NFL week 10 (nov 13)
on the eve of the largest appearing full moon in our lifetime tonight,
here's my fade bets for the day:
1-3-1 last week
eagles -1 _ after 2 straight losses eagles due for a win (home), and after 2 straight wins falcons due for a road loss. line is good value on a homie in an EVEN matchup!
jets +1 _rookie qb from baylor likely start for nyj; ordinarily i would fade or pass here but the jets r facing an equally bad team - losers of 4 straight. i like the homies getting pts in an EVEN matchup. that scenario wins more often than loses. although today could b one of the losses
bucs +3 _ i ask myself which is more likely: a 0-4 road team to finally get a road win or a 0-4 home team to finally get a home win? i dont like any loser 2-6 squad (bears) laying pts on the road, so i look at the homies more closely and my stats say this is an EVEN matchup w/ the homies getting +3 pts.
if U r on these same bets then i wish U great success!
here's my fade bets for the day:
1-3-1 last week
eagles -1 _ after 2 straight losses eagles due for a win (home), and after 2 straight wins falcons due for a road loss. line is good value on a homie in an EVEN matchup!
jets +1 _rookie qb from baylor likely start for nyj; ordinarily i would fade or pass here but the jets r facing an equally bad team - losers of 4 straight. i like the homies getting pts in an EVEN matchup. that scenario wins more often than loses. although today could b one of the losses
bucs +3 _ i ask myself which is more likely: a 0-4 road team to finally get a road win or a 0-4 home team to finally get a home win? i dont like any loser 2-6 squad (bears) laying pts on the road, so i look at the homies more closely and my stats say this is an EVEN matchup w/ the homies getting +3 pts.
if U r on these same bets then i wish U great success!