JayMilly 2017 NFL Thread

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  • jaymilly
    SBR High Roller
    • 09-12-15
    • 139

    #1
    JayMilly 2017 NFL Thread
    Hi everyone,

    Back at it again this season. Please feel free to tag along. Hopefully this year is better than last year.

    I'm going to hold off on tonights season opener game, which I seldom do. Don't see KC as a huge contender this year, but still not overly confident in Brady maintaining his impeccable performance this season.

    I'll be back Saturday with Sunday's picks.
  • jaymilly
    SBR High Roller
    • 09-12-15
    • 139

    #2
    Week 1 Card

    PIT -9 (-120): 1u
    TEN -1.5 (-135): 1u
    LAR -5 (-110): 1u
    CIN -3 (-105): 2u

    BOL!
    Comment
    • 2daBank
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-26-09
      • 88966

      #3
      Like the titans, gl this season.
      Comment
      • jaymilly
        SBR High Roller
        • 09-12-15
        • 139

        #4
        Originally posted by 2daBank
        Like the titans, gl this season.
        You too. That TEN pick was originally 2u one, but that juice is pretty high
        Comment
        • 2daBank
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-26-09
          • 88966

          #5
          Originally posted by jaymilly
          You too. That TEN pick was originally 2u one, but that juice is pretty high
          Yea I was curious is that your only option? I much prefer them -2.5 at -105 or -110. Doubt that 1.5 to 2.5 comes into play (of course now that I say that titans will win by 2 and fukk me, lol)..
          Comment
          • jaymilly
            SBR High Roller
            • 09-12-15
            • 139

            #6
            Originally posted by 2daBank
            Yea I was curious is that your only option? I much prefer them -2.5 at -105 or -110. Doubt that 1.5 to 2.5 comes into play (of course now that I say that titans will win by 2 and fukk me, lol)..
            that's all I have on my terrible bodog book I would take the same. I can see Mariota and Walker putting up some serious points in the red zone tomorrow.
            Comment
            • 2daBank
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-26-09
              • 88966

              #7
              Oh yea bodog ugh. I like having them for a out cause sometimes you can get real nice line on dogs but would hate for them to be only options cause you get stuck w some crappy lines like that and generally paying too much for a fav or over..
              Comment
              • jaymilly
                SBR High Roller
                • 09-12-15
                • 139

                #8
                Originally posted by 2daBank
                Oh yea bodog ugh. I like having them for a out cause sometimes you can get real nice line on dogs but would hate for them to be only options cause you get stuck w some crappy lines like that and generally paying too much for a fav or over..
                Good thing I refrained from the 2u bet... Thought that one was in the bag for sure.

                Not a great way to start off.. I'll be back next week with more.
                Comment
                • jaymilly
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 09-12-15
                  • 139

                  #9
                  WEEK 1 RESULTS

                  PIT -9 (-120): 1u LOSS
                  TEN -1.5 (-135): 1u LOSS
                  LAR -5 (-110): 1u WIN
                  CIN -3 (-105): 2u LOSS

                  YTD: 1-3-0 -3.65u

                  Clearly not the start we were looking for. I think there is a few of us out there who got slapped around week 1. I am still at a loss for words for how terrible Dalton's offence is this year.

                  I was going to play MIN and DEN on Monday, but did not pull the trigger for the sheer fact that I don't like chasing losses. Wish I did now. Oh well, I will be back shortly with tomorrow's games.
                  Comment
                  • jaymilly
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 09-12-15
                    • 139

                    #10
                    WEEK 2 CARD

                    PIT -6 (-110): 1u
                    SEA -15 (-110): 1u
                    NE -7 (+105): 1u
                    DET +3 (-110): 2u
                    Comment
                    • jaymilly
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 09-12-15
                      • 139

                      #11
                      Decent day yesterday. I was fortunate enough to jump on BAL and OAK last minute too. Didn't have time to post it here, so naturally that won't count to this thread's total.

