NYJ (-3) @ Dal....Trap or Easy Money???

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  • Albabbie
    SBR High Roller
    • 11-02-15
    • 242

    #1
    NYJ (-3) @ Dal....Trap or Easy Money???
    Really trying to find a reason *not* to put a boatload of money on the Jets this week.

    Nick Mangold and Fitzpatrick are just about fully healthy again. Match-ups across the board favor the Jets. The Jets are a long shot from getting into the playoffs but are not eliminated yet, so they have much more to play for.

    Dallas sucks. Dez Bryant is having a terrible year and Matt Cassell is just pathetic. McFadden is having a great impact in reviving Dallas' running game, but the Jets stop the run extremely well. Dallas also has a very poor record covering at home.

    I just look at this game and I am reminded of the silliness that the Carolina / Dallas game was, where the Cowboys actually opened as favorites, only to be blown out. Obviously, the Jets aren't in the same league as Carolina, but have proven to be a decent team this year when healthy.

    Only thing that has me scared is because it seems like such an easy play, and the public is going bonkers pounding the Jets. However, sometimes the square side is the right side.

    Thoughts?
  • blackHIPPY
    SBR MVP
    • 10-01-14
    • 3974

    #2
    jets trash
    fitzpatrick trash
    Comment
    • WWCD
      SBR MVP
      • 11-22-13
      • 1957

      #3
      If it's a trap, I fell for it hook line and sinker.
      Comment
      • POOLSIDE
        SBR MVP
        • 09-06-14
        • 2839

        #4
        Would you jump on Jets -9 if the game was in New York? I would not.
        Comment
        • Manny0825
          SBR MVP
          • 10-09-15
          • 1452

          #5
          Originally posted by POOLSIDE
          Would you jump on Jets -9 if the game was in New York? I would not.
          I would. Jets are by far, the better team. Better defense (due to Dallas defensive injuries), much better offense ( due to useless casell). What kind of edge could Dallas possibly have? And the jets still have a shot in the playoffs. Dallas is done.
          Comment
          • POOLSIDE
            SBR MVP
            • 09-06-14
            • 2839

            #6
            Originally posted by Manny0825
            I would. Jets are by far, the better team. Better defense (due to Dallas defensive injuries), much better offense ( due to useless casell). What kind of edge could Dallas possibly have? And the jets still have a shot in the playoffs. Dallas is done.
            The number is a couple points high. This would probably be -6 or -7 in New York. I'm not saying Dallas is the play, I just don't see any value on the Jets. Also, we're overdue for Fitzpatrick to have a Fitzpatrick game.
            Comment
            • 70CoupeDeVille
              SBR Sharp
              • 11-01-11
              • 254

              #7
              Would strongly consider 1st Half Jets if they were home -9 on the game.
              Comment
              • JayDr3am
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 05-06-14
                • 18260

                #8
                no trap here!
                Comment
                • KSmooth4U
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 12-01-13
                  • 588

                  #9
                  Can we all think back to a couple weeks ago when the AZ vs STL line fell all the way to -3.5?? Everybody on here was scared to take AZ because it had to be a trap... What happened then?
                  Comment
                  • DwightShrute
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-17-09
                    • 103486

                    #10
                    20-17 Dallas
                    Comment
                    • rowdyroddyrodd
                      SBR Hustler
                      • 12-17-15
                      • 56

                      #11
                      Dallas will keep this game close.Jets have the Pats next week,looks like a classic look a head game to me.Dallas still has a top10 D.offense is complete shizz.But in this prime time Sat night spot i'm taking the points.
                      Comment
                      • Jeep_Life 42
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-28-15
                        • 1388

                        #12
                        if its a trap than I fell right into it!
                        Comment
                        • JayDr3am
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 05-06-14
                          • 18260

                          #13
                          the books continue to give dallas TOO much respect.. they forever will.. I feel like they would still favorite dallas if they hadn't ONE game this season..

                          jets win 28-13
                          Comment
                          • Homer = no DOHHH
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 11-06-13
                            • 25

                            #14
                            Personally, I loaded up on the Jets.

