Atlanta +4 Over 44

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  • bostonbruins
    SBR MVP
    • 04-02-08
    • 3272

    #1
    Atlanta +4 Over 44
    Plain and simple , the Saints defense stinks, and Atlanta is giving up close to 300 yards/game passing against average quarterbacks.

    The Saints only bright spot is the passing game, they have a horrible turnover differential and below average run game.

    Looking for plenty of points but Atlanta gets the edge

    Teased 7 points
    Atlanta and Over

  • The J-Dizzle
    SBR MVP
    • 03-09-10
    • 1091

    #2
    Not seing the logic in going over the zero in a teaser. But it's TNF, and it seems like over is a good bet on TNF regardless of the teams.
    Comment
    • bostonbruins
      SBR MVP
      • 04-02-08
      • 3272

      #3
      I see that comment sometimes , I do it when I worry about the blowout . I don't trust that the game won't get away from NO and the +10 could look bad. If NO pulls out a win it will likely be close and then I like my +4

      Just covering the scenarios I see as most likely
      Comment
      • Renegades
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 10-12-11
        • 5290

        #4
        I understand your thinking but teasing thru 0 is -EV in the long run. The % of games landing on 0,1,2 are maybe 3% so you are giving away pts and losing value with the tease.
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