Ryermkd's 2015-2016 NFL Season thread

[Ryermkd]

Alright guys it's that time of year again, and I'm ready to make some money!

All bets/odds posted during the season will be from Bet365. Parlays are more likely to be cheap local-lottery plays for around $2-$25 a ticket. I also play a 5$ pools ticket where you have to pick the winner every week, it usually pays $500-$600,000, there might have been a 750k win I'm not sure..., irregardless, I will not be posting my pool plays, unless I have a winner; then I will upload it!

The Main ATS/ML picks are $20 a unit, and I am starting with a 125u bankroll ($2,500.00)

Week 1 Plays

ATS
Car -3.0, -120 @ 4u, $80.00 to win $146.66
Det +2.5, +100 @ 1u, $20.00 to win $40.00

ML
Kc -110 @ 2.5u, $50.00 to win $95.45
Buf +120 @ 1.5u, $30.00 to win $66.00
No +110 @ 1u, $20.00 to win $42.00

Total Risk (Week 1) = $200.00

Local Lottery Parlay's
5team ($5 to win $100), car -3.5/kc +1.5/det+3/cle +3.5/bills +3
8team ($5 to win $750) same initial 5, alongside, no +2.5/ten +3/sea -4.5

Total Risk (Parlay's) = $10.00

[Ebumdude]

You should look in to the over under for the Bills game since you are a Bills fan.

[dodge71]

are you talking about the olg pro pick pools? if so they are awesome i cashed one last year for 1k. this year i am boxing 2-3 teams every week and hoping for a 10k hit. good luck with the pics bro.

[Ryermkd]

ya man olg, I didn't box any this week, because the first 2-3 weeks are usually pretty crazy, with the biggest pots. I took 10/15 dogs hoping for a big score lol. I do like taking the points in most spots this week though. I've never hit a pools, so congrats. I remember my dad got 1 game off on a 2 winner, 400k winning week lol, like 2-4 years ago...

*Update*
I'm adding the bills on the money line too, I need something to watch and truly cheer for!

[Ryermkd]

tempting to play the under, but I'm just gonna play the ML.

[Ryermkd]

Looking good, just need the panthers to wake up a little...

[Ryermkd]

Week 1 Plays

ATS
Car -3.0, -120 @ 4u, $80.00 to win $146.66
Dal -6.0, -115 @2.5u, $50.00 to win $93.47
Det +2.5, +100 @ 1u, $20.00 to win $40.00

ML
Kc -110 @ 2.5u, $50.00 to win $95.45
Buf +120 @ 1.5u, $30.00 to win $66.00
No +110 @ 1u, $20.00 to win $42.00

Total Risk (Week 1) = $250.00
ATS Record: 1-2
ML Record: 2-1
Overall Record: 3-3
Profit/Loss: $58.11


Local Lottery Parlay's
5team ($5 to win $100), car -3.5/kc +1.5/det+3/cle +3.5/bills +3
8team ($5 to win $750) same initial 5, alongside, no +2.5/ten +3/sea -4.5

Total Risk (Parlay's) = $10.00
Parlay Record: 0-2
Profit/Loss: -$10.00

[Ryermkd]

who dat saints!, come-on I want a perfect week 1!

[Ryermkd]

added cowboys -6.0 for 2.5u

[Ryermkd]

no more plays until week 2.

[Ryermkd]

Week 2 plays

ML
Det +120 @ 1.5u, $30.00 to win $66.00
Atl +120 @ 1.5u, $30.00 to win $66.00
Kc -145 @ 4u (live), $80.00 to win $135.17
Buf +100 @ 2.5u, $50.00 to win $100.00
Chi +105 @ 1u, $20.00 to win $41.00
Mia -250 @ 5u, $100.00 to win $140.00

ATS
Cin -3, -110 @ 2.5u, $50.00 to win $95.45
Kc -0.5, +110 (1st Q.) @ 2u, $40.00 to win $84.00
Mia -6.0, -110 @ 1u, $20.00 to win $38.18

Total Risk Week 2: $420.00 (yikes!)
Total Profit Week 2: -$120.00

ATS Record: 1-3
ML Record: 2-2
Overall Record: 3-5
Profit/Loss: -$61.89 (-3.09u)

Record By U*size:
4u: 1-1
2.5u: 1-1
2u: 0-1
1.5u: 1-0
1u: 0-2

[Ryermkd]

Added
Kc -0.5, +110 (1st Q.) @ 1u, $20.00 to win $42.00

[Ryermkd]

Make that 2u on the chiefs! Risky play because it's just a 1st quarter bet, but I'm getting +110 in a game I'm almost certain the chiefs will win, with an old battered manning.