                      Seattle was just a bad bet. No excuses there. I don't see them putting up too many points all season. Without Lynch, Wilson needs to do all the carries himself, which is just unrealistic. None of the WRs seem to be able to catch a ball either.
                      Comment
                      • jaymilly
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 09-12-15
                        • 139

                        #12
                        WEEK 2 RESULTS

                        PIT -6 (-110): 1u WIN
                        SEA -15 (-110): 1u LOSS
                        NE -7 (+105): 1u WIN
                        DET +3 (-110): 2u WIN

                        WEEKLY TOTAL
                        3-1-0 +2.95u

                        YTD: 4-4-0 -0.7u

                        Wish I got the OAK the BAL wins posted. Oh well, pretty much back to square one after an awful 1st week.
                        Comment
                        • jaymilly
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 09-12-15
                          • 139

                          #13
                          WEEK 3 CARD

                          NYG +6 (-105) : 1u
                          CLE -1 (-120): 1u
                          DEN -3 (-135): 1u
                          OAK -3.5 (+105): 2u
                          Comment
                          • jaymilly
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 09-12-15
                            • 139

                            #14
                            What a ridiculous week
                            Comment
                            • jaymilly
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 09-12-15
                              • 139

                              #15
                              WEEK 3 RESULTS

                              NYG +6 (-105) : 1u WIN
                              CLE -1 (-120): 1u LOSS
                              DEN -3 (-135): 1u LOSS
                              OAK -3.5 (+105): 2u LOSS

                              Weekly Total
                              1-3-0 : -3.55u

                              YTD: 5-7-0 : -4.25u

                              Definitely a bookie season so far... Back again next week.
                              Comment
                              • jaymilly
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 09-12-15
                                • 139

                                #16
                                WEEK 4 CARD

                                DEN -3 (-115): 2u
                                SF +7 (-125): 2u
                                LAC -2 (-115): 3u
                                NYG +3 (-125): 2u
                                NYJ +3.5 (-115): 2u
                                Comment
                                • 2daBank
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-26-09
                                  • 88966

                                  #17
                                  Gl this week
                                  Comment
                                  • jaymilly
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 09-12-15
                                    • 139

                                    #18
                                    WEEK 3 RESULTS

                                    DEN -3 (-115): 2u WIN
                                    SF +7 (-125): 2u WIN
                                    LAC -2 (-115): 3u LOSS
                                    NYG +3 (-125): 2u WIN
                                    NYJ +3.5 (-115): 2u WIN

                                    Weekly Total
                                    4-1-0 : +4.55 units

                                    YTD: 9-8-0 +0.3u

                                    Decent day. Close to 5/5.... I won't be on tomorrow's game. BOL!
                                    Comment
                                    • 2daBank
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-26-09
                                      • 88966

                                      #19
                                      Nice job
                                      Comment
                                      • jaymilly
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 09-12-15
                                        • 139

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by 2daBank
                                        Nice job
                                        Thanks 2daBank. feels good to be back in the green. I was feeling good about all 5 of these games. New fresh start moving on week 5! Was leaning Baltimore too, but luckily I didn't pull the trigger on that one.
                                        Comment
                                        • 2daBank
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-26-09
                                          • 88966

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by jaymilly
                                          Thanks 2daBank. feels good to be back in the green. I was feeling good about all 5 of these games. New fresh start moving on week 5! Was leaning Baltimore too, but luckily I didn't pull the trigger on that one.
                                          Them and Miami 2 teams I been way off with my ratings/expectations.

                                          Broncos and bills the 2 I been way off the other direction.

                                          Time to make few adjustments to my perception! Lol
                                          Comment
                                          • jaymilly
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 09-12-15
                                            • 139

                                            #22
                                            WEEK 5 CARD

                                            CIN -3 (-115): 2u
                                            DAL -2 (-125): 1u
                                            LAC +3.5 (-125) : 2u
                                            SF +1.5 (-110): 1u
                                            LAR -1.5 (-110): 1u


                                            HOU PK (-110): 1u

                                            Too tempted to not place a small wager on the Texans. I feel we're going to see a quite the performance from J.J. Watt this week against a beat up offensive line.
                                            Comment
                                            • jaymilly
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 09-12-15
                                              • 139

                                              #23
                                              What a nail biter this morning. Vegas has been sharp on almost every line as I expected. Too bad SF couldn’t pull through in OT for me and any of my tailers (if any lol). What a comeback though!
                                              Comment
                                              • 2daBank
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-26-09
                                                • 88966

                                                #24
                                                Yea they were really tight on lot of numbers today. With you on lambs and Houston. Gl buddy
                                                Comment
                                                • jaymilly
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 09-12-15
                                                  • 139

