2014 NFL System - JM and Modified JM + Halftime Middle Strategy

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  • on3
    SBR MVP
    • 08-23-10
    • 2197

    #36
    system record: 0-0
    mod system record: 0-0
    units: +0

    week 4 potential plays (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS/lost 1 SU and 1 ATS (MOD)):

    ny giants
    tampa bay
    new orleans
    jacksonville

    week 5 potential plays (lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

    oakland
    minnesota
    detroit
    atlanta
    seattle
    san fran
    miami
    pittsburgh
    tennessee
    Comment
    • on3
      SBR MVP
      • 08-23-10
      • 2197

      #37
      looks like TB will be the first official play of the season in week 4 against the steelers @ PIT
      Comment
      • on3
        SBR MVP
        • 08-23-10
        • 2197

        #38
        looks like we got some plays...

        system record: 0-0
        mod system record: 0-0
        units: +0

        week 4 plays (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS/lost 2 SU and 2 ATS (MOD)):

        (A) Tampa Bay + 7.5 (-125) @ pittsburgh
        (A) Jacksonville +14.5 (-130) @ san diego

        week 5 potential plays
        (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS/lost 1 SU and 1 ATS (MOD)):

        minnesota
        san fran
        miami
        tennessee
        buffalo
        houston
        denver
        carolina


        week 6 potential plays (lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

        buffalo
        st louis
        houston
        green bay
        denver
        miami
        carolina
        Comment
        • md3324
          SBR Hustler
          • 05-24-14
          • 62

          #39
          What is everyone feelings on these plays when the lines drop? Is it safe to play the closing lines? My book has Jax at +13 right now.
          Comment
          • jcygts6
            SBR MVP
            • 04-05-09
            • 3316

            #40
            i believe the true line for JAX should be at +13
            DO WORK + KROW OD
            do work! do work! do work! do work!
            od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
            Comment
            • jcygts6
              SBR MVP
              • 04-05-09
              • 3316

              #41
              Some books have JAX juiced up to +14 or 14.5
              DO WORK + KROW OD
              do work! do work! do work! do work!
              od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
              Comment
              • on3
                SBR MVP
                • 08-23-10
                • 2197

                #42
                system record: 1-0
                mod system record: 0-0
                units: -.3 (one series open)

                week 5 plays (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS/lost 2 SU and 2 ATS (MOD)):

                (B) Jacksonville +7.5 (-145) vs pittsburgh
                (A) Buffalo (MOD) +7.5 (-130) @ detroit
                (A) Carolina (MOD) ML (-150) vs chicago
                (A) Tennessee ML (-130) vs cleveland

                week 6 potential plays
                (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS/lost 1 SU and 1 ATS (MOD)):

                denver (MOD)
                carolina
                buffalo
                philly (MOD)

                week 7 potential plays (lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

                st louis
                denver
                chicago
                ny jets
                oakland
                pittsburgh
                philly
                atlanta
                new orleans
                Comment
                • on3
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-23-10
                  • 2197

                  #43
                  Originally posted by jcygts6
                  i believe the true line for JAX should be at +13
                  official rules state that points should be bought on key numbers and for favorites to be played on money lines. i only follow the last rule when favorites are 4 or below.
                  Comment
                  • delbiand
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 07-27-11
                    • 31

                    #44
                    Do you buy 1pt on JAX?
                    Comment
                    • on3
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-23-10
                      • 2197

                      #45
                      Originally posted by delbiand
                      Do you buy 1pt on JAX?
                      i played them at +7.5.
                      Comment
                      • Turfgrass
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 10-13-11
                        • 50

                        #46
                        Originally posted by on3
                        looks like TB will be the first official play of the season in week 4 against the steelers @ PIT
                        Sweet call on that one...
                        Comment
                        • jv040
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 07-14-09
                          • 86

                          #47
                          are there filters for the jm system?
                          Comment
                          • on3
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-23-10
                            • 2197

                            #48
                            2h plays

                            HOU/DAL -- under 21.5
                            BAL/INC -- under 23.5
                            PHI -- PK
                            TEN -- +3
                            TEN/CLE -- over 20.5
                            CHI/CAR -- over 23
                            Last edited by on3; 10-05-14, 01:39 PM.
                            Comment
                            • on3
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-23-10
                              • 2197

                              #49
                              system record: 1-0
                              mod system record: 2-0
                              units: -4.9 (two series open)
                              mod units: +2

                              week 6 plays (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS/lost 2 SU and 2 ATS (MOD)):

                              (C) Jacksonville no line yet vs tennessee
                              (B) Tennessee no line yet vs jacksonville (if you pushed or won this game last week, do not play)

                              week 7 potential plays
                              (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS/lost 1 SU and 1 ATS (MOD)):

                              st louis
                              chicago
                              ny jets
                              atlanta
                              detroit (MOD)
                              baltimore (MOD)
                              arizona (MOD)
                              cincy (MOD)

                              week 8 potential plays (lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

                              oakland
                              minnesota
                              detroit
                              baltimore
                              arizona
                              kansas city
                              cincy
                              washington
                              Comment
                              • NZT-48
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 05-29-11
                                • 522

                                #50
                                Hello on3 isnt this weeks plays as follow?


