Bears +14.5 vs Seattle in the Jet City.

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  • SteveRyan
    SBR MVP
    • 11-15-11
    • 1654

    #1
    Bears +14.5 vs Seattle in the Jet City.
    Just wanted to point out a couple of things happening with this game.

    About 76% of the public is laying the chalk. That's a lot of chalk, even for the Hawks in their 1st home game of the season with Kam back in action facing the lackluster Bears. Seattle is not known for big points and covering big spreads.

    On the flip side, 96% is on Chicago money-line. Apparently, there a ton of squares out there.

    I wont be betting this game.

    Regardless of the 76% taking the -14.5, there's probably a lot of people out there though who doubt that the Hawks will cover that many points. If you are nuts enough to bet this game, I believe the correct play though, is to lay the chalk. That 96% on the ML is going to walk home empty handed, and I believe the public got the spread right this time.

    And just in case you were wondering, Seattle was originally The Jet City. The old nick-name comes from Boeing. Back in the 80's, some fukkin ding-a-ling decided to let the public vote on a new name and somehow they landed on The Emerald City. I fukkin hate it: always have. To me, Seattle is The Jet City. Back then it was the home of the Seattle Supersonics and primarily a basketball town. Everybody knew who the Weedle on the Needle was. I bet hardly a person on this forum can even tell ya who the Seahawk mascot is.
  • Allure
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-18-10
    • 7606

    #2
    96% are not on Bears ML
    76% are not taking Hawks ATS
    Comment
    • stevietron
      SBR High Roller
      • 09-15-15
      • 142

      #3
      With Kam Chancellor back and Clausen under center, this must be a shootout on that side of the ball, he hasn't chemistry with Forte. Jimmy Graham should start to play as open receiver instead of be one more blocker.

      I see this a comfortable line to be covered by the Hawks.
      Comment
      • SteveRyan
        SBR MVP
        • 11-15-11
        • 1654

        #4
        Originally posted by Allure
        96% are not on Bears ML
        76% are not taking Hawks ATS
        These are Vegas numbers buddy.

        Get top NFL matchups information for opening game odds, closing lines, betting trends, and ATS results for the 2025-26 pro football season.
        Comment
        • LeagueCapper
          SBR High Roller
          • 03-10-11
          • 198

          #5
          C'mon Steve you know better. 96% of ML bets on Chicago is because who in their right mind would lay -1300 on a ML bet? Those 96% on Bears ML numbers are still probably very minuscule. These numbers aren't including parlays
          Comment
          • GoBlue77
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 03-20-11
            • 9166

            #6
            seattle will score 40. id recommend going to church sunday if you are on the bears
            Comment
            • R.P. McMurphy
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 06-15-12
              • 9654

              #7
              And you have to consider most those ml Bears bets are $20 lotto tickets lol. No way any big $ shark gonna back this beat up Bears squad vs a Seattle team at home backed into a corner. Trust me Vegas would be thrilled to pay off those Mickey mouse lotto ml's and have Bears pull this off. They stand to lose much greater in teasers in pars on flipside.
              Comment
              • R.P. McMurphy
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 06-15-12
                • 9654

                #8
                I realize this year's Hags team weaker than past couple with vulnerable spots. But last season they won 5 home games by 10+ vs Pack, Zona, Giants, Frisco, Rams all better than what Bears bringing to table this week. Only close games were Denver (of course SB revenge motivation and sure networks wanted closer gm honestly lol) Dallas very good team , and somehow my Raiders stayed in single #'s during defeat.

                To me this has Seattle blowout written all over it not like Chancellor gonna play most snaps or necessarily be huge on field but in presence and leadership. Team will be hyped to get 1st win and send a msg to league they still have a pulse. I mentioned last wk Pack would win just terrible spot for Seattle and you have Pack at home avenging playoff meltdown. Schedule makers did Hawks no favors 1st couple weeks but this is a soft spot they won't be shy exploiting especially on national t.v. and with Carroll who isn't shy running it up. If somehow this gm gets mudded up into some 24-13 type gm it's cause zebras have stepped in for Vegas, league, networks bottom line.
                Comment
                • KD Esq.
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 02-26-15
                  • 127

                  #9
                  40% chance hawks cover
                  Comment
                  • R.P. McMurphy
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 06-15-12
                    • 9654

                    #10
                    " Should be much higher in reality" than 40% , but this is Nfl theatre not reality and sometimes business takes over lol. I see this like 34-13 or 41-13 type gm honestly in current form and situation for both squads. Just takes a bit of zebra magic though to mud it up and keep it tighter! I've noticed LB doesn't have a Bears ml thread yet so even he's not a believer and he loves every clown dog ml lol
                    Comment
                    • Cordoba25
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 11-22-14
                      • 315

                      #11
                      14.5 a lot of points to give in the NFL, no matter how bad a team appears to be. I'll be laying off..


                      BTW, I recently came across that they were selling these last week at Soldier Field... lol

                      Comment
                      • pilebuck13
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 05-15-15
                        • 17918

                        #12
                        Shirt is hilarious lol the Hawks in this spot are guaranteed money the ml is outrageous lol I guess though if u had enough money to lay down...profit is profit and I see 0 way the Bears win this game 0
                        Comment
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