Best way to hedge this?

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  • WWCD
    SBR MVP
    • 11-22-13
    • 1957

    #1
    Best way to hedge this?
    Play BAL +3.5 or BAL ML?
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  • kmarinouofm
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-26-09
    • 8437

    #2
    bal ML
    Comment
    • SEAHAWKHARRY
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 11-29-07
      • 26069

      #3
      Um balt ml
      Comment
      • WWCD
        SBR MVP
        • 11-22-13
        • 1957

        #4
        Be greedy and risk 250 or to win 250?
        Comment
        • BobW
          SBR High Roller
          • 12-02-10
          • 150

          #5
          Why hedge it?
          Comment
          • yoderlw
            SBR Sharp
            • 03-01-14
            • 325

            #6
            Why not Balt -1 or -2? You don't have to lay as much juice and you still have a chance to win both bets.
            Comment
            • WWCD
              SBR MVP
              • 11-22-13
              • 1957

              #7
              Originally posted by BobW
              Why hedge it?
              I thought it would be better to be up for sure, rather than losing the $50?
              Comment
              • tokio
                SBR MVP
                • 03-30-10
                • 2150

                #8
                might as well hedge, you be up any way regardless
                Comment
                • sneakerhead
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 07-14-10
                  • 7727

                  #9
                  baltimore +3.5 and hope saints win by 3 if you want to be greedy or ml if u wanna be safe
                  Comment
                  • Deol
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-01-11
                    • 1340

                    #10
                    I'm in the same boat. I have an 8 game teaser as well with NO +3.5 left as the last leg. 5Dimes is terrible with their line shading and payouts. You got 11 to 1 for 8 gamer with 6.5 pts... bet365 pays 13 to 1 for the same. I threw $70 on it to return $910. Do what I am doing, wait for a good live betting spot. Preferably BAL +7.5 or something so can you middle. If you don't want to do that, judge hedge so you are free-rolling with NO
                    Comment
                    • BobW
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 12-02-10
                      • 150

                      #11
                      Originally posted by WWCD
                      I thought it would be better to be up for sure, rather than losing the $50?
                      I understand but why include NO in that teaser when you are going to hedge it if all other teams won.

                      To answer the question, I would take the ML. Then you have a little gamble to win a lot.
                      Comment
                      • WWCD
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-22-13
                        • 1957

                        #12
                        Originally posted by BobW
                        I understand but why include NO in that teaser when you are going to hedge it if all other teams won.

                        To answer the question, I would take the ML. Then you have a little gamble to win a lot.
                        I don't know. This was just a long shot and happened to hit. I do not normally play that many selections, but I did not like many sides this week so took a shot at a few teasers.
                        Comment
                        • Halfapointoff
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-25-14
                          • 1677

                          #13
                          Take the plus points so you are rooting for New Orleans to win by three or bal to win by three now that's a good spread. If you take ml then you can only root for bal to win by one to three. You have to pay juice but non factor when your guaranteed money anyway. It's only plus 35 on ml and assume 10 on spread. Basically your risking 45 of winnings for 7 point leeway (don't forget about a tie game). Whereas you are trying to win 35 for three points. If New Orleans wins by 4 or more your out 10 by taking spread and if Balt wins by 4 or more you out 50 plus you could of won 35.So with that said assume you play 250. Possible win for a hit in the middle taking spread:750(7 point leeway) saints win by4 or more:225 Balt win by 4 or more:200. Taking money line hit in middle: 837.50(3 point leeway)saints win by 4 or more:250 Balt wins by 4 or more:337.50.
                          Comment
                          • Halfapointoff
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-25-14
                            • 1677

                            #14
                            Correction I forgot to take lost out of parlay. If Balt wins by 4 or more:287.50
                            Comment
                            • WWCD
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-22-13
                              • 1957

                              #15
                              I think I follow you. Safer hedge is BAL +3.5, and ML hedge = more risk but nicer payout.
                              Comment
                              • WWCD
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-22-13
                                • 1957

                                #16
                                I hope the game stays within 3! Prefer BAL win by 1-3 points because of other teasers/parlays.

                                Worst case scenario NO blows em out over 13 points and I only get to cash this one.
                                Comment
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