Starting back in mid-July, I've gone through and projected every team's record roughly five times now. Here's where I ended up:
AFC
Patriots 13-3
Chiefs 12-4
Steelers 11-5
Jaguars 10-6
Browns 10-6
Jets 9-7
-----
Bills 8-8
Broncos 8-8
Chargers 8-8
Ravens 8-8
Texans 8-8
Colts 6-10
Titans 6-10
Bengals 4-12
Raiders 4-12
Dolphins 2-14
NFC
Eagles 11-5
Packers 11-5
Panthers 11-5
Rams 10-6
Bears 10-6
Saints 10-6
-----
Cowboys 9-7
Seahawks 9-7
Vikings 9-7
Falcons 8-8
49ers 6-10
Buccaneers 6-10
Giants 6-10
Redskins 5-11
Cardinals 4-12
Lions 4-12
I know a couple of these seem too high, but I think I'll be close on a lot of them. So, with that in mind I like the following O/U season win total props:
1. Panthers over 8 wins (-135)
2. Jaguars over 8.5 wins (+115)
3. Steelers over 9 wins (-110)
I couldn't find any value on unders, as the books have made appropriate adjustments and put too high juice on some of the potentially really bad teams.
Feel free to rip these apart, talk me out of them or laugh at my Jaguars, Panthers and Jets playoff picks. Just don't bump this in 4 months if I'm wrong on everything!
AFC
Patriots 13-3
Chiefs 12-4
Steelers 11-5
Jaguars 10-6
Browns 10-6
Jets 9-7
-----
Bills 8-8
Broncos 8-8
Chargers 8-8
Ravens 8-8
Texans 8-8
Colts 6-10
Titans 6-10
Bengals 4-12
Raiders 4-12
Dolphins 2-14
NFC
Eagles 11-5
Packers 11-5
Panthers 11-5
Rams 10-6
Bears 10-6
Saints 10-6
-----
Cowboys 9-7
Seahawks 9-7
Vikings 9-7
Falcons 8-8
49ers 6-10
Buccaneers 6-10
Giants 6-10
Redskins 5-11
Cardinals 4-12
Lions 4-12
I know a couple of these seem too high, but I think I'll be close on a lot of them. So, with that in mind I like the following O/U season win total props:
1. Panthers over 8 wins (-135)
2. Jaguars over 8.5 wins (+115)
3. Steelers over 9 wins (-110)
I couldn't find any value on unders, as the books have made appropriate adjustments and put too high juice on some of the potentially really bad teams.
Feel free to rip these apart, talk me out of them or laugh at my Jaguars, Panthers and Jets playoff picks. Just don't bump this in 4 months if I'm wrong on everything!