Tommy Karate NFL 2015-2016

[Exxpresso]

Seahawks are a nice play I think. What do you guys think about ?

[StackinGreen]

For anyone interested:

My top plays are

Seahawks/Panthers o43.5
Packers +7
Chiefs +5
Packers/Cardinals u50
Chiefs/Patriots u42.5

[meader99]

For anyone interested:

My top plays are

Seahawks/Panthers o43.5
Packers +7
Chiefs +5
Packers/Cardinals u50
Chiefs/Patriots u42.5

Initial leans for me are

KC +5
Zona -7
Carolina -2.5
Denver -7. Although my book still doesn't have a current line

really would like to tease Denver and Zona down to 1.

[Tommy Karate]

Saturday 1.16--

(2u) Under Patriots/KC*
(5u) Over GB/Cards 49.5

Sunday 1.17--

(5u) Over Panthers/Seahawks 44
(5u) Under Broncos/Steelers 50

(2u) KC*
(2u) Packers +7

[StackinGreen]

Did you actually book that 50 number with Broncos/Steel Show? Amazing if you did.

[Tommy Karate]

Did you actually book that 50 number with Broncos/Steel Show? Amazing if you did.

No I just put it up there for the hell of it.

You're really annoying bud.

This place is starting to annoy me. I don't see the point anymore.

[JayDr3am]

(2u) KC*
(2u) Packers +7

really like the GB +7 play.. still shoppin the other games. GL tommy

[StackinGreen]

No I just put it up there for the hell of it.

You're really annoying bud.

This place is starting to annoy me. I don't see the point anymore.

TK, you had an amazing bowl season. Why do you think people are out to get you or something?

I honestly saw the sbr odds put that number up but know no one that actually got that number anywhere. I loved that when I saw it initially as you honed in on it immediately.

[Tommy Karate]

You know I don't play at the online shops listed on sbr. We've had this discussion over pm when you were looking for a book.

My guy had no issues booking my monster $125 under bet.

[StackinGreen]

Sweet. Good luck this weekend. I love what I see , in general, from your picks

[hey buddy]

You are a class act TK, hang in there but I wouldnt blame you if you ever just packed up and left. Like getting your perspective tho

[Tommy Karate]

You are a class act TK, hang in there but I wouldnt blame you if you ever just packed up and left. Like getting your perspective tho

Thx HB

[RavensFan2k3]

I see the KC line is rising

[Tommy Karate]

(4u) Seahawks +3
(6u) Broncos -6.5/-130

[Manny0825]

(4u) Seahawks*
(2u) Broncos*

Are those ML?

[Tommy Karate]

Are those ML?

No - just think i'll get better lines later.

[Tommy Karate]

time to root for the over - sea getting waxed

[StackinGreen]

yup, let's get those points ... should get 14 more

[Tommy Karate]

Playoffs 1/9-1/10: 3-4 (-18u)
NFL YTD: 107-116 (-37u)

Playoffs 1/16-1/17: 4-4 (+4u)
NFL YTD: 111-120 (-33u)

[Tommy Karate]

Sunday 1.24

(10u) Patriots -3
(6u) Panthers -3

[StackinGreen]

Gotta be Pats all day. In a sense, isn't it worse that Manning won that crappy game? Now he gets to lose to Brady, again LOL

I actually like Arizona, what's your biggest angle on Carolina, TK?

[RavensFan2k3]

Ugh...but I already went big on Denver ML

[BigdaddyQH]

I already grabbed Carolina - 2 1/2 when it came out at the Wynn. It is now off the board there and at several other shops in Vegas. I have no idea why. It appears that the line is going up, but nothing drastic now. I think that Newton will outplay Palmer and be the difference in the game.

New England at Denver is a lot tougher. The Denver-Pitt game was a defensive struggle for the most part. New England is as healthy as they have been all season. Manning is certainly a question mark. His play yesterday was satisfactory, but not great. Big Ben obviously outplayed him. The Pats also defeated a better team in Kansas City, who was on an 11 game win streak. New England also does very well against AFC West teams, going 11-3 S/U in the past 6 years. Right now I am leaning New England, but no wager has been made on this game.

[Tommy Karate]

I already grabbed Carolina - 2 1/2 when it came out at the Wynn. It is now off the board there and at several other shops in Vegas. I have no idea why. It appears that the line is going up, but nothing drastic now. I think that Newton will outplay Palmer and be the difference in the game.

