NFL Week 2 leans + discussion

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  • frankieunits2685
    SBR MVP
    • 11-19-17
    • 3575

    #1
    NFL Week 2 leans + discussion
    NFL WEEK 2


    BYE WEEK: NO TEAMS ON BYE

    Thursday:
    Ravens @ Bengals

    Sunday:
    panther @ falcons
    colts @ redskins
    texans @ titans
    eagles @ bucs
    chiefs @ steelers
    dolphins @ jets
    chargers @ bills
    vikings @ packers
    browns @ saints
    lions @ 49ers
    cardinals @ rams
    Pats @ jags
    raiders @ broncos
    giants @ cowboys (SNF)

    monday night football:
    seahawks @ bears


    WHO WE ON??????

  • flakeandbake
    SBR MVP
    • 06-21-10
    • 3672

    #2
    I'm leaning Bengals very hard and like that about 60-70% public is on Ravens, who just blew out the Bills. However, the line is starting to look somewhat skeptical to me as if it has developing into a crowded sharp play.

    Leans so far:
    Bengals Pk
    Steelers ml
    Bills +7.5
    Bucs +3.5
    Saints ml (only willing to parlay or tease)
    Dallas ml
    Jags/Pats U46 (this is tough bc Fournette banged up and both teams, especially Jags, have good defense. But I was on the under week 1 for Pats and I think their new d coordinator may be a beast)

    ^These are just Leans - I'm a last minute line guy and almost never take anything early for any sport.

    nice post
    Comment
    • frankieunits2685
      SBR MVP
      • 11-19-17
      • 3575

      #3
      Originally posted by flakeandbake
      I'm leaning Bengals very hard and like that about 60-70% public is on Ravens, who just blew out the Bills. However, the line is starting to look somewhat skeptical to me as if it has developing into a crowded sharp play.

      Leans so far:
      Bengals Pk
      Steelers ml
      Bills +7.5
      Bucs +3.5
      Saints ml (only willing to parlay or tease)
      Dallas ml
      Jags/Pats U46 (this is tough bc Fournette banged up and both teams, especially Jags, have good defense. But I was on the under week 1 for Pats and I think their new d coordinator may be a beast)

      ^These are just Leans - I'm a last minute line guy and almost never take anything early for any sport.

      nice post
      that under is looking good, the jags offense didnt look well against the giants, didnt look like that much of an improvement from last year.

      If the Giants dont muff that punt at the end who knows how that game could have ended... with that being said JAX might have the best defense in the league, i like that under as an early lean.
      Comment
      • flakeandbake
        SBR MVP
        • 06-21-10
        • 3672

        #4
        Originally posted by frankieunits2685
        that under is looking good, the jags offense didnt look well against the giants, didnt look like that much of an improvement from last year.
        That's my issue with the under in the Pats game. I like U46 but I feel like ppl are going to crowd that up (similar to steelers/browns under last week) based off what you said.

        The real play here could end up being the Jags ml if it comes back towards a pick
        Comment
        • mtofell
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 09-21-13
          • 744

          #5
          I like KC +5 @ PITT. Unlike Tom Brady Big Ben hasn't taken care of body and is mortal. I got it at -105 (Bovada) this morning and see it's moved to -110. I can see this moving more. I also like the CIN/BAL Thursday o44. Of course, really early in the season and I am likely going to lose everything I made in week 1 plus a bunch.
          Comment
          • flakeandbake
            SBR MVP
            • 06-21-10
            • 3672

            #6
            Originally posted by mtofell
            I like KC +5 @ PITT. Unlike Tom Brady Big Ben hasn't taken care of body and is mortal. I got it at -105 (Bovada) this morning and see it's moved to -110. I can see this moving more. I also like the CIN/BAL Thursday o44. Of course, really early in the season and I am likely going to lose everything I made in week 1 plus a bunch.
            Pitt is such a gift lol
            Comment
            • mtofell
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-21-13
              • 744

              #7
              Originally posted by flakeandbake
              Pitt is such a gift lol
              It's down to +4 this morning..... I bet this is a pick 'em by Sunday
              Comment
              • frankieunits2685
                SBR MVP
                • 11-19-17
                • 3575

                #8
                Thursday night football

                Ravens @ bengals

                I probably Will not have a play on this game I tend to stay away from the Thursday night games
                Comment
                • BayArea888
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 02-03-11
                  • 870

                  #9
                  You might want to take another look. It’s Bengals at home versus the Ravens, pal.
                  Comment
                  • flakeandbake
                    SBR MVP
                    • 06-21-10
                    • 3672

                    #10
                    Originally posted by flakeandbake
                    I'm leaning Bengals very hard and like that about 60-70% public is on Ravens, who just blew out the Bills. However, the line is starting to look somewhat skeptical to me as if it has developing into a crowded sharp play.

                    Leans so far:
                    Bengals Pk
                    Steelers ml
                    Bills +7.5
                    Bucs +3.5
                    Saints ml (only willing to parlay or tease)
                    Dallas ml
                    Jags/Pats U46 (this is tough bc Fournette banged up and both teams, especially Jags, have good defense. But I was on the under week 1 for Pats and I think their new d coordinator may be a beast)

                    ^These are just Leans - I'm a last minute line guy and almost never take anything early for any sport.

                    nice post
                    Yo these might be the plays. Literally went on a tear vs my guy this week and these in for 2.2k total. He ended up going in and changing all my limits so I closed out my account. In the process of re-entering these gifts

                    Also just took u44 Bengals for $300
                    Comment
                    • frankieunits2685
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-19-17
                      • 3575

                      #11
                      Originally posted by BayArea888
                      You might want to take another look. It’s Bengals at home versus the Ravens, pal.
                      corrected
                      Comment
                      • flakeandbake
                        SBR MVP
                        • 06-21-10
                        • 3672

                        #12
                        Originally posted by frankieunits2685
                        corrected
                        Corrected as in?
                        Comment
                        • frankieunits2685
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-19-17
                          • 3575

                          #13
                          Originally posted by flakeandbake
                          Corrected as in?
                          By mistake I had "Ravens @ Browns" Instead of "Ravens @ Bengals"
                          Comment
                          • frankieunits2685
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-19-17
                            • 3575

                            #14
                            I like Houston this week, just locked the play in now I expect the line to continue to rise.

                            Still going over the rest of the card.
                            Comment
                            • johnnyvegas13
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 05-21-15
                              • 27898

                              #15
                              Bucs +3.5 is interesting

                              that was a gimmeee preseason

                              now liokin like a potential upset
                              Comment
                              • johnnyvegas13
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 05-21-15
                                • 27898

                                #16
                                I woudnt parlay saints w anything either
                                Comment
                                • frankieunits2685
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-19-17
                                  • 3575

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                                  I woudnt parlay saints w anything either
                                  I think saints bounce back this week. They have a TERRIBLE week 1 home opener record the past few seasons.
                                  Comment
                                  • flakeandbake
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 06-21-10
                                    • 3672

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by frankieunits2685
                                    I think saints bounce back this week. They have a TERRIBLE week 1 home opener record the past few seasons.
                                    Saints are a lock week 3

                                    Also - anybody else papered up from the weekend? Crushed it
                                    Comment
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