NFL system 75.5 % wins

[OldBill]

system Fade every favored playoff team week 1

EXAMPLE Eagles were in SB fade em week 1 especially if thier home opener

results 2004 -2014

cards sb loser 08 wk 1 09 -5 vs rival 49ers s/u loss 16-20 .....1-0

falcons 08 in po in 09 week 1 -4 won vs mia 19-7 1-1

2010 in po's 2011 -1.5 @ bears lost s/u 12-30 2--1

Ravens 08 in po's - 15.5 wk 1 vs KC no cver 37--24 3-1

2010 in po's 2011 -1 vs pitts win 35-7 3--2

Panthers 05 in po's 06 vs Falcons -5 s/u loss 6-20 4-2
08 in po's 09 vs eagles -2.5 s/u loss 10-38 5--2

Cowboys in po's 09 2010 -3.5 @ Wash s/u loss 7--13 6-2

Broncos in po's 04 05 -5 @ mia s/u loss 10-34 7-2
in po's 05 ---06 @ st lou -3.5 s/u loss 10--18 8--2

2011 in po's 2012 -2.5 vs pits Won 31-19 8--3

2013 sb loser 2014 vs colts - 9.5 no cover 31-24 9--3

Packers in po's 07 --08 -2.5 mnf vs vikes won 24-19 9-4

Jaguars in po's 07***08 -3 @ Titans s/u loss 10-17 10--4

CHIEFS in po's 2010 2011 -4 vs Bills s/u Loss 7-41 11-4

in po's 2013 2014 vs titans -4 s/u loss 10-26 12--4

VIKINGS in po's 2004 --2005 -6 vs Bucs s/u loss 13--24 ---13--4
in po's 08 09 - 4 @ browns Won 34-20 13--5
2012 in po's 2013 -3.5 @ lions s/u loss 24-34 14--5

Patriots in po's 06 --07 -6 vs jets Win 30-14 14--6

07 lost sb to giants 08 -16 vs chiefs no cover 17-10 15--6

09 in po's 2010 -5 vs bengals won 38-24 15--7

2012 in po's 2013 -10 vs Bills no cover 23-21 16--7

2013 in po's 2014 - 5 @ mia s/u loss 20-33 17-7 71% wow

Saints in sb 2009 2010 - 6 vs Vikies no cover 14--9 18--7

2011 in po's 2012 -8 vs wash s/u loss 32-40 19--7

2013 in po's 2014 -3 @ Atl s/u loss 34-37 20-7

JETS in po's 2009 2010 - 1 mnf vs Ravens s/u L 9-10 21-7

Eagles 04 sb loser 05 -1 mnf @ Falcons s/u loss 10--14 22--7

06 in po's 07 -3 @ GB s/u loss 13-16 23-7

08 in po's 09-2.5 @ car won 38-10 23--8

09 in po's 2010 -3 vs pack s/u loss 20--27 24--8

Steelers in po's 04 05 - 7 vs Titans Won 34-7 24--9

07 in po's 08 -7 vs texans Won 38-17 24--10

08 w sb no cover -7 09 vs titans -6.5 no cover 13-10 25-10

Rams in po's 04--05 -7 @ 49ers s/u loss 25-28 26--10 NOTE only team in NFL to never cash a ticket in 6 superbowls 0--5--1

Chargers in po's 04 05 -4.5 vs Cowboys s/u loss 24-28 27-10

06 in po's 07 -7 vs bears W 14-3 27-11

07 in po's 08 -9 vs panthers s/u loss24-26 28-11

08 in po's 09 mnf -10.5 @ Raider no cover 24-20 29--11

09 in po's 2010 mnf @ KC -4 pts s/u loss 14-21 30--11

49ers sb loer in 2012 -6.5 2013 vs GB no cover 33-28 ///31-11

Seahawks SB loser in 05 06 -6 @ lions no cover 9-6 32--11

07 in po's 08 -1.5 @ Bills s/u loss 10-34 33-11

2012 in po's 2013 -3 @ panthers won 12-7 33-12

Bucs in po's 05 06 - 3 vs Ravens season over 27-0 s/u loss and 0-3 start 34--12

07 in po's 08 -3 @ saints s/u loss 20-24 35-12

and last but not least

WASH. 05 in po's 06 -4.5 mnf vs vikes s/u loss 16--19 36-12

2012 in po's 2013 mnf -3.5 vs Eagles s/u loss 27-33 37-12
thats a bookie busting 75.5% @ 1000 per game win $40,700.00 LOSE - 13,200 net $27500 over 11 years + $2500 per year

