This bet has to be a lock * greg olsen * over 5 catches -145

aston · 02-03-16, 09:13 PM

what the hell ..gents tell me where this bet can lose

chime in

POOLSIDE · 02-03-16, 09:28 PM

It can lose if the Broncos happen to be amazing against the pass and also happen to realize that Olson is the only decent target Cam has and decide to scheme to keep the ball away from him

WAHOOS · 02-04-16, 09:19 AM

I'm on it. But I got -105 haha

newguy · 02-04-16, 09:27 AM

Originally posted by POOLSIDE

It can lose if the Broncos happen to be amazing against the pass and also happen to realize that Olson is the only decent target Cam has and decide to scheme to keep the ball away from him

This but - and I am not comparing Olsen to Gronk but you could make the argument that the Broncos knew Gronk would be a target and couldn't stop him. In fact with the game on the line - Brady got it to Gronk in what should have been triple coverage on the guy. I also don't think this loses but I have to think either this is going to be vegas giving away money on Panthers and some of their props or broncos are really gonna shock some people.

pimike · 02-04-16, 09:35 AM

First off, that is an average # for that prop.

Problem is your basis for bet is the number of throws to Gronk in the Last game. That is a mistake to use that comparison. I mean do you really believe Cam will throw every play like Brady did???

No way!!!

Now that doesn't mean the bet is no good, just saying your premise for the bet is flawed.

Good luck either way.

POOLSIDE · 02-04-16, 12:40 PM

"Brady got it to Gronk in triple coverage"

Okay. And I think that Brady could get it to Olsen in triple coverage. These are not the same things as Cam getting it to Olsen.

Brady is muuuuuch better than Cam
Gronk is muuuuuch better than Olsen

I'm not saying it doesn't hit, but let's not compare apples to rotten oranges.

MarcusPaige · 02-04-16, 01:45 PM

Since you are looking for a contrarian point of view, he had 8 games in the regular season with under 5 catches and one with exactly 5, which means if you had made this exact bet every game so far this season (including playoffs) you would be 9-8-1.

Having watched every Panther game this season, he's a great receiver but his receiving skills aren't always part of the game plan.

Tboonepickem · 02-04-16, 04:42 PM

Originally posted by MarcusPaige

Since you are looking for a contrarian point of view, he had 8 games in the regular season with under 5 catches and one with exactly 5, which means if you had made this exact bet every game so far this season (including playoffs) you would be 9-8-1.

Having watched every Panther game this season, he's a great receiver but his receiving skills aren't always part of the game plan.

This ^^^ Great input

new era · 02-04-16, 11:37 PM

Originally posted by MarcusPaige

Since you are looking for a contrarian point of view, he had 8 games in the regular season with under 5 catches and one with exactly 5, which means if you had made this exact bet every game so far this season (including playoffs) you would be 9-8-1.

Having watched every Panther game this season, he's a great receiver but his receiving skills aren't always part of the game plan.

Good job. This is why there are no locks. Because some of these posters go with intuition and feels.

Grits n' Gravy · 02-05-16, 02:40 AM

Better off betting the over in rec yds for Olsen instead.