The J-Dizzle NFL 2020/2021

[The J-Dizzle]

Last year was a disappointment after a brilliant year in 2018/2019. Thankfully the season was saved by a 50 dollar bet on Lamar Jackson at +8000.


I have two bets atm I want to get out there for week 1. Finally some football!


Week 1
Steelers-4.5 to win 2u
Seahawks-1.5 to win 2u

[The J-Dizzle]

Feature plays

Michael Thomas most receptions, 1u at 5.0 odds
Stafford over 4125 pass yards, 2u
LV Raiders under 7.5 wins, 2u
Bills to win AFC East, 1u at 5.0 odds

[The J-Dizzle]

Player prop week 1

Dallas Goedert over 34.5 rec yards, to win 1u

[The J-Dizzle]

MNF week 1 player props

Jerry Jeudy over 3.5 receptions at 2.20, risk 1u
Jonnu Smith over 27.5 rec yards at 1.83, to win 1u

adding
Eric Ebron over 28.5 rec yards at 1.83, to win 1u

[The J-Dizzle]

Great start to the season! I love week 1

ATS
2-0 +4 units

Player props
3-1 +2 units

Total 5-1, +6 units

[The J-Dizzle]

First play of week 2

Ravens-6.5 at 1.80 (bought a half point), to win 2units

[The J-Dizzle]

Adding to my Week 2 slate

New York Giants+5.5, to win 1u

Quick note: I think they have a good shot of winning this one SU. Bears only played one good quarter against the Lions.
I believe that the Giants offense is good enough to keep this one close, Jones was pressured on a league high 54% against the Steelers and still played fairly well. Steelers were also able to completely shut down their running game. Thing can't get worse against the Bears.
Giants D is atrocious and probably can't cover anyone but I think this line is too big after a miraculous comeback. If Jones keeps the INTs down they might take them down. Jones and the Giants had a 9 minute drive (against the mighty Steelers D) but finished it with a bad INT after another Dupree pressure. I don't expect another INT like the TJ Watt again. Giants played better than the final score suggested, and the reverse for the Bears.

Player prop
Jonathan Taylor over 16.5 rec yards at 1.83, to win 2u
Quick note: Taylor is the starter after Mack's injury. I still believe that Hines will get a good amount of touches, but Colts know one thing after week 1: Taylor is very dangerous getting the ball in his hand in the passing game, getting 6 catches for 67 yards. So they shouldn't feel scared to pass the ball to him after that display, rather the contrary.
In only a quarter and a half last week Mack got 3 catches for 30 yards. Rivers is the check down king and finds his RBs in the passing game like no-one else. Taylor could take this total with one reception (his longest catch was 35) but I believe that he will get at least 3 catches in this game with the amount that Mack got in so little time as the starter.

[Hman]

GL today JD

[The J-Dizzle]

GL today JD

Thanks Hman! Lots of juice today..

[The J-Dizzle]

Results week 2

Ravens-6.5 to win 2u
Giants+5.5 to win 1u
Taylor over 16.5 rec yards to win 2u

Total ATS
4-0, +7 units

Total Player props
3-2, -0.5 units

[The J-Dizzle]

Week 3 bets

Titans-2.5 at 1.90, to win 2u
Pats ML+Colts ML+Bucs ML at 2.15, risk 1u (square parlay of the week)

[The J-Dizzle]

Week 3 results
Titans loss This should have been an easy win if it wasn't for that totally unnecessary block in the back by Clowney while the Titans CB was about to do a walk-in pick six
Three team parlay win

Total week 3: -1,05u

NFL total: +5,45u

[The J-Dizzle]

Week 4

Bills-2.5 at 1.80 odds, to win 1u

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Week 4

Lions ML at 2.35 odds, risk 1u

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NFL Week 5

Browns ML at 1.90, to win 2u

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Tuesday Night Football

Bills-3 at 1.80 (early line), to win 2u

Looks like one heck of a square play but I like the difference in passing attacks. Titans get AJ Brown back but Corey Davis and Humphries is gone.
Bills WR core is intact with Josh Allen on fire. Titans D is allowing 422 pass/yards per game without actually facing any elite competition. I feel like the Bills can continue to put up yards on a Titans team that hasn't been training properly for a couple of weeks. We will truly see how much lack of training really affects a team. Both defenses has been pretty equal when looking at DVOA, but this is a season where defense doesn't look like it matters. I choose the more well rounded and more explosive passing attack with an MVP candidate.

I suspect Titans to run with Henry early and a lot, the under looks like a good play if that works.

[The J-Dizzle]

Teaser time!

Bills-4 + Niners+9.5 at 1.90, to win 1u

Get right week!

[The J-Dizzle]

MNF

Bears+6.5 at 1.90, to win 2u

[The J-Dizzle]

Teaser time!

Packers ML + Lions+10.5 at 1.90, to win 1u

Will update record after this week, promise...

[The J-Dizzle]

Ravens-6.5 to win 1u at 1.90

[Miguelon]

Who you got tonight ?

[The J-Dizzle]

NFL total +1.95 units.

Hopkins and Murray expects to start against the Rams without Goff and Kupp. Rams have possibly the worst backup QB situation.
Have to lay 2 units at Cards-3 at 1.95 here. Goff is doubtful so I will keep track of that injury and shut it down if he's expected to play.

Edit: Cardinals bet cancelled.

[The J-Dizzle]

Who you got tonight ?

Sry bro I've been inactive for a while

[The J-Dizzle]

Cardinals bet cancelled after Covid and injury news. This game could end 10-7.