Ivory over 18.5 RA

[The J-Dizzle]

Gotta say I really like this. Ivory is a huge workhorse and I think Jets will use him a lot, despite patriots may stacking the box. Ivory is Jets key to winning and they know it. Patriots rush D has been week so far.

I thought this total would be 20.5. He has landed on 20,20,29 attempts and 14 once but I believe he got a bit injured in that game.

Thoughts?

[hazeee]

Might fall short just a little bit if Jets have to play catchup early but their D is solid and I don't see Patriots running up a big lead early so looks good to me.

[The J-Dizzle]

Yeah exactly but I believe they know that they can't abandon the run game to win. Perhaps that could happen in the 4th Q. But look at Atlanta, they've hade success using Freeman even in their 2 minuter drill cause defenses aren't expecting it.
Hopefully Jets can start the game on offense, I think they will look to establish the run game right away, setting up Marshall with play action.

[44 Mag]

Yeah exactly but I believe they know that they can't abandon the run game to win. Perhaps that could happen in the 4th Q. But look at Atlanta, they've hade success using Freeman even in their 2 minuter drill cause defenses aren't expecting it.
Hopefully Jets can start the game on offense, I think they will look to establish the run game right away, setting up Marshall with play action.

Good Thinking. That might be their game plan, but Belichick always comes up with a way to defeat the other guys game plan, you can count on that. If we all know the Jets are run first team, what do you think BB knows ??? BOL in your wager.

[The J-Dizzle]

Good Thinking. That might be their game plan, but Belichick always comes up with a way to defeat the other guys game plan, you can count on that. If we all know the Jets are run first team, what do you think BB knows ??? BOL in your wager.

Yeah you're right and I've been thinking that aswell. But patriots can't stack the box like they did against Dallas, cause Jets do have weapons in Decker and especially Marshall who will need double coverage for sure. Fitz has been playing good. If Pats stack the box I believe Jets will air it, but still rush 1/3 of the times.

[FlyinAir]

Really, really depends

[The J-Dizzle]

Really, really depends

Great comment. Depends on what?

[DOM_Toretto]

What's his name, the #2 RB is out, so that means even more reliant on Ivory in the run game.

[The J-Dizzle]

Yeah I know that good point toretto, Bilal Powell is out. So Zac Stacy is up as RB2.

[44 Mag]

Yeah you're right and I've been thinking that aswell. But patriots can't stack the box like they did against Dallas, cause Jets do have weapons in Decker and especially Marshall who will need double coverage for sure. Fitz has been playing good. If Pats stack the box I believe Jets will air it, but still rush 1/3 of the times.

Well see, with Fitz at QB ???? Jet's best be careful with that. He has thrown a pick in every single game this year. And, last year, 4 picks vs. Pat's. "Catch 22" here. What do they do??? As much as I do not care for BB's demeanor, give the " Devil his Due", he IS smarter than 99% of other coaches. I believe Pat's take this game at home, but 10 points is too much to give, if the line holds.

[KRIT]

This bet is completely game flow dependent. If Jets hang then he should easily go over. But if they fall behind I have a hard time seeing him going over.

[The J-Dizzle]

This bet is completely game flow dependent. If Jets hang then he should easily go over. But if they fall behind I have a hard time seeing him going over.

Sure but I have a hard time seing nothing but passes even if they are down 14

[Goat Milk]

Pats will focus on Ivory and Marshall. Simple enough for Bill. Over 18.5 looks good though.

What do you guys think about Jason Mccourtey (Tenn corner) cover skills? He's guarding Julio and I'm trying to see who to take in that game.

[The J-Dizzle]

Pats will focus on Ivory and Marshall. Simple enough for Bill. Over 18.5 looks good though.

What do you guys think about Jason Mccourtey (Tenn corner) cover skills? He's guarding Julio and I'm trying to see who to take in that game.

Yeah my only concern is that if Jets can't string several plays together. But I agree with you. With that said, Decker could have a good game. Pats should have at least 8 men in the box or Ivory will run wild, at least 2 men on Marshall. Decker have a chance to thrive, especially when Ivory will take away the pressure of Fitz who has only been sacked twice this year. I believe Pats hade 9 players in the box against Dallas, that won't work with Marshall and Decker running wild.
Marshall has been beating a lot of double coverage this year as well, top 5 WR so far.

[The J-Dizzle]

Ivory has 9 carries after the first half. Missed 10 minutes thanks to getting hurt on the first play. He should easily had 15 carries if fully healthy. Come on now!

[The J-Dizzle]

Unbelievable that he didn't went over. 17 carries.. Too many pass plays from Jets in the 4th Q gave that game away. Decker hade a good game though.