 that i just see this game getting outta hand, all week the Jets have talked a lot of crap, I like how NE played last week, it was just one of those games were NE came out flat the media had been talking about all week how bad buf was going to be this year, dikta said ne mite put 80 on them it really was just one of those games. Now jerrod mayo is out for this game so that does worry me a little, but NYJ are getting a lot of hype cuz of the houston came last week, and i watched that whole game Houston looked terrible there offense looked outta sync and on the defense side of the ball sanchez had time and found guys running around wide open all game. I just see a more insync NE and Sanchez thats not goin to play as good as he did last week, but again i constantly picked against the falcons last year cuz of ryan so idk i have a thing against rookie qbs. Wes Welker is out too, but still going with NE

Hou +7 2/5 confidence least favorite at Tenn: Everyone is so down on Houston cause they looked pretty crappy last week, but kubiak is gonna have to have his team show up cuz his job is on the hot seat, houston is suppose to be the team that everyone picks to be the surprise but they keep disappointing every year, but ill go with them again in this situation, i think the offense with all the weapons shows up and a good defense of effort.

Philly+2.5 4/5 confidence favorite game: Philly at home with an injured mcnabb, kolb worries me, but look at the injury list for NO they got a lot of them, as a whole philly's team is a lot better then NO and everyone thinks this offense will do what they did to det to the rest of the league. Philly should be fine, look at the fill in qbs for this team in the past Jeff Garcia, was amazing, A.J Feely was amazing, he looked so good miami (my team) would give up a 2nd rd pick, so the offense in my opinion is designed for the qb to suceed kinda like a spread in college. Also everyones on NO and this is one of those instances where the starting qb is out and everyone puts there bankroll on the the other team and they lose it, reminds me of when yao ming was out against the lakers in the playoffs, it always happens.

Kek13 · 09-20-09, 11:04 AM

KC-2.5 vs Oak 2/5: I like this game to kc had some good offense last week against a tough bal team, if there d that was pretty good last year shows up they should be in ok shape, also if kc bal woulda been on monday nite like the oak raiders were i think the public would be all over kc rite now, oak against sd primetime game was asking for an upset, but this should be a tight game and i think kc wins by a fg.