NFL Tips

[lukey016]

congrats on your great season so far lukey016

what are your thoughts on the pats vs dolphins?

Thanks Aston

I guess like most people I'm pretty confident the patriots will win this game, and although the Dolphins are playing great recently since the changeover, we need to remember they've only beaten the Titans and the Texans. I think the bookmakers have set the line perfectly at -7.5 as this could really swing either way.. It's hard to say how good the Dolphins are as this is there first true competition since there winning streak began, personally I see better value in other games but if you fancy either team and feel you have an edge then go for it. I think the Pats will win by at least a TD if i had to predict it.

[aston]

Thanks Aston

I guess like most people I'm pretty confident the patriots will win this game, and although the Dolphins are playing great recently since the changeover, we need to remember they've only beaten the Titans and the Texans. I think the bookmakers have set the line perfectly at -7.5 as this could really swing either way.. It's hard to say how good the Dolphins are as this is there first true competition since there winning streak began, personally I see better value in other games but if you fancy either team and feel you have an edge then go for it. I think the Pats will win by at least a TD if i had to predict it.

Yes I agree withthe Pats winningI was think of buying 1.5 points and get the line to -6 (just to have insurance) or tease the game with the Falcons .I will sleep on it. cheers for the advice

[Notorious_Donk]

It's hard to judge how Miami will come out of the gates under this new head coach. He seems to have the team on track but like you said, they have only beaten the Titans and Texans so far. My lean is towards Patriots -7. Anything more than that I'm staying away. BOL

[lukey016]

It's hard to judge how Miami will come out of the gates under this new head coach. He seems to have the team on track but like you said, they have only beaten the Titans and Texans so far. My lean is towards Patriots -7. Anything more than that I'm staying away. BOL

Yeah I agree with you on that one mate

[lukey016]

Just to update everyone with my bets for Week 8 -

1 - Minnesota Vikings Money Line -105

2 - Cincinnati Bengals Money Line +100

Current Record 13-3 (81.25%) ATS

[eswerve4]

Gl

[ekkyjaja]

Bol this weekend!

[lukey016]

Thanks guys, BOL to you too. Can someone tell me why the bears are now favorite? Considering the line opened at -2.5 vikings. Yes the 'BEARS'.. lol

[Notorious_Donk]

Thanks guys, BOL to you too. Can someone tell me why the bears are now favorite? Considering the line opened at -2.5 vikings. Yes the 'BEARS'.. lol

I do not have a good answer for you. Vikings opened up at -2.5 and 61% are on MIN spread but the line starts favoring da Bears... something seems a little fishy here

[phaseshift]

I do not have a good answer for you. Vikings opened up at -2.5 and 61% are on MIN spread but the line starts favoring da Bears... something seems a little fishy here

Maybe it's cause Peterson isn't playing?

[Notorious_Donk]

Maybe it's cause Peterson isn't playing?

Peterson was a full participant at practice today and is listed as probable.

[lukey016]

The line is settling back to where it should be, my guess is it's because the Bears at home and coming off a BYE week. Which isn't much of an edge at all. I like these VIKES!

[POOLSIDE]

Thanks guys, BOL to you too. Can someone tell me why the bears are now favorite? Considering the line opened at -2.5 vikings. Yes the 'BEARS'.. lol

What is Minnesota's record at Soldier Field over the last 10-15 years

[lukey016]

What is Minnesota's record at Soldier Field over the last 10-15 years

Fair enough, but if that's the reason i'm getting good odds then I like it

BOL to them utilizing there paper record at Soldier Field to give them the edge.

[POOLSIDE]

Fair enough, but if that's the reason i'm getting good odds then I like it

BOL to them utilizing there paper record at Soldier Field to give them the edge.

I hear you. I never know how much stock to put in trends like this. I mean, other teams waltz into Soldier and beat the hell out of the Bears regularly. I liked the Bears at +2.5 or +3. I don't like when the line crosses zero though.

[lukey016]

I hear you. I never know how much stock to put in trends like this. I mean, other teams waltz into Soldier and beat the hell out of the Bears regularly. I liked the Bears at +2.5 or +3. I don't like when the line crosses zero though.

I think if other teams can waltz in and beat the bears at home then you really shouldn't put too much thought into this, it would be fair enough if it was a re-occurring pattern that a lot of teams struggled against them at soldier field.

As long as the Vikings play like the Vikings and the Bears play like the Bears then the Vikings have got this.

[ekkyjaja]

2-0

[lukey016]

2-0

Yeah Fair to say they both went down to the wire though! Had big money on these, especially on the Vikings.

Puts my ATS Record on 15-3 (83.3%) with 0 loosing weeks so far! Now, let me have a look at some of the early lines for next week

[ekkyjaja]

Skipping the big game tonight?

[lukey016]

Yeah i skipped it haha, I really couldn't decide I had a feeling Denver would cover but thought the game was going to b closer than it was. This Denver Defence is good.. Lol

[Falcontron]

Keep your good work!

[lukey016]

Keep your good work!

Thanks mate, I'll do my best

[lukey016]

Week 9 -

Denver Broncos -3.0 -110

Current Record 15-3 (83.33%) ATS

[lukey016]

Don't ask me why but I had a double bet last night and one of them included Browns +21.5 pts and they lost by 21 haha

[ekkyjaja]

Don't ask me why but I had a double bet last night and one of them included Browns +21.5 pts and they lost by 21 haha

Well well good thing happen for a good reason. Good sign

[lukey016]

Well well good thing happen for a good reason. Good sign

Hope so

Who's ready for some NFL?

[Notorious_Donk]

Any thoughts on tonights game?

[lukey016]

Any thoughts on tonights game?

Am late but Broncos 1H performance was frustrating, good in 2nd but left too much work to be done, I have to admit though Andrew Luck had a great game, he took a pounding but remained composed and made some great throws which ultimately made the difference.

The Bears vs Chargers if I'm genuinely honest with you the chargers are just awful lol from the start of the season they was probably the most overrated team with Rivers being the main edge people used to bet on them week in week out.. But I left this game as the Bears are also awful. Don't even remember the handicap but it was risky either way lol..

[lukey016]

Nothing special today but I have a double bet on Panthers & Patriots MoneyLine, should have some single bets for next week

[lukey016]

Nice little winner! Had my largest bet of the season so far on that double and the patriots just about scraped the win for me. I do prefer single bets but I really didn't see much value in any of the lines so I had no choice.. I should have 1 or 2 single bets for next week to hopefully continue my winning streak

My record stands at 16-4 (80%) ATS currently!

[lukey016]

NFL Week 11 -
Current Record 16-4 (80%) ATS

Denver Broncos MoneyLine -120

Oakland Raiders MoneyLine +100

Indianapolis Colts +3.5 +105

Kansas City Chiefs -3.0 -120

[lukey016]

3-1 for Week 11!

Current Record 19-5 (79%) ATS
11 weeks in and proud to say iv'e had 0 loosing weeks thus far..

[JohnPickensU]

Great season so far. What do you like tonight? Even if not official play, What's your thoughts on the game?

[lukey016]

Great season so far. What do you like tonight? Even if not official play, What's your thoughts on the game?

Thanks John! Personally I don't see enough value in it, although I did take the pats moneyline in a double with the panthers this week as one of my unofficial bets so I do believe they get the job done here and should win by at least a touchdown.

[JohnPickensU]

Sounds good. May pass on the game myself. Just like to hear your thoughts on a heavily bet game. Good discipline if passing. Best of luck.