CK and MIT'S '09 Nfl Preseason Thread!

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  • Vreston
    SBR MVP
    • 03-12-09
    • 1428

    #36
    Glad to see you guys are on the NFL from this early!
    Thanks in advance for all your help and BOL!
    Comment
    • cocknocker
      Restricted User
      • 11-06-08
      • 8001

      #37
      Originally posted by PorkyPig
      Can anyone advise me why I shouldn't take the Falcons ML @ +125 today?

      Because the Lions will win that game. The best bet for that one is to just take the over and get the f*ck out of the way
      Comment
      • SexyMit
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 10-12-06
        • 6139

        #38
        Originally posted by SexyMit
        Well boys and girls, we are at it again! CK and I are going to do a football page also. This is just for the preseason, I'm sure we will start another thread when the regular season starts.

        We will be playing College and Nfl and will probably be posting both plays in one thread.

        So here it goes:


        CK'S 30th Street Plays

        Thursday

        Ravens -3 WIN
        New England +3.5 WIN

        2-0

        Friday

        Vikings +1.5
        Jets -3.5

        Saturday

        Chiefs -1
        Tampa +4
        Bills -2.5
        Seahawks +3.5
        .
        If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

        I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
        Comment
        • SexyMit
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 10-12-06
          • 6139

          #39
          CK and I talked earlier, and going to put up another play

          Denver +3 tonight

          Saturday

          Detroit -3
          If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

          I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
          Comment
          • brooks85
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-05-09
            • 44709

            #40
            i dont see denver +3 anywhere.. my books only giving me +2 at best.
            Comment
            • dvb02
              SBR MVP
              • 06-30-09
              • 2941

              #41
              Where did you get Minn + points. All is see is Minn-3
              Comment
              • Dark Horse
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-14-05
                • 13764

                #42
                Guys, you have to understand that wannabee touts are allowed to move the lines in their favor when working on the record that is supposed to launch their new career. So when the line is DEN +1.5 everywhere and they give you +3 instead, that is within the range of acceptable expected behavior.
                Comment
                • Jimbo42
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-04-09
                  • 2076

                  #43
                  Originally posted by dvb02
                  Where did you get Minn + points. All is see is Minn-3
                  They played Minnesota early in the week...
                  Comment
                  • Jimbo42
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-04-09
                    • 2076

                    #44
                    Originally posted by brooks85
                    i dont see denver +3 anywhere.. my books only giving me +2 at best.
                    Broncos were plus 3 this morning... that is when i got it as well (betus)
                    Comment
                    • Dexter
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 12-24-08
                      • 25829

                      #45
                      as i mentioned earlier, im not one to play preseason....looked at the lines for tomorrow, and the lions jumped off the page to me.

                      came here, and my instinct was correct. on it ck.
                      Comment
                      • Dexter
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 12-24-08
                        • 25829

                        #46
                        sexymit - are you making your own plays here?
                        Comment
                        • cocknocker
                          Restricted User
                          • 11-06-08
                          • 8001

                          #47
                          Originally posted by Dark Horse
                          Guys, you have to understand that wannabee touts are allowed to move the lines in their favor when working on the record that is supposed to launch their new career. So when the line is DEN +1.5 everywhere and they give you +3 instead, that is within the range of acceptable expected behavior.
                          You have to look at the time the pick was released idiot. But at least now we know that you like us. No one begged you to pay us this visit. You made the choice to come here right?
                          Comment
                          • SexyMit
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 10-12-06
                            • 6139

                            #48
                            Damn CK we are getting famous and everyone wants to know how we do it! Including the Science Fvcks! Now they come over here and try and tell us that the post 4 days ago we fabricated the line and got Minny at +1. Shows the edited post 4 days ago, wow will try anything to bring someone down. But we are way ahead of them... I think they are still trying to come up with a play for preseason where as the plays are 3-1 for us already!
                            If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                            I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                            Comment
                            • Dexter
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 12-24-08
                              • 25829

                              #49
                              Originally posted by SexyMit
                              Damn CK we are getting famous and everyone wants to know how we do it! Including the Science Fvcks! Now they come over here and try and tell us that the post 4 days ago we fabricated the line and got Minny at +1. Shows the edited post 4 days ago, wow will try anything to bring someone down. But we are way ahead of them... I think they are still trying to come up with a play for preseason where as the plays are 3-1 for us already!
                              you never answered my question - are you making your own plays or just doing a consensus with ck?
                              Comment
                              • Dexter
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 12-24-08
                                • 25829

                                #50
                                see below
                                Comment
                                • Dexter
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 12-24-08
                                  • 25829

                                  #51
                                  Comment
                                  • SexyMit
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 10-12-06
                                    • 6139

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by Dexter
                                    you never answered my question - are you making your own plays or just doing a consensus with ck?
                                    Preseason I do ok, but nothing to brag about! He had his plays and I have talked him into a few and opened his eyes to a few of the ones that I liked and thought was a good play! We have just always done it as a team, I didn't a stamp on any certain plays, except Detroit. That one is the one I mentioned to him.But when the regular season starts then will be claiming plays once things get started!
                                    If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                    I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                    Comment
                                    • Dexter
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 12-24-08
                                      • 25829

                                      #53
                                      got it - thx...
                                      Comment
                                      • SexyMit
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 10-12-06
                                        • 6139

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by SexyMit
                                        Well boys and girls, we are at it again! CK and I are going to do a football page also. This is just for the preseason, I'm sure we will start another thread when the regular season starts.

                                        We will be playing College and Nfl and will probably be posting both plays in one thread.