                                We got 2 plays playing both sides which is rare but happens


                                Jaguars (C) vs Titans

                                Titans (B) vs Jaguars

                                Jets (A) vs Broncos


                                Let me know if I am wrong or I missed something? thanks






                                Originally posted by on3
                                system record: 1-0
                                mod system record: 2-0
                                units: -4.9 (two series open)
                                mod units: +2

                                week 6 plays (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS/lost 2 SU and 2 ATS (MOD)):

                                (C) Jacksonville no line yet vs tennessee
                                (B) Tennessee no line yet vs jacksonville (if you pushed or won this game last week, do not play)

                                week 7 potential plays
                                (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS/lost 1 SU and 1 ATS (MOD)):

                                st louis
                                chicago
                                ny jets
                                atlanta
                                detroit (MOD)
                                baltimore (MOD)
                                arizona (MOD)
                                cincy (MOD)

                                week 8 potential plays (lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

                                oakland
                                minnesota
                                detroit
                                baltimore
                                arizona
                                kansas city
                                cincy
                                washington
                                Comment
                                • on3
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-23-10
                                  • 2197

                                  #51
                                  system record: 1-0
                                  mod system record: 2-0
                                  units: -4.9 (two series open)
                                  mod units: +2

                                  week 6 plays (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS/lost 2 SU and 2 ATS (MOD)):

                                  (C) Jacksonville +4 vs tennessee
                                  (B) Tennessee ML (-200) vs jacksonville (if you pushed or won this game last week, do not play)
                                  (A) NY Jets +10 (-120) vs denver

                                  week 7 potential plays
                                  (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS/lost 1 SU and 1 ATS (MOD)):

                                  st louis
                                  chicago
                                  atlanta
                                  detroit (MOD)
                                  baltimore (MOD)
                                  arizona (MOD)
                                  cincy (MOD)

                                  week 8 potential plays (lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

                                  oakland
                                  minnesota
                                  detroit
                                  baltimore
                                  arizona
                                  kansas city
                                  cincy
                                  washington
                                  Comment
                                  • on3
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-23-10
                                    • 2197

                                    #52
                                    system record: 3-0
                                    mod system record: 2-0
                                    units: +1.8 (one series open)
                                    mod units: +2

                                    week 7 plays (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS/lost 2 SU and 2 ATS (MOD)):

                                    (B) NY Jets +10.5 (-130) @ new england
                                    (A) Atlanta +7.5 (-120) @ baltimore
                                    (A) St Louis +7.5 (-135) vs seattle

                                    week 8 potential plays
                                    (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS/lost 1 SU and 1 ATS (MOD)):

                                    minnesota
                                    washington
                                    seattle (MOD)

                                    week 9 potential plays (lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

                                    kansas city
                                    houston
                                    tampa bay
                                    buffalo
                                    pittsburgh
                                    miami
                                    seattle
                                    ny giants
                                    Last edited by on3; 10-14-14, 01:02 PM.
                                    Comment
                                    • NZT-48
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 05-29-11
                                      • 522

                                      #53
                                      Hello there - I think that the Redskins are indeed an A Bet on the 19th against the Titans......let me know if I am wrong - they've already lost 3 in a row and ATS as well =))
                                      Comment
                                      • on3
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-23-10
                                        • 2197

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by NZT-48
                                        Hello there - I think that the Redskins are indeed an A Bet on the 19th against the Titans......let me know if I am wrong - they've already lost 3 in a row and ATS as well =))
                                        you're right, i forgot to move them up
                                        Comment
                                        • on3
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-23-10
                                          • 2197

                                          #55
                                          system record: 3-0
                                          mod system record: 2-0
                                          units: +1.8 (one series open)
                                          mod units: +2

                                          week 7 plays (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS/lost 2 SU and 2 ATS (MOD)):

                                          (B) NY Jets +10.5 (-130) @ new england
                                          (A) Atlanta +7.5 (-120) @ baltimore
                                          (A) St Louis +7.5 (-135) vs seattle
                                          (A) Washington -6/-250 vs tennessee -- play ML, per the rules

                                          week 8 potential plays
                                          (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS/lost 1 SU and 1 ATS (MOD)):

                                          minnesota
                                          seattle (MOD)

                                          week 9 potential plays (lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

                                          kansas city
                                          houston
                                          tampa bay
                                          buffalo
                                          pittsburgh
                                          miami
                                          seattle
                                          ny giants
                                          Comment
                                          • analyzer
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-03-11
                                            • 2049

                                            #56
                                            Nice cash on the Jets last night
                                            Comment
                                            • on3
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-23-10
                                              • 2197

                                              #57
                                              yessir
                                              Comment
                                              • on3
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-23-10
                                                • 2197

                                                #58
                                                system record: 6-0
                                                mod system record: 2-0
                                                units: +4.8 (one series open)
                                                mod units: +2

                                                week 8 plays (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS/lost 2 SU and 2 ATS (MOD)):

