NFL Week 1 Plays and Leans

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  • Robust
    SBR MVP
    • 09-13-08
    • 3254

    #1
    NFL Week 1 Plays and Leans
    Started great with Tenn +6.5 and Under 35. Lets see if I can make a little more $$.

    only the BOLD picks are plays. All 1 unit ($5) unless stated otherwise.

    Atlanta -4
    Bal -13 (waiting for a 12.5 before committing)
    Phi -2.5
    Den +4.5
    Min -3.5
    NYJets +4 (considering ML +185)
    NYJets/Hou Over 43.5 - 3 Units
    Jax +7
    Det/NO U49
    Dallas -4.5 - 3 Units
    SF +6 (waiting for 7, 5 dimes has it now, but no account)
    Was/NYG Over 37
    Sea/St Louis Under 40.5
    GB -4
    Chi/GB Under 46.5

    Considering this 3-team teaser (6 pt)
    Phi +3.5
    Sea -2
    NYG -.5
    thoughts?

    will post changes (if any) before kickoff times.. Bal is a PLAY even at -13, so it is bolded now in case i don't get the 12.5, 13 it is . also mondays picks will be up monday afternoon..

    also wanted to make a 3-team parlay. What looks good from the bold selections? I am thinking Dal/Jets O43.5/Atl -4.. thoughts?

    Disclaimer - Last season I did very well picking sides, but sucked at totals.. treading lightly, but if you follow a total, you have been warned

    good luck to ALL!

    Robust
  • woody78
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-18-08
    • 502

    #2
    I'm with you on Baltimore, Minny and Dallas. Not a big fan of that teaser pick. If you're gooona do that you may as well add a 4th teams and really move the line, maybe throw the WAS/NYG over in there. Just my thoughts.
    Comment
    • Robust
      SBR MVP
      • 09-13-08
      • 3254

      #3
      decided against the teaser and parlay.. all early games in bold locked in..

      BOL to ALL!!

      lets do this!!

      Robust
      Comment
      • D33pPockets
        SBR Rookie
        • 09-10-09
        • 27

        #4
        Love the Dal, Min, and Bal. picks GL
        Comment
        • Robust
          SBR MVP
          • 09-13-08
          • 3254

          #5
          Originally posted by Robust
          Atlanta -4 - WIN
          Bal -13 (waiting for a 12.5 before committing) - WIN
          Phi -2.5
          Den +4.5
          Min -3.5 - WIN
          NYJets +4 (considering ML +185) -WIN (shoulda taken the damn ML!!)
          NYJets/Hou Over 43.5 - 3 Units - LOSS (told ya about the totals )
          Jax +7
          Det/NO U49
          Dallas -4.5 - 3 Units - WIN
          SF +6 (waiting for 7, 5 dimes has it now, but no account)
          Was/NYG Over 37
          Sea/St Louis Under 40.5
          GB -4
          Chi/GB Under 46.5
          NYG Total killed my Dallas win, but no biggie.. wins are wins!

          5-1 today.. 7-1 so far this week!

          Robust
          Comment
          • PacmanJr_00
            SBR High Roller
            • 09-10-09
            • 221

            #6
            great day indeed. i screwed with the totals as and loss a parlay but only on a .25 play..it was fun anyway..

            bol on the rest..i'll be waiting on the NE game tonight to finish my day.
            Comment
            • Robust
              SBR MVP
              • 09-13-08
              • 3254

              #7
              just noticed all my side leans hit so far..
              and my other total got killed.. LOL!!!!!

              hind sight is 20-20.. lol.. next time i might just chuck the totals and bet the sides..

              Robust
              Comment
              • PacmanJr_00
                SBR High Roller
                • 09-10-09
                • 221

                #8
                totals and parlays are something this newb needs to get over..
                Comment
                • Robust
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-13-08
                  • 3254

                  #9
                  Originally posted by PacmanJr_00
                  totals and parlays are something this newb needs to get over..
                  i am no newbie, but i just can't pass up totals.. need at least one.. and i rarely win them.. lol.. was like 30% last season..

                  but yeah.. I am a big fan of the parlays myself.. look above.. the nyg total woulda killed it..

                  Robust
                  Comment
                  • Robust
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-13-08
                    • 3254

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Robust
                    Atlanta -4 - WIN
                    Bal -13 (waiting for a 12.5 before committing) - WIN
                    Phi -2.5 - woulda won
                    Den +4.5 - woulda won
                    Min -3.5 - WIN
                    NYJets +4 (considering ML +185) -WIN (shoulda taken the damn ML!!)
                    NYJets/Hou Over 43.5 - 3 Units - LOSS (told ya about the totals )
                    Jax +7 - woulda won
                    Det/NO U49 - woulda lost
                    Dallas -4.5 - 3 Units - WIN
                    SF +6 (waiting for 7, 5 dimes has it now, but no account) - Looking GREAT!
                    Was/NYG Over 37 - WIN
                    Sea/St Louis Under 40.5 - WIN
                    GB -4
                    Chi/GB Under 46.5
                    9-1.. lol..

                    now itching to make a play on GB!.. lol

                    Robust
                    Comment
                    • Robust
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-13-08
                      • 3254

                      #11
                      no play on GB.. no need to chase on a winning day or mess it up with last sec plays..

                      I am gonna enjoy the game and the $$!!!

                      good luck to all on the Sunday Night game!!

                      Robust
                      Comment
                      • Robust
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-13-08
                        • 3254

                        #12
                        OMFG!!!

                        Originally posted by Robust
                        Atlanta -4 - WIN
                        Bal -13 (waiting for a 12.5 before committing) - WIN
                        Phi -2.5 - woulda won
                        Den +4.5 - woulda won
                        Min -3.5 - WIN
                        NYJets +4 (considering ML +185) -WIN (shoulda taken the damn ML!!)
                        NYJets/Hou Over 43.5 - 3 Units - LOSS (told ya about the totals )
                        Jax +7 - woulda won
                        Det/NO U49 - woulda lost
                        Dallas -4.5 - 3 Units - WIN
                        SF +6 (waiting for 7, 5 dimes has it now, but no account) - woulda won
                        Was/NYG Over 37 - WIN
                        Sea/St Louis Under 40.5 - WIN
                        GB -4 - woulda won
                        Chi/GB Under 46.5 - woulda won
                        7-1 on plays and 6-1 on leans.. both loses being totals.. fvck me! shoulda gone nuts on the books.. lol

                        hope someone tailed these! don't think i can have a better day! LOL

                        on to monday.. will have them up by tommorrow afternoon.

                        Robust
                        Comment
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