Contrarian Pool Picks - 2017 Totals through Week 1

[Chcbleachers]

Decent start fading the trends...I had a push on the Denver game vs a win unfortunately so I'll report it as such:

Going opposite the....

80% Picks (2-1)
70% Picks (2-0-1)

Only 2 picks in the low 70's this week....will send late Saturday or early Sunday once the numbers finalize.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Any Contrarian angles for week02? Damn, these NFL lines straighten out pretty quickly.

Random Week02 thoughts:
* People may be loving Browns too much. Kizer looked ok, now on road. He did get sacked 7x in opener. BALT defCoordinator will how no mercy on this kid.
* I'm surprised that Arizona line hasn't locked in at -8. Can Tolzien play any worse?
* It's too ez to back Detroit this week. Giants looked bad. If OBJ ruled out, do we see another line-move toward -2.5?

[POOLSIDE]

Any Contrarian angles for week02? Damn, these NFL lines straighten out pretty quickly.

Random Week02 thoughts:
* People may be loving Browns too much. Kizer looked ok, now on road. He did get sacked 7x in opener. BALT defCoordinator will how no mercy on this kid.
* I'm surprised that Arizona line hasn't locked in at -8. Can Tolzien play any worse?
* It's too ez to back Detroit this week. Giants looked bad. If OBJ ruled out, do we see another line-move toward -2.5?

This has to be the most ironic location of a post I've ever seen.

- Less than half the bets are on Cleveland

- Tolzien isn't playing

- Lions the public dog of the week

[2daBank]

This has to be the most ironic location of a post I've ever seen.

- Less than half the bets are on Cleveland

- Tolzien isn't playing

- Lions the public dog of the week

Vikings right up there w lions.. wanna play NYG but not if Odell can't go and didn't sound very promising last I heard.

[Chcbleachers]

Week 3 - Contrarian Pool Picks

YTD 2017:

Going opposite the....

80% Picks (2-1)
70% Picks (3-2-1)

1-2 last week...all 70%ers.

For Week 3:


Going opposite these:

Rams (70%) - won

Denver (86%)
KC (82%)
GB (80%)

Oakland (79%)
Miami (77%)
Philly (75%)
Pitt (75%)
Balt (74%)

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Have a good Sunday, pal. Good info.

One comment about your list above. And this is one reason that %bet is ambiguous info. What line was the Rams game graded against? Rams covered -1.5. But they didn't cover -2.5 or closing line -3.

Like I say, good info but betting pools include a mix of betting lines.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

One comment for this week:

* I don't think anybody is going to bet Giants. They're toxic.

[Chcbleachers]

I just go with what line I personally had for the game w/out any purchase of points. Sometimes it makes a difference to the positive or negative, yet I figure it'll balance out throughout the course of the season. I had SF + 2.5 yet I bought it up to +3. Had Rams won by 3, I would count it as a loss on the YTD tracking. Yes, NYG are brutal btw...as are the stinky Bears.

[2daBank]

One comment for this week:

* I don't think anybody is going to bet Giants. They're toxic.

78 ppl took them in beat the bag contest!

[ChuckyTheGoat]

78 ppl took them in beat the bag contest!

I was speaking in generalities. I'm surprised it's that hi.

I do like that chart, tho:

https://contests.sportsbookreview.com/beat-bag-nfl-25-000-10k-pts-week-contest-10578/consensus/