Bobby $tats' Flaming 5 & Tempting Teaser Picks NFL season, week 1

jrose2106 · 09-09-14, 09:16 AM

I actually got the Den/Indy Over at 53.5 on 5dimes on gameday but I did post 55 so I was only 3-2-1 week 1.

3-2-1 + 1.65 units

jrose2106 · 09-10-14, 09:24 PM

Week 2 with Bobby Stats 60%, +1.65u week 1 !!

After a solid week 1, I look to take advantage of the public and, knowing this, vegas setting lines a little off from where they would have been set preseason. I'll give a quick explanation for my picks. I fully plan on capping over 58% this season btw. Gl ya'll

Buffalo +1 - 2 units
Beating the patriots week 1 has the public siding 3 to 1 so far with Miami in a matchup that Buffalo has covered the last 2 times at home, and are 3-1 ATS the previous 3 seasons. After a huge upset at Chicago, I fully expect an already underrated Buffalo crowd to be as electric as an atmosphere as we've seen in a long time and should provide the bills the energy to play good run Def as they did the last time Miami played in Buffalo last year, rushing for just 14 yards on 12 attempts, and with plenty of ballhawks I expect them to go atleast +1 in turnovers. Also Miami's main strength last week was their edge pass rushing,but with a mobile QB in Manuel, I expect him to make enough plays with his legs and Spiller/Jackson/Manuel combo rushed for 200 last time around. This line should be -3

Cincy -5 1 unit Another over reaction to Atlanta's upset over N.O. Expect a letdown in energy. Cincy is 11-5 as home fav last 3 years and 6-1 vs non-conference. Cincy's D a much harder matchup and the public is all over Atl. This line should be -6.5-7. I lean on the cincy team over as well.
Chicago +7 1 unit -1 team looked bad, the other amazing, before week 1 this line would be +3.5- 4.5 .

Green bay -8 1 unit - Jets secondary vs A rod ?

Oakland + 3 1 unit - Home dog coming off a road loss, good lean here, No clowney for Hou

6 pt nfl sides ties reduce Tease - 2 units

Pit + 8.5 - this rivarly ends in a 3 pt/1 score game more than any for many years now, anytime you can cross the 3 and 7 on a 6 pt tease in this matchup, it's an easyplay.

G.B - 2 - I don't like to tease a team I played strait normally but with 10 days of rest and prep, crossing the 7 and 3 and virtually having just G.B. ML is too much to pass up

Bonus tease, 6.5 pt ties win - 1 unit-128

Dallas +10 - fade em at home, tail em on road if number is good , even a mercy TD down 17 late is good
Denver - 5.5 - Peyton Manning