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                  Yea they were really tight on lot of numbers today. With you on lambs and Houston. Gl buddy
                                                  These turnovers this afternoon are killing me here.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jaymilly
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 09-12-15
                                                    • 139

                                                    #26
                                                    Ouch. Tough losses on the afternoon. Both started out very promising too.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jaymilly
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 09-12-15
                                                      • 139

                                                      #27
                                                      WEEK 5 RESULTS

                                                      CIN -3 (-115): 2u
                                                      WIN
                                                      DAL -2 (-125): 1u LOSS
                                                      LAC +3.5 (-125) : 2u WIN
                                                      SF +1.5 (-110): 1u LOSS
                                                      LAR -1.5 (-110): 1u LOSS

                                                      HOU PK (-110): 1u LOSS

                                                      Weekly Total
                                                      2-4-0 : -.55u

                                                      YTD : 11-12-0 -.25u

                                                      Afternoon got the best of us. Disappointing loss right at the end in Dallas, and way too many turnovers in that Los Angeles game. Thankfully my higher unit plays kept us close to even.

                                                      I'll be back with next weeks plays.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jaymilly
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 09-12-15
                                                        • 139

                                                        #28
                                                        WEEK 6 CARD

                                                        SF +11 (-115) : 1u
                                                        CLE +10 (-110) : 1u
                                                        PIT +4.5 (-120) : 1u
                                                        ARI +2 (-110): 1u

                                                        Might take ATL in a bit if the line comes down at all... I'm getting a huge lean towards my Steelers, but my intuition is telling me to keep the bet small.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 2daBank
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-26-09
                                                          • 88966

                                                          #29
                                                          Would love to hear your thoughts on zona.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jaymilly
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 09-12-15
                                                            • 139

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                            Would love to hear your thoughts on zona.
                                                            Honestly, I see this game being a back and forth game. I see Palmer taking control a bit more against a great rush defense. It's no secret that Winston has plenty of targets to throw to. Neither team has a top notch pass defense. This is going to push both teams to throw the ball more. Fitz is one of my favourite players and I can see him shining this week.

                                                            I think it comes down to what happens in the Redzone. If AZ can pull some stops, TB has been notorious for missing field goals. Might just give them the edge to win this.

                                                            Plus, they're in desperate need for a win @ home. I think they can pull it off. Going to be a close game though.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 2daBank
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-26-09
                                                              • 88966

                                                              #31
                                                              Did Tampa cut that kicker after last Thursday? I haven't heard anything but figured for sure after how horrible he was on Thursday night and them having 10 days they would have auditioned some new kickers this week!!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jaymilly
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 09-12-15
                                                                • 139

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                                Did Tampa cut that kicker after last Thursday? I haven't heard anything but figured for sure after how horrible he was on Thursday night and them having 10 days they would have auditioned some new kickers this week!!
                                                                They did get a new kicker I think. I honestly see this as a head game now man. Tremendous pressure on these kickers in the last few years because TB is known to have them be the reason for losses. Tough position to step into in my opinion. Going to take someone great to shake that off first game suiting up in that jersey.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • 2daBank
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-26-09
                                                                  • 88966

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by jaymilly
                                                                  They did get a new kicker I think. I honestly see this as a head game now man. Tremendous pressure on these kickers in the last few years because TB is known to have them be the reason for losses. Tough position to step into in my opinion. Going to take someone great to shake that off first game suiting up in that jersey.
                                                                  Crazy when you see teams like raiders who's kicker goes down and they grab a guy off the street who comes in and drills 50 yarders!! Lol
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jaymilly
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 09-12-15
                                                                    • 139

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                                    Crazy when you see teams like raiders who's kicker goes down and they grab a guy off the street who comes in and drills 50 yarders!! Lol
                                                                    I would not enjoy that job.. you could be the hero and the asshole of the team at any given point lol!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jaymilly
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 09-12-15
                                                                      • 139

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I'm getting so frustrated thinking that CLE can make a game of it..... they're just so awful

                                                                      Good thing we didn't end up going ATL. I had a decent lean for MIN this week, but I didn't pull the trigger on it after we were robbed last week in Dallas.

                                                                      My steelers, with the exception of a weird punt, are looking very good right now. Running the ball great. Love it!
                                                                      Comment
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