NFL Plays - Week 7

LT Profits · 10-20-15, 08:04 AM

Looking to atone for 3-12 last week.

blackHIPPY · 10-20-15, 08:40 AM

are you still posting NHL plays LT? GL

jjgold · 10-20-15, 09:10 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Looking to atone for 3-12 last week.

3-12 so tough to come back from

Saints Over

LT Profits · 10-20-15, 10:30 AM

Originally posted by blackHIPPY

are you still posting NHL plays LT? GL

Yes, I just haven't had any since Saturday. Will re-examine Tuesday card in a few, had nothing early on.

LT Profits · 10-20-15, 10:36 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Yes, I just haven't had any since Saturday. Will re-examine Tuesday card in a few, had nothing early on.

Still nothing as of now for Tuesday NHL.

blackHIPPY · 10-20-15, 11:31 AM

thx man

seaborneq · 10-21-15, 08:13 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Looking to atone for 3-12 last week.

Are you picking too many games?

LT Profits · 10-21-15, 08:23 AM

Originally posted by seaborneq

Are you picking too many games?

That's what I do though so that doesn't bother me. Would rather have larger card of smaller +EV plays than smaller card of larger +EV because the bigger card usually leads to less variance. That only time that gets blown up is on 3-12 type days.

simmy17 · 10-21-15, 10:30 AM

Any thoughts on the Jets +9.5 ?

LT Profits · 10-21-15, 10:57 AM

Originally posted by simmy17

Any thoughts on the Jets +9.5 ?

No interest in Jets for me there. Pats or pass, most likely pass.

JayDr3am · 10-21-15, 03:48 PM

Originally posted by simmy17

Any thoughts on the Jets +9.5 ?

I watched this game last year and watched NE struggle to really dominate the jets.. NE barely won 17-16.. that was LAST years jets.. this game should be similar.. I see the jets even takin a shot at a win.

WWCD · 10-21-15, 04:18 PM

Really like the Browns pick. I've been looking at that one all day.

LT Profits · 10-22-15, 10:38 AM

1 NFL Addition Sunday

SUNDAY, 10/25
Browns +4.5 -105 (Heritage)
Saints +5 -105 (Heritage)
Cowboys +3.5 -115 (Heritage)

pavyracer · 10-22-15, 11:11 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

SUNDAY, 10/25
Browns +4.5 -105 (Heritage)
Saints +5 -105 (Heritage)

YTD: 28-38-1, -11.21

Fire away LT. I know you fixed the model this week. Needed a tune up.

rpesi9955 · 10-22-15, 11:30 AM

Niners +6.5 easy.

LT Profits · 10-22-15, 11:36 AM

Originally posted by rpesi9955

Niners +6.5 easy.

Seahawks win tonight, it is just a matter of by how much. I am passing altogether, so good luck.

(I should have bet shortly after opener at -4.5, but oh well)

rpesi9955 · 10-22-15, 11:53 AM

The line moved again. Does it go up another .5 before game time or not?

R.P. McMurphy · 10-22-15, 11:57 AM

Damn LT you and I not agreeing much. Like the Rams to cover myself, think Indy wins s/u no doubt so was thinking good choice for 2t ml par there . Maybe we middle that one

RavensFan2k3 · 10-22-15, 12:21 PM

Originally posted by R.P. McMurphy

Damn LT you and I not agreeing much. Like the Rams to cover myself, think Indy wins s/u no doubt so was thinking good choice for 2t ml par there . Maybe we middle that one

That's what I'm thinking too

LT Profits · 10-22-15, 12:40 PM

Originally posted by R.P. McMurphy

Damn LT you and I not agreeing much.

After last week, that may be good for you!

RavensFan2k3 · 10-22-15, 01:19 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

After last week, that may be good for you!

Can you give alittle insight on the picks LT? I'd greatly appreciate it.

R.P. McMurphy · 10-22-15, 01:41 PM

Part of my point LT went 5-1 last wk between college and Nfl and hit big Pats/Pack /Sparty tease. We're both due for a reversal

LT Profits · 10-22-15, 01:50 PM

Originally posted by RavensFan2k3

Can you give alittle insight on the picks LT? I'd greatly appreciate it.