New England at Denver is a lot tougher. The Denver-Pitt game was a defensive struggle for the most part. New England is as healthy as they have been all season. Manning is certainly a question mark. His play yesterday was satisfactory, but not great. Big Ben obviously outplayed him. The Pats also defeated a better team in Kansas City, who was on an 11 game win streak. New England also does very well against AFC West teams, going 11-3 S/U in the past 6 years. Right now I am leaning New England, but no wager has been made on this game.

something about arizona and palmer that im just not buying.

i'll take brady over manning in the playoffs all day/every day - i can care less what bradys #'s are in mile high. lets not forget this offseason and how NE was seeing red from day 1.

[Tommy Karate]

Gotta be Pats all day. In a sense, isn't it worse that Manning won that crappy game? Now he gets to lose to Brady, again LOL

I actually like Arizona, what's your biggest angle on Carolina, TK?

if i said it i would lose....more instinct then anything statistical etc

[StackinGreen]

I already grabbed Carolina - 2 1/2 when it came out at the Wynn. It is now off the board there and at several other shops in Vegas. I have no idea why. It appears that the line is going up, but nothing drastic now. I think that Newton will outplay Palmer and be the difference in the game.

New England at Denver is a lot tougher. The Denver-Pitt game was a defensive struggle for the most part. New England is as healthy as they have been all season. Manning is certainly a question mark. His play yesterday was satisfactory, but not great. Big Ben obviously outplayed him. The Pats also defeated a better team in Kansas City, who was on an 11 game win streak. New England also does very well against AFC West teams, going 11-3 S/U in the past 6 years. Right now I am leaning New England, but no wager has been made on this game.

So you're admitting your extremely bold statements on Pittsburgh's performance were wrong?

---

Arizona vs New England - Super Bowl

[Tommy Karate]

Sunday 1.24

(10u) Patriots -3
(6u) Panthers -3

(6u) Under Panthers/Cards 48
(2u) Under Patriots/Broncos*
(15u) Cards +3.5 (Net 9u)

[Tommy Karate]

went the other way and took arizona - couldnt have both heavy public plays, plus the more i look at the game i feel like zona is the more well rounded team.

[Tommy Karate]

Playoffs 1/16-1/17: 4-4 (+4u)
NFL YTD: 111-120 (-33u)

Playoffs 1/24: 1-3 (-20u)
Playoffs Overall: 8-11 (-34u)
NFL Overall: 114-123 (-53u)

[Tommy Karate]

SuperBowl -- Sunday 2.7

(10u) Under Panthers/Broncos*

Have no feel on sides this postseason, so will just a maker a smaller play near game day after i further confuse myself with loads of information.
Curious what others like.

[meader99]

SuperBowl -- Sunday 2.7

(10u) Under Panthers/Broncos*

Have no feel on sides this postseason, so will just a maker a smaller play near game day after i further confuse myself with loads of information.
Curious what others like.

For what it's worth, and it probably ain't much, I like Carolina. Something special going on with them this season.

[StackinGreen]

SuperBowl -- Sunday 2.7

(10u) Under Panthers/Broncos*

Have no feel on sides this postseason, so will just a maker a smaller play near game day after i further confuse myself with loads of information.
Curious what others like.

I see it at 45, we'll probably get 45.5, I agree, more points last weekend will bring the over bettors out and it's the SB

UNDER all day, and I agree it's a better bet than a side (but I like Carolina like meader)

[hey buddy]

Agree on the under. I was thinking 41-42 so I will definitely take my chances with 45.

Hard to go against Carolina but Denver's defense is legit. I also see the public solidly behind Carolina which is to be expected. I read something a few weeks ago that the higher ranked defense has only lost 8 times in the Super Bowl. Anyone know if this is true?

[StackinGreen]

SuperBowl -- Sunday 2.7

(10u) Under Panthers/Broncos*

Have no feel on sides this postseason, so will just a maker a smaller play near game day after i further confuse myself with loads of information.
Curious what others like.

TK, do you feel that the number will climb towards 46.5 or 47 in the next 10 days?

[Tommy Karate]

TK, do you feel that the number will climb towards 46.5 or 47 in the next 10 days?

i would think so; just going to wait till game day.