NFL - Week 14 Plays

[LT Profits]

THURSDAY, 12/8
Raiders / Chiefs UNDER 45.5 -105 (Heritage)


YTD: 35-52-3, -17.35

[eddycash]

Dont like it bro, raiders will pass all over kc so whats kc gonna do?

[LT Profits]

Dont like it bro, raiders will pass all over kc so whats kc gonna do?

Win the game! lol

Leaned Chiefs at -3, total pass though at -3.5

[eddycash]

So if kc wins they gotta score! Seems like an over the winds are not strong

[LT Profits]

So if kc wins they gotta score! Seems like an over the winds are not strong

No, I suspect KC will play ball control game and the Raiders are too weak defensively to stop it. Raiders and Giants are the two teams that have overachieved the most this season when looking at their peripherals, regression can be a bitch. With that said though, I have no interest at -3.5.

[eddycash]

The only threat kc has is kelce and the run game, if kc falls behind its is over

[eddycash]

Basically kc's game is too predictable

[LT Profits]

Basically kc's game is too predictable

Maclin is back tonight so Oakland defense can't press up entirely.

[seaborneq]

THURSDAY, 12/8
Raiders / Chiefs UNDER 45.5 -105 (Heritage)


YTD: 35-52-3, -17.35

LT, is it your system this football season? What gives? I try to see what you are posting every week, but your record is getting worse every week. Could you tell me what could possibly be going wrong? Is your system too far off the lines? Just give me a gist of what is going on the past few weeks. Thanks. I think the last 4 weeks are the hardest weeks to cap of an NFL season because of motivation, playoff seedings, resting players, rest versus rust, injuries, teams seeing what other good players are going to be on the roster next year, etc.

[jt88]

System is working fine just take overs and you will be fine

[BaseballChaser]

No, I suspect KC will play ball control game and the Raiders are too weak defensively to stop it. Raiders and Giants are the two teams that have overachieved the most this season when looking at their peripherals, regression can be a bitch. With that said though, I have no interest at -3.5.

Chiefs surely overachieving as well? Last 4 games are a loss and 3 games that easily could've (should've?) lost. And even the Jags, Saints and Chargers were loseable as well

[seaborneq]

System is working fine just take overs and you will be fine

I took the over in the NYG/Pitt game Sunday and it wasn't close to going over with Eli and Ben playing all 4 quarters. Overs have been adjusted by the books in ncaa and nfl, no edge to be had just taking the over

[JayDr3am]

the under for this game and for the month of december period is very fitting cause of the weather.. especially in places like lambeau, arrowhead, seattle, foxboro, chicago etc.. cold.. snowing.. in this TNF matchup im sure both teams will take their shots down field but for the most part they'll play conservative and lots of running the ball which churns the clock.

[winitall]

That's is a bad record,,,,I am not tailing....

[LT Profits]

NFL TEASER Addition Sunday

SUNDAY, 12/11
6-Point Teaser – TIES WIN
Bills +8.5 / Saint +7 -105 (5 Dimes)


YTD: 36-52-3, -16.35

[cankid]

nice win on Thu gl this weekend

[Foxx]

That's is a bad record,,,,I am not tailing....

He's due.

[LT Profits]

1 NFL Addition Sunday

SUNDAY, 12/11
Jaguars +156 ML (Heritage)

6-Point Teaser – TIES WIN
Bills +8.5 / Saints +7 -105 (5 Dimes)

[garvardntl]

Dont like it bro, raiders will pass all over kc so whats kc gonna do?

Love the depth of analysis, lol

[garvardntl]

Question: why do you take this teaser 'ties win' when it's mathematically better to take 'ties push' and get paid more? Even better you should just take both teams separately, but +8.5 / +7.0 isn't a good teaser for 'ties win'.

[LT Profits]

Question: why do you take this teaser 'ties win' when it's mathematically better to take 'ties push' and get paid more? Even better you should just take both teams separately, but +8.5 / +7.0 isn't a good teaser for 'ties win'.

Key is to effectively get Saints +7.5. That means I would have had to take 6.5-point Ties Reduce at 5 Dimes, which is -110.

[RavensFan2k3]

I like Jacksonville, I think

[LT Profits]

I like Jacksonville, I think

Yeah, I like the ML better than ATS because the price is right to take a shot given how Vikings have played on the road. Model has Minnesota -2.24 and ML at 58% (-138).

[JayDr3am]

I like Jacksonville, I think

..... jacksonville will some how, some way... throw this game. .... ....

[LT Profits]

2 NFL Additions Sunday

SUNDAY, 12/11
Cardinals -2.5 -105 (Heritage)
Jaguars +156 ML (Heritage)
Saints +112 ML (5 Dimes)

6-Point Teaser – TIES WIN
Bills +8.5 / Saints +7 -105 (5 Dimes)

[MikeyD323]

SUNDAY, 12/11
Cardinals -2.5 -105 (Heritage)
Jaguars +156 ML (Heritage)
Saints +112 ML (5 Dimes)

6-Point Teaser – TIES WIN
Bills +8.5 / Saints +7 -105 (5 Dimes)

Screw your Jags pick. Hope u go 0-3 😂😂😂

[LT Profits]

Screw your Jags pick. Hope u go 0-3 ������

But I have 4 picks with the teaser.

[MikeyD323]

But I have 4 picks with the teaser.

Hahahaha okay 0-4 lmao.
I actually hope you go 3-1 with the lone loss being jags. I got too much on Vikes.

[eddycash]

I took Miami but I suck so who knows

[dirtycash66]

Colts and tigers on a 2team teaser. Thank me later

[LT Profits]

Another NFL Addition Sunday

SUNDAY, 12/11

Bills +110 ML (5 Dimes)
Cardinals -2.5 -105 (Heritage)
Jaguars +156 ML (Heritage)
Saints +112 ML (5 Dimes)

6-Point Teaser – TIES WIN
Bills +8.5 / Saints +7 -105 (5 Dimes)

[rizespor]

Why did you wait until today to take bills? Could have got them +3 with some juice or at least +120 on ml as late as yesterday. We're you waiting on some player news?

[JayDr3am]

Why did you wait until today to take bills? Could have got them +3 with some juice or at least +120 on ml as late as yesterday. We're you waiting on some player news?

doesnt matter bills are about to get smoked

[rizespor]

doesnt matter bills are about to get smoked

Has literally nothing to do with my question. But ok.

[JayDr3am]

Has literally nothing to do with my question. But ok.

and ill say it again, it doesnt matter what price he got it at cause the bills are going to lose anyway.