[Ryermkd]

added KC -145ml live 4u

[Ryermkd]

adding buf/chi/mia all ML, should be buying the parlays tomorrow.

[Ryermkd]

No more main plays, I think there's plenty so far, hopefully I can get myself out of this deep hold I dug on Thursday.

Local Lottery Plays
5team Parlay ($6.00 to win $120.00) Det+2/Chi+2.5/Buf+2.5/Cin-3.5/Atl+3
7team Parlay ($4.00 to win $300.00) above 5, alongside, Mia-7/Dal+5

Total Risk (Parlay's) = $10.00
Parlay Record: 0-2
Profit/Loss: -$10.00

[Ryermkd]

I really like the lions today guys, they screwed me last week and should have won....
Minnesota looked terrible vs SF, that being said I will be adding another 1.5u on Det ML (+130).

Dal +6 looks great too, I might add that towards the end of the 1pm games.

[Ryermkd]

Week 2 plays

ML
Det +120 @ 1.5u, $30.00 to win $66.00
Det +130 @ 1.5u, $30.00 to win $69.00
Atl +120 @ 1.5u, $30.00 to win $66.00
Kc -145 @ 4u (live), $80.00 to win $135.17
Buf +100 @ 2.5u, $50.00 to win $100.00
Chi +105 @ 1u, $20.00 to win $41.00
Mia -250 @ 5u, $100.00 to win $140.00

ATS
Cin -3, -110 @ 2.5u, $50.00 to win $95.45
Kc -0.5, +110 (1st Q.) @ 2u, $40.00 to win $84.00
Mia -6.0, -110 @ 3u, $60.00 to win $114.54

Total Risk Week 2: $490.00 (yikes!)
Total Profit Week 2: -$328.55

ATS Record: 2-4
ML Record: 3-6
Overall Record: 5-10
Profit/Loss: -$270.44 (-13.52u)

Record By Bet size:
5u: 0-1
4u: 1-1
3u: 0-1
2.5u: 2-2
2u: 0-1
1.5u: 2-1
1u: 0-3

[Ryermkd]

Added 2u to miami -6, still at -110.

[Ryermkd]

Local Lottery Plays
5team Parlay ($6.00 to win $120.00) Det+2/Chi+2.5/Buf+2.5/Cin-3.5/Atl+3
7team Parlay ($4.00 to win $300.00) above 5, alongside, Mia-7/Dal+5

Total Risk (Parlay's) = $10.00
Parlay Record: 0-4
Profit/Loss: -$20.00

[Ryermkd]

The Smitah has truly hit me hard in week 2. Fade away ladies and gents...

[Ryermkd]

Prime Time Monster

Sea +155 @ 10u, $200.00 to win $510.00

Arizona routed chicago, a team Green Bay didn't exactly man-handle.... I think Arizona is a little overrated by most as well. The way this crazy week is going, I wouldn't be surprised if another dog wins.

[Ryermkd]

Week 2 plays

ML
Det +120 @ 1.5u, $30.00 to win $66.00
Det +130 @ 1.5u, $30.00 to win $69.00
Atl +120 @ 1.5u, $30.00 to win $66.00
Kc -145 @ 4u (live), $80.00 to win $135.17
Buf +100 @ 2.5u, $50.00 to win $100.00
Chi +105 @ 1u, $20.00 to win $41.00
Mia -250 @ 5u, $100.00 to win $140.00
Sea +155 @ 10u, $200.00 to win $510.00

ATS
Cin -3, -110 @ 2.5u, $50.00 to win $95.45
Kc -0.5, +110 (1st Q.) @ 2u, $40.00 to win $84.00
Mia -6.0, -110 @ 3u, $60.00 to win $114.54

Total Risk Week 2: $690.00 (yikes!)
Total Profit Week 2: -$528.55

ATS Record: 2-4
ML Record: 3-7
Overall Record: 5-11
Profit/Loss: -$470.44 (-23.52u)

Record By Bet size:
10u: 0-1
5u: 0-1
4u: 1-1
3u: 0-1
2.5u: 2-2
2u: 0-1
1.5u: 2-1
1u: 0-3

Local Lottery Plays
5team Parlay ($6.00 to win $120.00) Det+2/Chi+2.5/Buf+2.5/Cin-3.5/Atl+3
7team Parlay ($4.00 to win $300.00) above 5, alongside, Mia-7/Dal+5
Total Risk (Parlay's) = $10.00
Parlay Record: 0-4
Profit/Loss: -$20.00

[Ryermkd]

I think I should just quit the season, and save 2gs lol...., penetrate that right?!?

Opening week 3 we are going to play a 3 team parlay on bet365 and not the local lottery for 5u.... Again some foolish bankroll management to recoup the losses, but it will hit, I've been watching literally almost every game.

