If you bet the ML favorite on every single NFL game of the season

[POOLSIDE]

...that was -400 or more, would you make money or lose money?

[TankHankerous]

Lose Huge

[bradleysnyder]

Nfl is the most unpredictable sport of them all.lose by FAR

[sneakerhead]

there were not a lot of teams that were -400 or more but i think u would be up. ill find out

[jtoler]

Obviously youd lose.

[yankees10]

So bet all the ml dogs and come out ahead I guess lol

[new era]

Try it next year

[sneakerhead]

If you bet on every favorite -400 or more, you would be 10-1 up 5.5 units aprox. only loss being seahawks vs cowboys. -300 or more might be a different story

[Harry N. Lloyd]

A few people around here don't seem to fully understand how the vigorish works......

[jtoler]

If you bet on every favorite -400 or more, you would be 10-1 up 5.5 units aprox. only loss being seahawks vs cowboys. -300 or more might be a different story

How long does that go back. Just for this year?

[sneakerhead]

How long does that go back. Just for this year?

yea just this season

for -300 and above favorites its 20-2 and you should be up like ~ +12 units. didnt check favorites -300 and below

[POOLSIDE]

A few people around here don't seem to fully understand how the vigorish works......

I'm not one of them. If you'd like to discuss math someday, I'd be happy to run circles around you. Otherwise, keep your pretentious drivel and arrogant ellipsis out of my threads.

The reason I asked was not because I don't understand the idea that when you lose, you lose more than you win. The reason I asked is because it's felt very safe this season, as sneakerhead spent the time to confirm (thank you, by the way).

I don't see it continuing like that. I'm well aware that even if a coin flip has showed tails forty times in a row, it's no more or less likely to land heads on the next roll. However, this trend seems to represent future value to me.

If Dallas wins tonight, heavily favored teams will be 11-1. Eleven and one. That's too much. Interesting.

[POOLSIDE]

yea just this season

for -300 and above favorites its 20-2 and you should be up like ~ +12 units. didnt check favorites -300 and below

That's insane.

[sneakerhead]

That's insane.

Yea didnt expect it, thought there were more upsets but besides the seahawks and steelers