[OldBill]

updating from 2015 --- 2019

ok above finals was 37 wins 12 losses

now add these

cardinals in po's 2015 wk 1 - 9 vs pats s/u loss 38-12

Falcons SB losers 2016 2017 wk 1 -7.5 @ bears no cover 23-17 39--12
2017 in po's 2018 -1 @ philly s/u loss 12-18 tnf 40-12

Ravens in po's 2018 2019 - 7 @ mia won 59-10 40--13 but they gave it all back wk 2 home -13.5 23-17

panthers sb losers vs denv 2015 n wk 1 tnf @ denver -3 s/u loss 20-21 41-13 baby

2017 in po's 2018 wk 1 -3 vs c boys no cover 18-16 42--13

Bears in po's 2018 --- 2019 wk 1 tnf at GB - 3 s/u loss 3-10 43-13 now

Bengals in po's 2015 wk 1 -1.5 @ Jets no cover 23-22 lol 44-13

cowboys in po's 2016 ...2017 wk 1 -6 vs NYG won 19-3 44-14

2018 in po's 2019 vs NYG -7 won 35-17 44-15 now

Packers in po's 2015 wk 1 - 5.5 @ jags L $ 27-23 45-15
2016 in po's 2017 vs seat -2.5 W 17-9 45-16 now

Texans in po's 2015 2016 - 6 vs bears W 23-14 45-17

2016 in po's -5 wk 1 2017 s/u loss vs jags 7-29 46-17

Jags in po's 2017 wk 1 2018 -3 @ NYG W 20-15 46-18

Chiefffffssssssssssss in po's 2015 ---2016 wk 1 -7.5 vs chargers L $ 47--18

in po's 2018 ---2019 @ Jags -3.5 W 40-26 47--19

La Chragers in po's 2018 --2019 -7.5 vs colts L $ 30-24 48--19

La Rams in po's 2017 2018 mnf - 6 @ Raiders W 48-20

2018 in po's 2019 -3.5 @ car L $ 30-27 49-20

Vikings in po' s 2015 --2016 -2.5 @ tenn W 25-16 49-21

2017 in po's 2018 -7.5 vs SF L $ 23-18 50--21


Patriots in po's SB losers 2017 ---2018 -7.5 vs teaxns L$ 27-20 51-21


Saints in po's 2017 ....2018 -10 vs bucs s/u loss 40-48 52--21


Pitts in po's 2015 ---2016 -2.5 MNF @ Wash W 38-16 52-22

2016 in po's 2017 - 9.5 @ clevel L $ 21-18 53---22

2017 in po's - 3 wk 1 2018 @ browns tied 21-21 54--22 i had steelers and they were winning 21-0

• Seattle in po's 2015 wk 1 vs Mia -10.5 L $ 12-10 55-22
  
  in po's 2018 wk 1 VS Cincy 2019 -9.5 L $ 21-20 56--22
  
  Titans in po's 2017 2018 -1 @ Miami s/u Loss 20-27 57-22
  
  72% WINS W $62,700.00 LOST -24,200 NET PROFIT $38,500.00 divided by 15 years = $2567.00 per year in your pocket
  
  
  
  

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[Enkhbat]

I feel like a system is very high variance in the NFL given the small sample size.

What is the basis for you system?

[OldBill]

I feel like a system is very high variance in the NFL given the small sample size.

What is the basis for you system?

i use the marc lawrence play book and this system i traced back 15 years so the proof is there

so our playoff teams from 2022 ws Eagles Jaguars Cowboys Tampa Bay 49ers seat bills dolphins bengals ravens bucs giants

not the def champs chiefs they were sb champs so if any of these teams are favored in week 1 fade em

[VeggieDog]

Following.

[OldBill]

ya veggie dog it's simple no handicapping needed

[CJ]

Assuming this all boils down to which QB has the bigger package? Or is a smaller one more motivating?


Edit: oh this actually is really simple, interesting!

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Billy, where is 2020/2021??

[OldBill]

Billy, where is 2020/2021??

dont have those results covers stopped showing the full seasons so when i get the marc lawrence playbook i will update

[ChuckyTheGoat]

dont have those results covers stopped showing the full seasons so when i get the marc lawrence playbook i will update

OK. Thanks, Billy.

[GunShard]

If you like the favorite Chiefs on week 1. Bet now at -6.5 by September that line could go up to -8.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

If you like the favorite Chiefs on week 1. Bet now at -6.5 by September that line could go up to -8.

Maybe. But people are pretty warm to the Lions.

Some will view the Lions as a live dog catching points. Not sure that line rises, might fall.