Aside from the fact that model supports all three plays:

Cleveland probably should have beaten Denver last week, St. Louis does not have a good home field advantage and the Rams figure to be very conservative feeding Gurley as much as possible. I wouldn't feel comfortable giving more than a field goal with them.

Saints have had a few extra days to prepare after giving Falcons first loss last Thursday and Indianapolis defense is not good. I get that Saints have no defense either but it should be tight game making points worth taking.

Cowboys are coming off of a bye week and the series with the Giants is generally an underdog series anyway. Besides, the Giants are not that good, hard to be consistent with no running game and banged up receivers.

RavensFan2k3 · 10-22-15, 02:07 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Aside from the fact that model supports all three plays:

Cleveland probably should have beaten Denver last week, St. Louis does not have a good home field advantage and the Rams figure to be very conservative feeding Gurley as much as possible. I wouldn't feel comfortable giving more than a field goal with them.

Saints have had a few extra days to prepare after giving Falcons first loss last Thursday and Indianapolis defense is not good. I get that Saints have no defense either but it should be tight game making points worth taking.

Cowboys are coming off of a bye week and the series with the Giants is generally an underdog series anyway. Besides, the Giants are not that good, hard to be consistent with no running game and banged up receivers.

Thank you, I think I do like Cleveland here, but the other two are alittle too close for me. Best of luck

44 Mag · 10-22-15, 02:29 PM

[QUOTE=JayDr3am;24685179]I watched this game last year and watched NE struggle to really dominate the jets.. NE barely won 17-16.. that was LAST years jets.. this game should be similar.. I see the jets even takin a shot at a win.[/QUOTE]

Well, brother, you mustn't follow the Patriots much.

44 Mag · 10-22-15, 02:31 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Looking to atone for 3-12 last week.

It's early, and your MLB more than makes up for it.

LT Profits · 10-23-15, 10:43 AM

2 NFL Additions Sunday

SUNDAY, 10/25
Bills / Jaguars UNDER 41 -105 (Heritage)
Browns +4.5 -105 (Heritage)
Jets / Patriots UNDER 48 -105 (Heritage)
Saints +5 -105 (Heritage)
Cowboys +3.5 -115 (Heritage)

LT Profits · 10-25-15, 07:57 AM

NFL 9-Pack Sunday

SUNDAY, 10/25
Bills / Jaguars UNDER 41 -105 (Heritage)
Browns +4.5 -105 (Heritage)
Texans / Dolphins OVER 44 -105 (Heritage)
Jets / Patriots UNDER 48 -105 (Heritage)
Vikings / Lions UNDER 44.5 -105 (Heritage)
Buccaneers / Redskins UNDER 42.5 -103 (5 Dimes)
Saints +5 -105 (Heritage)
Raiders / Chargers UNDER 47 -105 (Heritage)
Cowboys +3.5 -115 (Heritage)

LT Profits · 10-25-15, 09:09 AM

10th NFL Play Sunday

SUNDAY, 10/25
Bills / Jaguars UNDER 41 -105 (Heritage)
Browns +4.5 -105 (Heritage)
Texans / Dolphins OVER 44 -105 (Heritage)
Jets / Patriots UNDER 48 -105 (Heritage)
Vikings / Lions UNDER 44.5 -105 (Heritage)
Buccaneers / Redskins UNDER 42.5 -103 (5 Dimes)
Saints +5 -105 (Heritage)
Raiders / Chargers UNDER 47 -105 (Heritage)
Cowboys +3.5 -115 (Heritage)
Eagles +135 ML (5 Dimes)

AceofSP2107 · 10-25-15, 11:46 AM

Lt thanks for all your post and plays . Do you happen to grade from highest to lowest ? I know it's 1U
so for today's card what would be your best overall ?

pavyracer · 10-27-15, 11:56 AM

ytd 30-46-1, -17.74

pavyracer · 10-30-15, 05:39 PM

Any plays for Week 8?