Glad to see you guys are on the NFL from this early!
Thanks in advance for all your help and BOL!
Comment
cocknocker
Restricted User
11-06-08
8001
#37
Originally posted by PorkyPig
Can anyone advise me why I shouldn't take the Falcons ML @ +125 today?
Because the Lions will win that game. The best bet for that one is to just take the over and get the f*ck out of the way
Comment
SexyMit
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-06
6139
#38
Originally posted by SexyMit
Well boys and girls, we are at it again! CK and I are going to do a football page also. This is just for the preseason, I'm sure we will start another thread when the regular season starts.
We will be playing College and Nfl and will probably be posting both plays in one thread.
So here it goes:
CK'S 30th Street Plays
Thursday
Ravens -3 WIN New England +3.5 WIN
2-0
Friday
Vikings +1.5 Jets -3.5
Saturday
Chiefs -1 Tampa +4 Bills -2.5 Seahawks +3.5
.
If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!
I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
Comment
SexyMit
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-06
6139
#39
CK and I talked earlier, and going to put up another play
Denver +3 tonight
Saturday
Detroit -3
If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!
I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
Comment
brooks85
SBR Aristocracy
01-05-09
44709
#40
i dont see denver +3 anywhere.. my books only giving me +2 at best.
Comment
dvb02
SBR MVP
06-30-09
2941
#41
Where did you get Minn + points. All is see is Minn-3
Comment
Dark Horse
SBR Posting Legend
12-14-05
13764
#42
Guys, you have to understand that wannabee touts are allowed to move the lines in their favor when working on the record that is supposed to launch their new career. So when the line is DEN +1.5 everywhere and they give you +3 instead, that is within the range of acceptable expected behavior.
Comment
Jimbo42
SBR MVP
01-04-09
2076
#43
Originally posted by dvb02
Where did you get Minn + points. All is see is Minn-3
They played Minnesota early in the week...
Comment
Jimbo42
SBR MVP
01-04-09
2076
#44
Originally posted by brooks85
i dont see denver +3 anywhere.. my books only giving me +2 at best.
Broncos were plus 3 this morning... that is when i got it as well (betus)
Comment
Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#45
as i mentioned earlier, im not one to play preseason....looked at the lines for tomorrow, and the lions jumped off the page to me.
came here, and my instinct was correct. on it ck.
Comment
Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#46
sexymit - are you making your own plays here?
Comment
cocknocker
Restricted User
11-06-08
8001
#47
Originally posted by Dark Horse
Guys, you have to understand that wannabee touts are allowed to move the lines in their favor when working on the record that is supposed to launch their new career. So when the line is DEN +1.5 everywhere and they give you +3 instead, that is within the range of acceptable expected behavior.
You have to look at the time the pick was released idiot. But at least now we know that you like us. No one begged you to pay us this visit. You made the choice to come here right?
Comment
SexyMit
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-06
6139
#48
Damn CK we are getting famous and everyone wants to know how we do it! Including the Science Fvcks! Now they come over here and try and tell us that the post 4 days ago we fabricated the line and got Minny at +1. Shows the edited post 4 days ago, wow will try anything to bring someone down. But we are way ahead of them... I think they are still trying to come up with a play for preseason where as the plays are 3-1 for us already!
If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!
I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
Comment
Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#49
Originally posted by SexyMit
Damn CK we are getting famous and everyone wants to know how we do it! Including the Science Fvcks! Now they come over here and try and tell us that the post 4 days ago we fabricated the line and got Minny at +1. Shows the edited post 4 days ago, wow will try anything to bring someone down. But we are way ahead of them... I think they are still trying to come up with a play for preseason where as the plays are 3-1 for us already!
you never answered my question - are you making your own plays or just doing a consensus with ck?
you never answered my question - are you making your own plays or just doing a consensus with ck?
Preseason I do ok, but nothing to brag about! He had his plays and I have talked him into a few and opened his eyes to a few of the ones that I liked and thought was a good play! We have just always done it as a team, I didn't a stamp on any certain plays, except Detroit. That one is the one I mentioned to him.But when the regular season starts then will be claiming plays once things get started!
If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!
I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
Comment
Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#53
got it - thx...
Comment
SexyMit
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-06
6139
#54
Originally posted by SexyMit
Well boys and girls, we are at it again! CK and I are going to do a football page also. This is just for the preseason, I'm sure we will start another thread when the regular season starts.
We will be playing College and Nfl and will probably be posting both plays in one thread.
So here it goes:
CK'S 30th Street Plays
Thursday
Ravens -3 Win New England +3.5 Win
Friday
Vikings +1.5 Win Jets -3.5 Loss Denver+3 Win
Saturday
Chiefs -1 Tampa +4 Bills -2.5 Seahawks +3.5 Detroit -3
4-1 going into todays games
If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!
