Lucky1's NFL selections thread-2015

[Lucky1g]

Can't pass this up. Late addition...kicks at 1

Washington Redskins+3

do it. Best of luck

[Tacklin Fuel]

[Lucky1g]

2-2 today. Just watching tonight.

MNF play

Colts & Jets OVER 46.5

[SOMF]

Where did you see 46.5? Seeing 49.5 on 5D.

[franklee168]

I have 46.5 on both my lines.

[southpaw74]

I have 46.5 as well. Good luck

[jihadvillager]

He probably confused mnf with tonight's game

[Renegades]

Line is dropping like a rock. Blew thru a key totals number (45). I wonder if Hilton is out now. This may be doomed..

[alamo]

Love this play G...Lets cheer these TD's in

[Willysmagic]

Total on the game tonight is dropping if you are playing the over I would wait.

[Lucky1g]

Hate the line movement on the total but still like the over...made a late decision to play the side tonight too. I like this play. The Jets will fight. Good luck with your action.

NY Jets+6.5

[alamo]

Nice call on the jets G 👍

[Lucky1g]

Quick record update. 3-3 overall in week 2 NFL. On to next week..

overall NFL season now 5-6 44% -0.1 units
sides 4-4
totals 1-2

***top rated plays 1-0

[Lucky1g]

Week 3 play. 1pm kick

Rams+1

[Lucky1g]

Adding

NY Jets-1.5

[nflguru1]

Adding

NY Jets-1.5

you don't mind jets coming off the short week?

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

Jets will grind out a win

[Lucky1g]

Adding

1pm kick
Tennessee Titans+3.5

4pm kick
San Francisco 49ers+6.5

[JayDr3am]

49ers vs cardinals

I REALLY like the play +6.5 49ers..

[Lucky1g]

Ugly day. Playing snf

Detroit Lions+3

[Lucky1g]

1-4 yesterday. Just an overall epic fail yesterday. Shitty. Last year I had great success in NFL but hovered around 50% the whole college football season. So far this year, having great success with college but NFL is taking all my profits. Long season but the morning after a day like yesterday blows


overall NFL season now 6-10 38% -3.5 units
sides 5-8
totals 1-2

***top rated plays 1-0

[jihadvillager]

its a grind, thank you for posting lucky- public field day yesterday

[Lucky1g]

MNF record this year 1-2

MNF play tonight
Kansas City Chiefs+6***top rated***


Lots go into capping a game and reading line movement. Tonight I'm playing with some very favorable trends on my side. playing against public perception tonight as well. Andy Reid is a very good coach and this is a dangerous KC football team. They played terrible last time out. They will be ready tonight in my opinion. Turnovers are the key. Will be interesting to see how a banged up Ed Lacy looks tonight...I think we will see a lot of James Starks. Either way, have to ride with KC tonight. Look for the GB teasers and parlays do get burned...of course, I could always be wrong lol

Best of Luck

[Renegades]

Good Luck. I personally dont think KC is any good. 8-8 type team. This will be over when its 14-0.

No disrespect to you, I just think you have KC pegged wrong

[Lucky1g]

NFL week 3 was awful for. Just brutal to watch

hope to get back to even units soon

overall NFL season now 6-11 35% -5.7 units
sides 5-9
totals 1-2

***top rated plays 1-1

[Lucky1g]

Week 4 plays
Tampa Bay Bucs+3

San Fran 49ers+9.5

[JayDr3am]

aghh so scary

[Renegades]

Those are contrarian plays. Unfortunately, the contrarian plays havent been hitting so far. Hopefully, just when joe public thinks they have it all figured out...the football Gods restore order

[Lucky1g]

Usually in the NFL, consistantly picking the "scary" side churns out more winners then losers. However, September has not been good at all to a contrarian bettor like myself. I won't change my capping methods or adjust just because the obvious Joe public plays have been cashing. The NFL yields many highs and lows throughout the season. The bookmakers keep you guessing...isn't it obvious the cam newton and Aaron Rodgers are on the top of there respective games right now? How could anyone bet against them? ....well, the masses of bettors agree on packers and panthers rolling to victory in week 4. I am going the other way and I will continue to pick my spots and go the other way until I get on a roll or I go belly up. Ask yourself, why did the bucs open as only 3.5 point dogs when everybody knows Cam and company will steamroll the bucs. Easiest pic of the week right? 80% of bettors think so???yet, the line goes down to 3 and vegas seems comfortable asking for more even more panthers bets...I understand this logic doesn't win all the time but it's the kind of logic I've used and won with for many years...Good luck guys

[goldust]

Usually in the NFL, consistantly picking the "scary" side churns out more winners then losers. However, September has not been good at all to a contrarian bettor like myself. I won't change my capping methods or adjust just because the obvious Joe public plays have been cashing. The NFL yields many highs and lows throughout the season. The bookmakers keep you guessing...isn't it obvious the cam newton and Aaron Rodgers are on the top of there respective games right now? How could anyone bet against them? ....well, the masses of bettors agree on packers and panthers rolling to victory in week 4. I am going the other way and I will continue to pick my spots and go the other way until I get on a roll or I go belly up. Ask yourself, why did the bucs open as only 3.5 point dogs when everybody knows Cam and company will steamroll the bucs. Easiest pic of the week right? 80% of bettors think so???yet, the line goes down to 3 and vegas seems comfortable asking for more even more panthers bets...I understand this logic doesn't win all the time but it's the kind of logic I've used and won with for many years...Good luck guys

Carolina shouldn't steamroll anybody. Yes, they're 3-0, but their offense is garbage and their defense is only "pretty good". It's not a team I'm ever eager to back. That said, Tampa Bay can lose by double digits to anybody - it's a tough game.

[JayDr3am]

either way your picks and wisdom is very informative and i take heed every week. thanks lucky. GL on your action

[DOM_Toretto]

Those are contrarian plays. Unfortunately, the contrarian plays havent been hitting so far. Hopefully, just when joe public thinks they have it all figured out...the football Gods restore order

Agree 100%. I've been getting burried over here.

[JayDr3am]

i feel the contrarian plays will be more effective 2nd half of the season.

[bradley121]

#NFL home dogs off a loss of 40 or more points are 10-2-1 ATS since '95 including 6 straight up wins #49ers

[Renegades]

Good trend Bradley. Thanks for sharing. That makes sense to me. Any team that gets their doors blown off typically bounces back with a solid effort.

Any chance Steve Young will suit up Sunday?! Lol