Drew Brees to pass for 5000 yds.

[MrLuckyPants]

Found a prop... -140ish for Brees to pass under 5000 yds.

In his last 4, 16 game seasons, he avg'd for 4371 or so.

He barely broke 5000 yds last year.

This price is too good to be true... any idea what the true price would be?

[dwaechte]

I would imagine that prop does indeed have terrific value, but I haven't priced it out or anything.

[MrLuckyPants]

I was thinking its should be around -300 to -400 (75-80% under) at first glance.... but to be honest... Not quite sure how to calculate it. I need a coffee...

[Rich Boy]

Seems pretty good... What book is it?

Did you look at the strength of schedule?

[VegasDave]

Is there any stipulation that he has to play in/start all 16 games?

[Shafted69]

Breez peaked last year.

[MrLuckyPants]

Must start at least 1 reg season game for bet to stand... theyve gone -150..

Not sure what the rules are around here... the sportsbook is from the UK... you can figure it out.