TheKLB's Parlay Thread

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  • TheKLB
    SBR High Roller
    • 09-26-12
    • 173

    #1
    TheKLB's Parlay Thread
    These seem to be my bread and butter as they tend to be big payoffs. My bankroll would probably be higher if did single bets... go big or go the penetrate home.

    1 unit - wins 6.91 units
    DEN -9.5 -110
    GB -2.5 -120
    DET -2.5 +126


    I will try to drop an early game and late game parlay each Sunday. More than likely, I will be broke in 6 weeks Who wants to go down with the ship?
  • TheKLB
    SBR High Roller
    • 09-26-12
    • 173

    #2
    Just need GB to do their job. Still working on the late games.
    Comment
    • TheKLB
      SBR High Roller
      • 09-26-12
      • 173

      #3
      1 unit - wins 7.44 units
      ARZ - -6 - +101
      CHI/ATL - 1st QTR O 10.5 - +120
      SD - -.5 1st QTR - -110


      A couple of props:

      Matt Ryan - Over 2 TDs - -135
      Phillip Rivers - Over 2.5 TBs - +125
      Comment
      • TheKLB
        SBR High Roller
        • 09-26-12
        • 173

        #4
        Wooow... pick 6 in one game and a Rodgers TD pass in the other... both with less than 30 seconds left to hit the first parlay! That was intense.


        EDIT: Damn you SD, running the ball like that. Ran out the clock. That bet is a bust.

        +5.91 units so far. Working on Sunday Night game and maybe baseball
        Comment
        • TheKLB
          SBR High Roller
          • 09-26-12
          • 173

          #5
          2 unit - wins 11 units
          SF Giants - 1st 5 ML - +115
          NYG/PHI - 1st QTR O 9.5 - -135
          SF/ATL - Over 41.5 - -134


          SNF has me worried because they have been slow starts this season.
          Comment
          • TheKLB
            SBR High Roller
            • 09-26-12
            • 173

            #6
            Some more props:

            Eli Manning - O 2TDs - +125
            Nick Foles - O 2TDs - +130

            Adding props as I see them

            P Sandoval more Hits than M Adams -115


            That's it for tonight
            Comment
            • TheKLB
              SBR High Roller
              • 09-26-12
              • 173

              #7
              +3.91u thus far.

              I didn't think my book would let me parlays these together:

              1u - wins 4.58u
              SF/STL - 1st Q Over 7.5 - +100
              SF - -9.5 - +179

              If you can't parlay those, I would still take them separate. I think the score will be 23-10 SF. Reasoning behind the first quarter play SF 1st quarter TT results this year: 24, 10, 10, 10, 10 - only one of these was a prime time game

              AZ TT 1st Q: 3, 14, 7, 13

              I see this as a race to 17 points. First team there, wins. Expect the Over 1st half TT but under for the game with the leading team turning to the ground


              As for Props, I like:
              Kaepernick rushing over 39.5 - +100
              Gore rushing over 79.5 - -140
              Crabtree rec over 52.5 - +100

              I don't see rec yards for Vernon Davis or I would be all over that. If I can get that, I would take it and Kaep rushing Over.

              Anyone else have any good props?
              Comment
              • TheKLB
                SBR High Roller
                • 09-26-12
                • 173

                #8
                2-1 in parlays - +8.49u


                I have taken a huge hit in props this week though. I will knock it off next week. I will think about putting together something tomorrow for MLB since there are 2 games.
                Comment
                • TheKLB
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 09-26-12
                  • 173

                  #9
                  A few thoughts for this coming week...

                  I will start with MLB (I know this is in the NFL sub-forum). Just a warning, this is all gut but I am thinking KC completes the sweep in the ALCS tomorrow. Great story, haven't made it to the World Series since 1985, YAY! SF loses tomorrow. Putting the series at 2-2, SF wins game 5. Allowing them to win game 6 on the road. Maybe game 7, but they will win the series. Just too many "stories" for them not to be there. Expect SF to just shutdown KC in the World Series. Look for early leads and then 5 to 6 pitchers being used to close out games. Giants in 4 or 5 games.

