LOOK at this

OldBill · 02-10-22, 03:44 PM

FROM SPORTS REPORTER
SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 13
SUPER BOWL 56
Sofi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
RECOMMENDED
CINCINNATI over *LA RAMS by 5

This is probably the weakest home-field advantage of any big-game home
team in the history of sports. You’ve watched and heard enough Chargers
and Rams home games to know what we’re talking about, right? But we
digress, and will digress a bit more. We are tired of being against Cincinnati
and not winning. This forecast may be biased in that regard. After the first
two playoff rounds, we tried to blame Cincinnati’s wins on the other team
beating itself. You could say that the Chiefs beat themselves in the AFC
Championship Game, given that nobody has seen a QB lose it that quickly
and for so long a stretch in a game as Patrick Mahomes did. As the number
of games on game-day have gotten fewer and fewer, we’ve managed to get
backed into a corner by a darned live Bengal tiger, with one of two options
for a successful escape: We say, either, 1) ‘Well, the Chiefs, like Tennessee

and Las Vegas, beat themselves. Cincinnati didn’t really win that game, ei-
ther.’ We blame it on the other team for the third straight time, and go against

Cincinnati because surely the Rams can’t be a fourth straight foe that beats
itself playing against this team. Or, 2) ‘If ya’ can’t beat ‘em, join ‘em.’

SUPER BOWL
RAMS/BENGALS from POINT WISE

Bengals vs KC this year: 28-14 & 21-3 halftime
deficits, but 20-3 & 24-3 2nd half edges. Mahomes in 2nd half of last week's
title match: 8-of-18, 55 yds, & 2 interceptions. Cincinnati's 21-3 deficit set up
the largest comeback in Conference Championship history, tying the '06
Colts. Kansas City failed to become the 4th team to reach the Super Bowl for
the 3rd straight season. Burrow in his last 6 starts: 72.7%, 328.3 ypg, 9.1
yds per pass. Has there ever been a more exciting season? All 4 Divisional
Games decided by FGs on the final play, and again during the Championship
affairs. No lead is safe. As noted above, that Ram defensive line vs the lacking
Bengal blocking unit could be overwhelming. However, Cincinnati seems to be
a study in the adjustment (KC games). This game has it all, including a pair of
quality leaders in Stafford & Burrow. We'll grab yet another Super Bowl dog.
PROPHECY: CINCINNATI 33 - Los Angeles Rams 30 RATING: 5

FROM GOLD SHEET

Cincy shares a lot of those characteris

cs, and we think the Bengals have the sort of cool Brady/Montana-like customer at the controls in Burrow to write the final chapter of this surprising

playoff novel. "Totals" note...the playoffs have mostly trended "under" as they have progressed and worth noti-
ng these two are a combined 5-1 that way in the postseason. With capable FG kickers both ways

(the aforemen

oned McPherson and Ma

Gay for the Rams), no surprise if these teams also end up settling for three points more than a few
times.

Play Cincinnati

and the Under.

FROM PLAYBOOK
• Teams with the lower win percentage are 11-4 SU and 14-1 ATS
in the last 15 Super Bowls (Bengals).

Super Bowl teams coming off a win as an underdog of more than
three points are 11-3-1 ATS since 1980 (Bengals). i think it's 3 points or more and as a DOG

NFC has controlled the last
36 Super Bowls, going 22-15 SU, and 21-14-2 ATS. However, the AFC
is 15-9 SU the last twenty-three games (the NFC was 13-0 SU from
1985 through 1997).

• The SU winner of the Super Bowl game is 47-6-2 ATS. Pick the
winner of the game and you’ll likely have a winning ticket. Good
luck with that.
Edge: Bengals

The 49ers did beat them selves by throwing a pic from on 5 yd line in 4th quarter Rams took knees wtf not me i kick a fg after running clock down or go in for final TD this is red flag for me teams like whew glad we got that INT

This game never should have been this close and Rams - 10 points in 4th quarter too ? vs a team that lost 4 games in a row in season and was on thier 4th and final road game because week 18 they Played away @ Rams

OldBill · 02-13-22, 01:21 AM

Bump

OldBill · 02-13-22, 01:24 AM

[IMG]outside but the Playbook Football Newsletter was RED HOT[/IMG]

budwiser · 02-13-22, 01:31 AM

Rams was one of the easiest super bowl calls i can remember

Either I'm right or I'll learn something

The bengals were outgained in every playoff game

As for trends unless it is 30+ generally it is statistically insignificant