Jets Giants Under 47

[keepitsimple]

My regression analysis model (strength of schedule, match ups, weather comparisons including injuries and missing players on both offense and defense) shows this over under is almost a TD too high (model says 42 based on the data given this season with current staff, players and refs).

Jets v Giants Under 47 -110 (bookmaker) 330 to win 300

YTD: 1-0

[chargers4222]

wow, your model huh?

[keepitsimple]

wow, your model huh?

I can send you it. I ran the numbers in excel and plotted the values. This game's over under is way above the normal #'s given this match up and this years stats. The books have this line way off!

[ATC727]

I like it as well. Two teams from same state usually goes under. MY model does the same

[keepitsimple]

Bookmaker lowered the total from 47 to 45 in 30 min after I mentioned this. Weird timing

[keepitsimple]

20-20 going to OT. Interesting, interesting!

[keepitsimple]

ytd: 2-0