I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
Comment
Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#55
you guys wont be weighting any preseason plays i take it?
Comment
Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#56
dammit - i got 3.5 on the lions and i shop around
Comment
BillAccpetor
SBR Wise Guy
02-07-09
790
#57
Hi CK and MIT.
Would be nice if you add to your picks your size of unit...
Comment
SexyMit
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-06
6139
#58
Originally posted by BillAccpetor
Hi CK and MIT.
Would be nice if you add to your picks your size of unit...
During the preseason we have elected not to do unit sizes. But for gambling purposes they would each be to win 1 unit. When the regular season starts we will have a rolling bankroll just like we do in the WNBA thread. So with the preseason, being a little extra cautious not knowing which teams will really want to win.
If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!
I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
Comment
chaseman
SBR MVP
01-06-09
1195
#59
I wish the best of luck to you guys
Comment
twentyonekid
SBR Wise Guy
08-09-09
883
#60
good luck tonight
Comment
dj80d
SBR Hustler
07-22-09
90
#61
god dam tampa bay ****in blew it but good run for saturday
Comment
cocknocker
Restricted User
11-06-08
8001
#62
Sexymit,
We had a few bumps in the road today, but all's well that ends well if the Seahawks can continue to play well. As far as Monday's games are concerned, I like the Panthers in their game with the G-Men. The Panthers always seem to play well on their opening pre-season games and are 6-1 ats week 1. That's good enough for me to go against my beloved Giants, as Coughlan doesn't seem to really want to mix it up in pre-season.
When David Carr comes into the game for the Giants he may be liable to throw a touchdown going the other way for me. Woodson is obviously very rusty having never seen the field, and the Panthers do bring the heat. Backups Matt Moore and Josh McCown are serviceable and more experienced than anything the G-Men can put on the field.
After Eli and company leave that game, the deeper team is definitely the Panthers
Panthers+3
My spin on the other game is tat Miami only has 3 quarterbacks for a reason. They are set and loaded with Henne and Pennington. Pat White from West Virginia is slow to grasp the offense and will be a liability. I expect that Henne will get a lot of time as a result. Looking oer the roster for the Jags and one thing stands out, they have no receivers that can get vertical. Holt is washed up and can't get past a snail. Other than that they are a hodge podge of guess whos'. I drafted jones Drew in the first round for my fantasy team partly because I know that he will be their primary weapon. Their defense is even undergoing an overhaul.
Miami-3
Let me know what you think of those and let's come up with a pick or two!
Comment
SportNut
SBR MVP
05-16-07
1984
#63
Good call on seahawks thanks
Comment
showtime2000
SBR MVP
11-09-08
1054
#64
CK, just to add to your Carolina play,
Carolina has won every single 1st half play the last 5 years in a row game #1 of the preseason. In fact, they also scored 14+ points in the first half the last 5 years of Game #1 compared to NYG scoring more than 7 points only once in the last 4 years. Historically Carolina has faired well in game 1 of the preseason in scoring were they have scored points of 23,28,14,24,23 last 5 years.
Give me
Carolina ML 1st half
Carolina TT over
Carolina +3
Comment
MarkHammond
Restricted User
12-12-08
247
#65
They'll play, but they'll do so without a thorough game plan -- which is typical for preseason openers. The starters will play "about a quarter," head coach John Fox said, leaving the balance of the action to those in scrums for roster spots.
"We don't game plan per se. We only spend one practice on looking at the opponent," Fox said. "As a coaching staff we don't game plan."
That's even more the case when the opponent is one the Panthers will see again in the regular season, which is the case for the Giants and next week's opponents, the Miami Dolphins.
"Because we play them again," Fox said. "You don't want to show too much and yet you still want to get a good evaluation of your players.
Comment
solobass
SBR MVP
01-15-09
1277
#66
on carolina as well today. -3 @ the las vegas hilton....also i feel good about miami but will probably take the ML on that one 3pts is too many i feel.
Comment
dvb02
SBR MVP
06-30-09
2941
#67
Does anyone know the reason sportsbooks do not let you use props (first half totals, etc) in your parlays? Just wondering..
Comment
SexyMit
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-06
6139
#68
Ok boys we are going to go with today
Carolina +3.5 buying a hook -120 Miami -2.5 buying a hook -120
and our record going into today is
5-4 Nfl Preseason Picks
If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!
I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
Comment
kmarinouofm
SBR Hall of Famer
01-26-09
8437
#69
i am going with the 1st quarter total over 7.5 in the miami vs jacksonville game today at +175... its worth a shot and the payout is nice...
Comment
brooks85
SBR Aristocracy
01-05-09
44709
#70
i got both game's 1q parlayed with a few mma fights. good payout 6 to win 1000