                  Back to the NFL. I like:

                  NE/NYJ - Over 1st quarter (I haven't seen a line for this yet but I am guessing 7.5?)
                  HOU/PIT - initially I am leaning upset. Might take HOU moneyline. Haven't analysed anything yet
                  SF/DEN - leaning under on this. SF offense is firing and its hard to bet against Peyton. But both have tough D's and I think first to 27 points wins
                  ARI/OAK - I like Arizona here to cover.
                  DAL/NYG - -3.5 seems really low to open in my opinion. Which is ovbious by the way the public snatched that up. Sitting at -6 now, this will be one of my late game play and I will sell to -6.5
                  NO/DET - might go with the under here. Although I will probably buy to 49.5 to be on the safe side
                  ATL/BAL - Baltimore to cover and maybe the under.
                  CAR/GB - GB seems like an easy cover. Offense is lighting it up. Cam is back to 100% so the over might also be a good play
                  CLE/JAC - Jags just suck. Hard not to bet against them. Cover and Under on this


                  Too late to analyze the other games still have a few AM games to go over. Any insight is appreciated.
                  Comment
                  • TheKLB
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 09-26-12
                    • 173

                    #10
                    So I was trying not to play tonight's game but just couldn't resist.


                    .9u - open parlay (2 spots)
                    NE - -9.5 -110


                    Not parlays but:

                    2u - wins 1.67u
                    NE - -6.5 1st half -120


                    1u - wins .95u
                    NE/NYJ - 1st Q over 7.5 -105
                    Comment
                    • TheKLB
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 09-26-12
                      • 173

                      #11
                      Took a beating that game. Rare to see a game have so few punts. Jets killed me with all their 7.5 minute drives.

                      Current parlay record: 2-2
                      +6.54 units


                      I don't like making plays this early but I am going to go with a long shot here. Not a normal play but hey, why the hell not?

                      1 unit - wins 16.15 units
                      MIA ML +145
                      KC ML +180
                      HOU ML +150


                      I wanted to throw the SF ML in with that but I might keep it for a different play. I'll post my normal 1 - 2 parlays Saturday night or Sunday AM.
                      Comment
                      • TheKLB
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 09-26-12
                        • 173

                        #12
                        1 unit - wins 4.86 units
                        Colts -3 -125 for Game
                        TEN/WAS over 7½ 1st Quarter -115
                        ATL/BAL over 9½ 1st Quarter -135

                        1 unit - wins 3.52 units
                        CIN/IND over 10 1st Quarter +115
                        CAR/GB over 10 1st Quarter +110


                        1 unit
                        B Bortles - Over 1.5 TD +150
                        Comment
                        • TheKLB
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 09-26-12
                          • 173

                          #13
                          Adding:

                          .5u - wins 9.5u
                          SF -6.5 for game +688
                          KC -2.5 for game +154
                          Comment
                          • TheKLB
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 09-26-12
                            • 173

                            #14
                            1 unit - wins 5.83 units
                            KC +3 for game -110
                            ARI -2.5 for 1st half -105
                            NYG/DAL over 9.5 1st Q -120
                            Comment
                            • TheKLB
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 09-26-12
                              • 173

                              #15
                              2-6 parlay bets - +1.04 units total (incl. non-parlay)

                              Still kicking... early leans:

                              MIA/JAC - under 43 -110
                              GB/NO - over 1st quarter
                              MIN/TB - under 1st quarter
                              KC -9.5 +119
                              NE -9.5 +153
                              BAL/CIN under 46 -110
                              OAK/CLE - under 1st quarter/half
                              IND/PIT - under 1st quarter
                              Comment
                              • TheKLB
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 09-26-12
                                • 173

                                #16
                                Plays for TNF:

                                2.2 units to win 2 units
                                SD/DEN over 10 1st quarter -110 (surprised to see on 10 on this so I doubled down)


                                .35u to win ?
                                DEN -12.5 +130
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