3Team Buffet
Buf +2.5 -105
Cin +2.5 -105
Sd +2.5 -110

5u, $100.00 to win $628.00

[Ryermkd]

ML
Buf +130 @ 5u, $100.00 to win $230.00
Cin +125 @ 2u, $40.00 to win $90.00

ATS
Pit -1.5, -110 @ 5.5u, $110.00 to win $210.00

[Ryermkd]

ATS Record: 3-4
ML Record: 5-7
Overall Record: 8-11
Profit/Loss: -$190.44 (-9.52u)

Total Risk Week 2: $250.00
Total Profit Week 2: $280.00
ML
Buf +130 @ 5u, $100.00 to win $230.00
Cin +125 @ 2u, $40.00 to win $90.00

ATS
Pit -1.5, -110 @ 5.5u, $110.00 to win $210.00

Record By Bet size:
10u: 0-1
5.5u: 1-0
5u: 1-1
4u: 1-1
3u: 0-1
2.5u: 2-2
2u: 1-1
1.5u: 2-1
1u: 0-3

Local Lottery Plays
Parlay Record: 0-4
Profit/Loss: -$20.00

3Team Buffet
Buf +2.5 -105
Cin +2.5 -105
Sd +2.5 -110
$100 to win $628

Bet365 Parlays
Record: 0-1
Profit/Loss: -$100.00

*Parlay profits/losses are counted separately and on their own*

I knew I should have put PIT in the parlay instead of SD...., but I had already made the play
and it was too late... SMH.... Should have also doubled the bills bet, by far was the lock of the
week after seeing their performance vs New England last week, and the Fishes piece of shit stinker
vs the Jags.

[Ryermkd]

Bills Mania!
Buf -240 @ 12u, $240.00 to win $340.00
Buf -5.5, -110 @ 5u, $100.00 to win $190.90

Bills are my lock of the week! There will most likely be other plays, however I don't see the bills losing in this spot 80-90% of the time, Giants are so overrated in this spot... Being an avid bills fan, I make my own line for their next game every week, and after watching both teams last Sunday... I have this game at Buf -7.5 maybe even an 8.

I am hammering the ML to get a free shot at what I believe is a great line.

[Ryermkd]

3 Team Buffet (Bet 365 Parlay)
Buf -240
Arz -290
Chi +135

$60.00 to win $208.80

$400 down, that's actually most likely all the plays for the week. Unless I play my one of my leans; Arz/Chi/Car on either ML or ATS. Will post fri/sat if that is the case. Certainly expect some crazy local lottery parlays (missed last week, had to focus and try and win some money back), sorry about that. Will chuck $5 on 10-12 teams for the hell of it for the first time in the season this week.

[Ryermkd]

Thursday Night
Bal -3, +100 @ 2.5u, $50.00 to win $100.00
Bal -0.5, +130 @ 2.5u, $50.00 to win $115.00 (1st Quarter)

Don't see the ravens going 0-4 the way they've been playing, Vick looked ugly last week, and will most likely throw a pick or two. Only thing that even makes me worry about this game in the slightest is the home crowd. High variance 1st quarter play as well, lost a lot doing this with Kc vs Den. 0-1 on Thursday's this year.

Final Score: 24-16 Ravens

Local Lottery Plays
1. bal-2.5/nyj-1.5/buf-5.5/chi+3/cin -3.5, $5 to win $100

more small lotto parlays to come fri/sat. Had to get the ravens in one with my main ats prospects this week.

[Ryermkd]

With more late money coming in on pit, I smell a classic vegas trap, with that being said another unit on the ravens at +105.

Bal -3, +105 @1u, $20.00 to win $41.00

[Ryermkd]

Bal -0.5, +130 @ 2.5u, $50.00 to win $115.00 (1st Quarter)

ATS Record: 4-4
ML Record: 5-7
Overall Record: 9-11
Profit/Loss: -$125.44 (-6.22u)

[Ryermkd]

Bal -3, +100 @ 2.5u, $50.00 to win $100.00
Bal -3, +105 @1u, $20.00 to win $41.00

ATS Record: 4-4-1
ML Record: 5-7
Overall Record: 9-11-1
Profit/Loss: -$125.44 (-6.22u)

Pushed the freeroll, too bad. Anyone who is watching, I am telling you bills ml!

[Ryermkd]

Local Lottery Plays
1. bal-2.5/nyj-1.5/buf-5.5/chi+3/cin -3.5, $5 to win $100

[jaxjonesdrew32]

great auto fade thread

[Ryermkd]

Would be nice to see your thread , oh... wait...

I just had a disgusting week 2. So did a lot of people.