NFL week 17 (jan01)
in another thread i posted details about how the road favs
r doing the past 6 yrs specifically in week 17
this leans me toward fading the packers tonite
and upon further review,
lets look at the tape:
Packers -3.5, r facing a 9-6 team tonite, on the road
so heres the packer ROAD performances:
week 1 - only a 4 pt win @ awful 3-13 jax
week 2 - LOSE by 3 @ mediocre 8-8 minnesota
week 8 - LOSE by 1 @ 11-5 atlanta
week10 - LOSE by 22 @ mediocre 9-7 tennessee
week11 - LOSE by 18 @ mediocre 8-7-1 wash
week12 - win by 14 @ mediocre 7-9 philly
week15 - only a 3 pt win @ awful 3-13 chic
have to ask ourselves: how many of the above listed
ROAD performances - against those quality teams -
likely result in covering -3.5 pts @ a GOOD 9-6 detroit team
which is 6-1 on home turf
and seeking revenge for an earlier loss @ GB ?
my bets:
lions +3.5
lions +165 (looking for poss arb *if* detroit scores first)
lions 1Q +125
if U r also on detroit i sure hope U win!
- phil
r doing the past 6 yrs specifically in week 17
this leans me toward fading the packers tonite
and upon further review,
lets look at the tape:
Packers -3.5, r facing a 9-6 team tonite, on the road
so heres the packer ROAD performances:
week 1 - only a 4 pt win @ awful 3-13 jax
week 2 - LOSE by 3 @ mediocre 8-8 minnesota
week 8 - LOSE by 1 @ 11-5 atlanta
week10 - LOSE by 22 @ mediocre 9-7 tennessee
week11 - LOSE by 18 @ mediocre 8-7-1 wash
week12 - win by 14 @ mediocre 7-9 philly
week15 - only a 3 pt win @ awful 3-13 chic
have to ask ourselves: how many of the above listed
ROAD performances - against those quality teams -
likely result in covering -3.5 pts @ a GOOD 9-6 detroit team
which is 6-1 on home turf
and seeking revenge for an earlier loss @ GB ?
my bets:
lions +3.5
lions +165 (looking for poss arb *if* detroit scores first)
lions 1Q +125
if U r also on detroit i sure hope U win!
- phil