                            Jets -3 -110
                            Jets TT o 21.5 -120
                            Chris Ivory o 74.5 rush yards -125

                            Hope there isn't a trap door under me! Go JETS! Beat them Cowboys!

                            NFL YTD= 0 - 0 - 0

                            Hoping to be start the end of the year betting by hitting the ground running!
                            Comment
                            • Jeep_Life 42
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-28-15
                              • 1388

                              #15
                              Originally posted by JayDr3am
                              the books continue to give dallas TOO much respect.. they forever will.. I feel like they would still favorite dallas if they hadn't ONE game this season..

                              jets win 28-13
                              I hope so man!
                              Comment
                              • Time is Money
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-03-07
                                • 2255

                                #16
                                Originally posted by POOLSIDE
                                Would you jump on Jets -9 if the game was in New York? I would not.
                                Dallas home field is worth less. it's well know books don't give Dallas 3 for being at home. 2 points. line would be 7 in new York
                                Comment
                                • Cordoba25
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 11-22-14
                                  • 315

                                  #17
                                  Dal as a small fav vs Car on Thxgiving... everyone was worried about it being a trap and we all know how that played out. That line was a gift and those who didn't overthink themselves out of a bet, cashed in nice. I'm using the same mentality here as well and not overthinking it. For Dallas to win or cover, I'll need to see it to believe it. My money is on the Jets
                                  Comment
                                  • Jeep_Life 42
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-28-15
                                    • 1388

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Cordoba25
                                    Dal as a small fav vs Car on Thxgiving... everyone was worried about it being a trap and we all know how that played out. That line was a gift and those who didn't overthink themselves out of a bet, cashed in nice. I'm using the same mentality here as well and not overthinking it. For Dallas to win or cover, I'll need to see it to believe it. My money is on the Jets
                                    lets win big tonight!
                                    Comment
                                    • Albabbie
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 11-02-15
                                      • 242

                                      #19
                                      Jets played pathetically... A missed PAT and FG, got stuffed at 4th and 1 near Dallas's endzone, and committed numerous drive killing penalties... And still pushed. Not happy at all, they shoulda had this game easy...but I guess it's better than a loss.
                                      Comment
                                      • Renegades
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 10-12-11
                                        • 5290

                                        #20
                                        Any time there are 85-90% of the bets on one side in a primetime game, bet against the action or pass. Especially after last weeks PT games. Pats sun night and nyg mon night were real bad. If money was for free in the nfl everybody would be winners. Two more tmrw and Mon. Arz and NO are both lopsided
                                        Comment
                                        • Renegades
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 10-12-11
                                          • 5290

                                          #21
                                          And tonights game could have gone either way. 3 picks for Dallas. A penalty that took away a scoring opp and one int in the endzone that took away pts. Game was a toss up the way it played out
                                          Comment
                                          • Renegades
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 10-12-11
                                            • 5290

                                            #22
                                            And my God Matt Cassell should never start another nfl game. 3rd stringer at best
                                            Comment
                                            • VegasPlayer
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 07-27-09
                                              • 3676

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Renegades
                                              And my God Matt Cassell should never start another nfl game. 3rd stringer at best
                                              You would think with all the money these teams throw at players they would have reliable back up QB's. Look what happened to Zona last year after Palmer went down. Same thing when Rodgers got hurt a couple of years ago. Osweiler got his clock cleaned last week in Denver.
                                              Comment
                                              • Albabbie
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 11-02-15
                                                • 242

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by VegasPlayer
                                                You would think with all the money these teams throw at players they would have reliable back up QB's. Look what happened to Zona last year after Palmer went down. Same thing when Rodgers got hurt a couple of years ago. Osweiler got his clock cleaned last week in Denver.
                                                The NFL has a serious lack of QBs right now, the best you can expect from them is to manage the game. I'd argue Osweiler has been pretty good in that regard, and in some facets has been an upgrade over Manning in some areas. He does hold onto the ball too damn long though.
                                                Comment
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