10-6 now on the season. 2-0 ATS last week but 0-3 going Totals, which I'm officially ditching going forward. Just not had success this year with O/Us.
9-2 ATS
1-4 O/U
2014 total record: 10-6
Cincinnati -7 vs. Carolina
Bengals are playing great at home this year and are going up against a Panthers offense which may have to bring back Tim Biakabatuka if they lose any more running backs. The Bengals D should be able to contain the Panthers offense. Panthers Defense has not looked like the same unit as last year, particularly the last few weeks where Pittsburgh, Baltimore and Chicago moved the ball on them at will. Nice win last week vs. Chicago, but don't be fooled...that was more of a case of the Bears making mistakes and giving that game away. The Bengals are more disciplined. I see a nice double digit win for the Bengals here.
Miami +3.5 vs. Green Bay
The Packers are being overvalued based on last week's TNF game, IMO.. The Dolphins are being undervalued...coming off a bye week the Dolphins have looked pretty solid this year. The Packers will have to adjust to the Florida heat and face a Dolphins team coming off a bye. Packers may escape with a win, but don't see it by any more than a FG if they do. I like Miami here.
Seattle -9 vs. Dallas
This Dallas' first real big test after 4 wins over the likes of Tennessee, St. Louis, Houston and a weaker than normal Saints team. This is a much different animal to contend with. Cowboys defense will be tested against an underrated Seahawks Offense. Murray will have to try and run against a premier defense in their building. I think this is either a game where the Cowboys stun the Seahawks or they get blown out of the building. I think it's the ladder. Seahawks big on their home turf.
St. Louis +4 vs. San Fran
San Fran is coming off two home wins but now have to travel to St. Louis, who is better than people think. Take away the silly mistakes last week and they outplayed the Eagles on the road and had a shot at winning that game. Not sold on San Fran yet, and Austin Davis is becoming one of the bigger surprise stories in the NFL. Love the Rams at home here on a Monday night. I think they have a good shot at winning, but I'll stay away from the ML and play it safe and take the 4 in my pocket.
9-2 ATS
1-4 O/U
2014 total record: 10-6
Cincinnati -7 vs. Carolina
Bengals are playing great at home this year and are going up against a Panthers offense which may have to bring back Tim Biakabatuka if they lose any more running backs. The Bengals D should be able to contain the Panthers offense. Panthers Defense has not looked like the same unit as last year, particularly the last few weeks where Pittsburgh, Baltimore and Chicago moved the ball on them at will. Nice win last week vs. Chicago, but don't be fooled...that was more of a case of the Bears making mistakes and giving that game away. The Bengals are more disciplined. I see a nice double digit win for the Bengals here.
Miami +3.5 vs. Green Bay
The Packers are being overvalued based on last week's TNF game, IMO.. The Dolphins are being undervalued...coming off a bye week the Dolphins have looked pretty solid this year. The Packers will have to adjust to the Florida heat and face a Dolphins team coming off a bye. Packers may escape with a win, but don't see it by any more than a FG if they do. I like Miami here.
Seattle -9 vs. Dallas
This Dallas' first real big test after 4 wins over the likes of Tennessee, St. Louis, Houston and a weaker than normal Saints team. This is a much different animal to contend with. Cowboys defense will be tested against an underrated Seahawks Offense. Murray will have to try and run against a premier defense in their building. I think this is either a game where the Cowboys stun the Seahawks or they get blown out of the building. I think it's the ladder. Seahawks big on their home turf.
St. Louis +4 vs. San Fran
San Fran is coming off two home wins but now have to travel to St. Louis, who is better than people think. Take away the silly mistakes last week and they outplayed the Eagles on the road and had a shot at winning that game. Not sold on San Fran yet, and Austin Davis is becoming one of the bigger surprise stories in the NFL. Love the Rams at home here on a Monday night. I think they have a good shot at winning, but I'll stay away from the ML and play it safe and take the 4 in my pocket.