I'm sticking to NFL as I figure out other models. This is an NFL Only thread as with work during the week and kids I just don't have the time either way so I'll let you guys figure out those until I have time...the holidays. Here I will post my lines, totals and compare the public play. Note I always play against the public. I rarely play 2nd Half play, team totals but note my information is only good for the game. If I play the 2nd H, I follow the same information subtracting the first half still following my numbers. For me, it's about betting value. Good Luck to all!
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How this helps you guys today
My Lines Books Original Book Final Public Spread Public Total NYJ 19.5 45.5 10.5 45 10 45.5 67% Jets 65% Over IND -19.5 -10.5 -10 CLE 1.5 48.5 3 47 2.5 47.5 62% CINCY 79% OVER CIN -1.5 -3 -2.5 DEN 7 46.5 9 49.5 10 49 81% DAL 59% OVER DAL -7 -9 -10 HOU 7 46.5 7 46 5.5 46.5 60% MIA 58% OVER MIA -7 -7 -5.5 ATL 13 47.5 6 42 6 41.5 53% NO 66% OVER NO -13 -6 -6 LVR -4 46.5 -3 47.5 -3 46.5 76% LVR 73% OVER NYG 4 3 3 NE 0 38.5 -3.5 41 -3.5 41.5 72% NE OVER 69% CAR 0 3.5 3.5 BUF -25 52.5 -14.5 48.5 -13 49 89% BUFF 69% OVER JAX 25 14.5 13 MIN 6 52.5 5.5 49.5 6 50 78% BALT 80% OVER BAL -6 -5.5 -6 LAC 0 49 -2.5 50 -1.5 49.5 82% LAC 74% OVER PHI 0 2.5 1.5 QB ch GB -2.5 61 0 56 7 48 50% 66% OVER KC 2.5 0 -7 QB ch ARI -8 46.5 -2.5 46 -2.5 46 51% SF 71% OVER SF 8 2.5 2.5 Comment -
A few notes:
*Beware on public action exceeding 75%. Even if my lines exceed book lines.
*QB changes on GB and ARI. I typically apply 4-6 points for a changes but the book over compensates for these. Due to that fact I l will probably play both GB and Arizona no matter who starts.
* The Green highlight is who I noted as a possible play before public action which I check until game start. Caution on Buffalo.Comment -
Shawn? Is that you? LolComment -
👍 what’s up MikeComment -
Tout Shawn 🤣🤣🤣Comment -
Early's
Den +10NO -6 Car +3.5 Over 41 NO vs ATL Comment -
Arizona, GB cover and eagle push. My biggest bet of the year on this game.Comment -
Time to start another threadComment -
5-2 on day. Gotta read the information and how I tell you to play.
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My line Books Public Spread Public Total 1 BAL -8.5 47.5 -7.5 46.5 61% 71% O MIA 8.5 7.5 U 2 ATL 8 55 9 55.5 64% 65% O DAL -8 -9 U 3 NO -2 51.5 3 44.5 78% O TEN 2 -3 68% U 4 JAX 18 51 10.5 47.5 55% O IND -18 -10.5 59% U 5 CLE 2.5 45.5 1.5 45 65% O NE -2.5 -1.5 54% U 6 BUF -25 47 -13 47.5 62% 72% O NYJ 25 13 U 7 DET 15.5 46 9 42.5 68% 65% O PIT -15.5 -9 U 8 TB -15 51.5 -10 51.5 66% 68% O WAS 15 10 U 9 CAR 13.5 40.5 10 44.5 65% O ARI -13.5 -10 69% U 10 MIN 2.5 55.5 2.5 51.5 O LAC -2.5 -2.5 67% U 11 PHI 2 42.5 2.5 44.5 O DEN -2 -2.5 U 12 SEA 5 50.5 3.5 50 O GB -5 -3.5 68% 55% U 13 KC -1 59 -2.5 51.5 O LVR 1 2.5 U 14 LAR -6.5 46.5 -4 49 O SF 6.5 4 U 15 16 Comment
