Simple logic for MNF - Bears @ Jets

[Spedizzo]

I give you simple logic on why you should take the Jets:

Why you should take the Jets:
- Jets are at home.
- Jets for the most part beat up a Raiders team that is bad, but did take the Patriots to the limit.
- Jets front four are BRUTAL, and they beat the crap out of Aaron Rodgers for the first half in Lambo Field.
- Jay Cutler gets frustrated and makes mistakes when he gets hit or knocked down, and trust me, he will get hit and knocked down.
- Bears lost to the offensively inept Bills, at home.
- Bears looked absolutely awful in the first half against the 49ers, and only won because the 49ers have proven they are awful in the second half. The 49ers have been outscored 49-3 in the second half in it's first 3 games.

My biggest reasons for taking the Jets:
- Marshall and Jeffery are both less than 100 percent. Marshall has been out of practice and was limited last week by a balky ankle, while Jeffery has been hampered by a nagging hamstring.
- The Jets have the #1 rushing defense, the Bears are 30th in the run game.
- The Jets are #1 in running the ball, the Bears are 31st.

Despite EVERYTHING I mentioned, 85% of the public is on the Bears ML, and 75% is on the Bears ATS. The line opened at Jets -1, shot up at some places to Jets -3, and is now sitting around -2.

My only concern would be if the Jets beat themselves with turnovers. Every game has a risk, but I feel confident with the Jets.

[SignThisBeast]

My book has Jets down to -1 from -3 yesterday. They want you to bet the Bears, and everyone is getting sucked in it seems.

[recon1]

Good logic it appears both of you's

[the1outlaw]

The JETS are still the Jets....they will find a way to lose tonight.

[PhilTheTHRILL]

Umm.. nope. Bears is the play

[Spedizzo]

Very possible

but to sum it up, its: Jets (#1 run who is also #1 in defending the run) against Bears who are on the road (#30 in running and #31 defending the run) with the public behind on them on a MNF game

I realize this is a small sample size with both teams only playing 2 games, but the variance between the 2 cannot be overlooked

Jets or nothing

[shocka1212]

sketchy jets secondary. no dee millner ( not that he was a prized corner to begin with). but you never know with Jay Cutler

[Spedizzo]

BEARS INJURY REPORT:

Jared Allen	DE	Back	Full Participation in Practice	Probable
Chris Conte	S	Shoulder	Full Participation in Practice	Probable
Roberto Garza	C	Ankle	Did Not Participate In Practice	Out
Alshon Jeffery	WR	Hamstring	Limited Participation in Practice	Questionable
Brandon Marshall	WR	Ankle	Limited Participation in Practice	Questionable
Shea McClellin	LB	Hand	Did Not Participate In Practice	Out
Sherrick McManis	CB	Quadricep	Did Not Participate In Practice	Out
Josh Morgan	WR	Groin	Full Participation in Practice	Probable
Jay Ratliff	DT	Concussion	Did Not Participate In Practice	Out
Trevor Scott	DE	Foot	Did Not Participate In Practice	Doubtful
Matt Slauson	G	Ankle	Did Not Participate In Practice	Out

[Spedizzo]

JETS INJURY REPORT:

Nick Bellore	LB	Hip	Full Participation in Practice	Probable
Josh Bush	S	Quadricep	Full Participation in Practice	Probable
Willie Colon	G	Calf	Full Participation in Practice	Probable
Quinton Coples	LB	Elbow	Full Participation in Practice	Probable
Eric Decker	WR	Hamstring	Limited Participation in Practice	Questionable
A.J. Edds	LB	Hamstring	Full Participation in Practice	Probable
Chris Johnson	RB	Ankle	Full Participation in Practice	Probable
Nick Mangold	C	Shoulder	Full Participation in Practice	Probable
Dee Milliner	CB	Ankle	Did Not Participate In Practice	Doubtful

[Spedizzo]

Spedizzo's Final Thoughts:
Jets secondary is sketchy, but their defensive line should be enough of a force to pressure Cutler into making mistakes (which he is more than capable of doing). With the Bears offensive line being awful, and having absolutely no run game, being on the road in this spot can be a disaster for them.

The 49ers proved this, battering Cutler in the first half of their game. The 49ers defensive line is not the defensive line you are used to in previous years. This Jets defensive line is way better.

Yes, the Jets can be the Jets, and that is about the only way I can reasonably see this game being lost. It is a risk worth taking all variables considered.

Thank you, and good luck.

[shocka1212]

i have the bears +9 in a teaser. might make a small play on the over since im so on the fence about which way this will go

[BeanTownClown88]

Cutler and the wrs are too good not to destroy the depleted secondary. .leaning over too

[NavsPicks]

Cutler and the wrs are too good not to destroy the depleted secondary. .leaning over too

Cutler + healthy wide receivers = too good.

Cutler + 70% Marshall 75% Jeffrey = disaster

[Spedizzo]

Those receivers are banged up

Cutler is probably the most overrated Quarterback of the last few years

What has he done? Besides play for an offense that has freakishly big or fast receivers, receive concussions, and have an annoying twitch

[Nyjrkm06]

The Jets didnt play the Patriots, they played the Packers

[recon1]

Cutler and the wrs are too good not to destroy the depleted secondary. .leaning over too

Defensive secondary is as good as your D-line.

[Spedizzo]

The Jets didnt play the Patriots, they played the Packers

The Raiders played the Patriots tough

The Jets beat the Raiders handily until they got silly at the end

No, this isn't very relevant to tonight's game, but I brought it up anyway

[McDabs]

Who is the Jets "Go To RB"?

Would like to take the Over Rushing yards for Johnson or Ivory, but not sure who I would lean...

Thought?

[2daBank]

Who is the Jets "Go To RB"?

Would like to take the Over Rushing yards for Johnson or Ivory, but not sure who I would lean...

Thought?

it is almost impossible to say, they will prob see about a even number of carries, or close at least..hell against bears run defense take them both, split at worst with decent chance cj breaks a long one and ivory hammers the bears into submission...