Warm up prop -700?

mohye1980 · 01-31-17, 03:16 AM

Is tails +450 or so? If so pound it.

sleeper · 01-31-17, 03:31 AM

Yeah DSI has it at +460 and my local hasn't adjusted it and is -115 both ways lol time for some guaranteed money

Anyone know why it's such a crazy line tho?

Optional · 01-31-17, 03:53 AM

Just guessing that info is out there that both teams usually call heads.

mohye1980 · 01-31-17, 04:28 AM

Tails won last year

laker5 · 01-31-17, 06:23 AM

Hey well if tails won last year than odds are it will be heads this year.

Kidding.

Cuse0323 · 01-31-17, 08:26 AM

Tails never fails. They probably call heads though. Atlanta takes the ball, and puts 7 on the board.

johnnyvegas13 · 01-31-17, 02:15 PM

Guy it's what player will call not what it will be

how could that be anything but 50 50

BigdaddyQH · 01-31-17, 02:30 PM

Originally posted by johnnyvegas13

Guy it's what player will call not what it will be

how could that be anything but 50 50

Easy. If they know which NE player (they are the visitor) will call the toss and what his preference is, they make this sucker prop.

pokerdevil · 01-31-17, 02:41 PM

Originally posted by johnnyvegas13

Guy it's what player will call not what it will be

how could that be anything but 50 50

It could certainly be less than 50/50. In rock/paper/scissors, for instance, I'm pretty sure I've read that amateurs are most likely to play rock first (think it was 40%), even though it should be 33.3% for each. Humans are fallible.

But +450 seems way too great a price. I could see if it were Heads -170 Tails +150 or something, on the basis that players are irrational and more likely to call heads.

pokerdevil · 01-31-17, 02:45 PM

Carolina called Tails in SB 50 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=khWu-f2m1YI
New England called Heads in SB 49 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AtBAgxB9Qhk
Seattle called Tails in SB 48 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lq0eLHUiGjE

LT Profits · 01-31-17, 04:47 PM

Because Patriots have called heads in every single game this year. Now watch Belichick place a bet on tails and have his team call tails!

pokerdevil · 01-31-17, 04:54 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Because Patriots have called heads in every single game this year. Now watch Belichick place a bet on tails and have his team call tails!

Yeah. That's the reason Heads is priced so high. Just thought I'd point out that teams/players don't calls Heads across the board, by any means

Snowball · 01-31-17, 06:29 PM

Pats call heads 100% chance.
right off the bat 1 in 4 chance of calling tails "at best",
Atlanta will probably call heads also..

LT Profits · 01-31-17, 06:33 PM

Originally posted by Snowball

Pats call heads 100% chance.
right off the bat 1 in 4 chance of calling tails "at best",
Atlanta will probably call heads also..

HUH?

Patriots are calling the coin toss, they are the designated "road" team.

POOLSIDE · 02-01-17, 02:07 AM

Originally posted by Snowball

Pats call heads 100% chance.
right off the bat 1 in 4 chance of calling tails "at best",
Atlanta will probably call heads also..

They're both calling the coin toss?