Hunsi NFL

[AKAHUNSI]

Have a model built and did well last year. Dont start until week 5 running numbers. Also check these against heavy public favorite. If public on team 75% or more and that team is showing to beat spreads ignore. If opposite hammer

CLE -0.5 47.5
DEN 0.5
WAS 12 49.5 8
GB -12
KC -2.5 70
TEN 2.5
ATL 1 47.5
MIA -1
NYJ 11.5 35
NE -11.5
CAR -5.5 40
NYG 5.5
CIN 11.5 44.5
BAL -11.5
PHI 3.5 50
LVR -3.5
DET 19.5 49.5
LAR -19.5
HOU 18 52.5
ARI -18
CHI 14.5 47.5
TB -14.5

[marco14]

Can you post the plays so I can get a better understanding?

[marco14]

I see Green Bay, Carolina and New England at over 75% right now.

[AKAHUNSI]

Miami is a decent play my line states outright win by 1 while books have Atlanta -3. I watch public action until 12:30pm so posting my lines. Look at KC over. GB has a lot of public money on it so doubt that one. If NE doesn’t get above 75% public I’d pay it.

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

Post your plays please thanks

[AKAHUNSI]

Will do. Around 12:30pm. I’m very selective

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

Awesome thanks

[AKAHUNSI]

First I look at major public play….I use pinnacle for public percentages. The public is on:

83% Carolina
My line:-5.5
Book: -3
Play: no play

86% over Cin/Balt
My line: 44.5
Book: 46
Play: play under 46

86 over KC / TN
My line: 70
Book: 57
Play: no play

78% over GB/WA
My line: 49.5
Book: 47.5
Play: no play

87% GB
My line: -12
Book: -9
Play: no play

So that leave the others when I have a gap.

Play:
Miami +2 (buy to +3) but don’t think you’ll need it.

Play
NE -7

Play TN +4

[marco14]

Are the plays equally strong or how would you rank them?

[AKAHUNSI]

Betting against public is the highest. However I Play all equal anyone telling one plsy is valued more than another isn’t successful long term in my opinion

[marco14]

Got it. Thank you.

[AKAHUNSI]

Houston +21 buy the point