                                        So here it goes:


                                        CK'S 30th Street Plays

                                        Thursday

                                        Ravens -3 Win
                                        New England +3.5 Win

                                        Friday

                                        Vikings +1.5 Win
                                        Jets -3.5 Loss
                                        Denver+3 Win

                                        Saturday

                                        Chiefs -1
                                        Tampa +4
                                        Bills -2.5
                                        Seahawks +3.5
                                        Detroit -3
                                        4-1 going into todays games
                                        If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                        I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                        Comment
                                        • Dexter
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 12-24-08
                                          • 25829

                                          #55
                                          you guys wont be weighting any preseason plays i take it?
                                          Comment
                                          • Dexter
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 12-24-08
                                            • 25829

                                            #56
                                            dammit - i got 3.5 on the lions and i shop around
                                            Comment
                                            • BillAccpetor
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 02-07-09
                                              • 790

                                              #57
                                              Hi CK and MIT.

                                              Would be nice if you add to your picks your size of unit...
                                              Comment
                                              • SexyMit
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 10-12-06
                                                • 6139

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by BillAccpetor
                                                Hi CK and MIT.

                                                Would be nice if you add to your picks your size of unit...
                                                During the preseason we have elected not to do unit sizes. But for gambling purposes they would each be to win 1 unit. When the regular season starts we will have a rolling bankroll just like we do in the WNBA thread. So with the preseason, being a little extra cautious not knowing which teams will really want to win.
                                                If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                                I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                                Comment
                                                • chaseman
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-06-09
                                                  • 1195

                                                  #59
                                                  I wish the best of luck to you guys
                                                  Comment
                                                  • twentyonekid
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 08-09-09
                                                    • 883

                                                    #60
                                                    good luck tonight
                                                    Comment
                                                    • dj80d
                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                      • 07-22-09
                                                      • 90

                                                      #61
                                                      god dam tampa bay ****in blew it but good run for saturday
                                                      Comment
                                                      • cocknocker
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 11-06-08
                                                        • 8001

                                                        #62
                                                        Sexymit,

                                                        We had a few bumps in the road today, but all's well that ends well if the Seahawks can continue to play well. As far as Monday's games are concerned, I like the Panthers in their game with the G-Men. The Panthers always seem to play well on their opening pre-season games and are 6-1 ats week 1. That's good enough for me to go against my beloved Giants, as Coughlan doesn't seem to really want to mix it up in pre-season.

                                                        When David Carr comes into the game for the Giants he may be liable to throw a touchdown going the other way for me. Woodson is obviously very rusty having never seen the field, and the Panthers do bring the heat. Backups Matt Moore and Josh McCown are serviceable and more experienced than anything the G-Men can put on the field.

                                                        After Eli and company leave that game, the deeper team is definitely the Panthers

                                                        Panthers+3

                                                        My spin on the other game is tat Miami only has 3 quarterbacks for a reason. They are set and loaded with Henne and Pennington. Pat White from West Virginia is slow to grasp the offense and will be a liability. I expect that Henne will get a lot of time as a result. Looking oer the roster for the Jags and one thing stands out, they have no receivers that can get vertical. Holt is washed up and can't get past a snail. Other than that they are a hodge podge of guess whos'. I drafted jones Drew in the first round for my fantasy team partly because I know that he will be their primary weapon. Their defense is even undergoing an overhaul.

                                                        Miami-3

                                                        Let me know what you think of those and let's come up with a pick or two!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • SportNut
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 05-16-07
                                                          • 1984

                                                          #63
                                                          Good call on seahawks thanks
                                                          Comment
                                                          • showtime2000
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-09-08
                                                            • 1054

                                                            #64
                                                            CK, just to add to your Carolina play,
                                                            Carolina has won every single 1st half play the last 5 years in a row game #1 of the preseason. In fact, they also scored 14+ points in the first half the last 5 years of Game #1 compared to NYG scoring more than 7 points only once in the last 4 years. Historically Carolina has faired well in game 1 of the preseason in scoring were they have scored points of 23,28,14,24,23 last 5 years.

                                                            Give me
                                                            Carolina ML 1st half
                                                            Carolina TT over
                                                            Carolina +3
                                                            Comment
                                                            • MarkHammond
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 12-12-08
                                                              • 247

                                                              #65
                                                              They'll play, but they'll do so without a thorough game plan -- which is typical for preseason openers. The starters will play "about a quarter," head coach John Fox said, leaving the balance of the action to those in scrums for roster spots.
                                                              "We don't game plan per se. We only spend one practice on looking at the opponent," Fox said. "As a coaching staff we don't game plan."
                                                              That's even more the case when the opponent is one the Panthers will see again in the regular season, which is the case for the Giants and next week's opponents, the Miami Dolphins.
                                                              "Because we play them again," Fox said. "You don't want to show too much and yet you still want to get a good evaluation of your players.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • solobass
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-15-09
                                                                • 1277

                                                                #66
                                                                on carolina as well today. -3 @ the las vegas hilton....also i feel good about miami but will probably take the ML on that one 3pts is too many i feel.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • dvb02
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 06-30-09
                                                                  • 2941

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Does anyone know the reason sportsbooks do not let you use props (first half totals, etc) in your parlays? Just wondering..
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SexyMit
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 10-12-06
                                                                    • 6139

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Ok boys we are going to go with today

                                                                    Carolina +3.5 buying a hook -120
                                                                    Miami -2.5 buying a hook -120

                                                                    and our record going into today is

                                                                    5-4 Nfl Preseason Picks
                                                                    If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                                                    I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • kmarinouofm
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                                      • 8437

                                                                      #69
                                                                      i am going with the 1st quarter total over 7.5 in the miami vs jacksonville game today at +175... its worth a shot and the payout is nice...
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • brooks85
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 01-05-09
                                                                        • 44709

                                                                        #70
                                                                        i got both game's 1q parlayed with a few mma fights. good payout 6 to win 1000
                                                                        Comment
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