                                                (B) Atlanta +4 (-110) vs detroit
                                                (A) Seattle (MOD) -4.5/-225 @ carolina -- play ML, per the rules

                                                week 9 potential plays
                                                (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS/lost 1 SU and 1 ATS (MOD)):

                                                seattle
                                                ny giants
                                                cinci (MOD)
                                                san diego (MOD)
                                                san fran (MOD)


                                                week 10 potential plays (lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

                                                houston
                                                tampa bay
                                                pittsburgh
                                                cleveland
                                                cinci
                                                chicago
                                                carolina
                                                san diego
                                                oakland
                                                san fran
                                                Comment
                                                • on3
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-23-10
                                                  • 2197

                                                  #59
                                                  system record: 6-0
                                                  mod system record: 2-0
                                                  units: +4.8 (one series open)
                                                  mod units: +2

                                                  week 8 plays (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS/lost 2 SU and 2 ATS (MOD)):

                                                  (B) Atlanta +4 (-110) vs detroit
                                                  (A) Seattle (MOD) -4.5/-225 @ carolina -- play ML, per the rules

                                                  week 9 potential plays
                                                  (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS/lost 1 SU and 1 ATS (MOD)):

                                                  seattle
                                                  ny giants
                                                  cinci (MOD)
                                                  san diego (MOD)
                                                  san fran (MOD)
                                                  houston

                                                  week 10 potential plays (lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

                                                  tampa bay
                                                  cleveland
                                                  cinci
                                                  chicago
                                                  carolina
                                                  san diego
                                                  oakland
                                                  san fran
                                                  Comment
                                                  • on3
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-23-10
                                                    • 2197

                                                    #60
                                                    system record: 7-0
                                                    mod system record: 3-0
                                                    units: +7
                                                    mod units: +3

                                                    week 9 plays (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS/lost 2 SU and 2 ATS (MOD)):

                                                    (A) San Diego (MOD) +3.5 (-140) @ miami

                                                    week 10 potential plays
                                                    (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS/lost 1 SU and 1 ATS (MOD)):

                                                    ny giants
                                                    san diego
                                                    san fran (MOD)
                                                    chicago
                                                    oakland
                                                    tampa bay
                                                    baltimore (MOD)
                                                    philly (MOD)
                                                    green bay (MOD)
                                                    indianapolis (MOD)


                                                    week 11 potential plays (lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

                                                    san fran
                                                    st louis
                                                    tennessee
                                                    baltimore
                                                    jacksonville
                                                    ny jets
                                                    philly
                                                    green bay
                                                    indianapolis
                                                    Comment
                                                    • on3
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-23-10
                                                      • 2197

                                                      #61
                                                      system humming along nicely, thread is eerily quiet...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jcygts6
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 04-05-09
                                                        • 3316

                                                        #62
                                                        Hellloo
                                                        DO WORK + KROW OD
                                                        do work! do work! do work! do work!
                                                        od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • KaChing702
                                                          SBR Rookie
                                                          • 10-29-14
                                                          • 2

                                                          #63
                                                          Money's on SD this week. Hopefully the system continues to hum nicely. Thanks for the updates on3.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • on3
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 08-23-10
                                                            • 2197

                                                            #64
                                                            system record: 7-0
                                                            mod system record: 3-0
                                                            units: +5.6 (1 series open)
                                                            mod units: +3

                                                            week 10 plays (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS/lost 2 SU and 2 ATS (MOD)):

                                                            (B) San Diego (MOD) BYE
                                                            (A) San Diego BYE
                                                            (A) San Fran (MOD) +4 (-110) @ new orleans
                                                            (A) Baltimore (MOD) -10/-500 vs tennessee -- play ML per the rules
                                                            (A) NY Giants +10 (-135) @ seattle

                                                            week 11 potential plays
                                                            (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS/lost 1 SU and 1 ATS (MOD)):

                                                            san fran
                                                            chicago
                                                            baltimore
                                                            green bay (MOD)
                                                            ny jets
                                                            dallas (MOD)
                                                            denver (MOD)

                                                            week 12 potential plays (lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

                                                            tennessee
                                                            green bay
                                                            carolina
                                                            dallas
                                                            houston
                                                            washington
                                                            denver
                                                            Last edited by on3; 11-04-14, 02:24 PM.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BuckeyeKaptn
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 11-16-12
                                                              • 271

                                                              #65
                                                              on3....I forgot about this thread. Anyway, I made a spreadsheet in Google to figure out the middle. I checked it out against your GB/Sea game on your first post...and it's the same.



                                                              enter only in the blue. Anyone can download it too. Read the instructions first.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • KaChing702
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 10-29-14
                                                                • 2

                                                                #66
                                                                Thank you. This is very helpful.

                                                                Originally posted by BuckeyeKaptn
                                                                on3....I forgot about this thread. Anyway, I made a spreadsheet in Google to figure out the middle. I checked it out against your GB/Sea game on your first post...and it's the same.



                                                                enter only in the blue. Anyone can download it too. Read the instructions first.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • frisky
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 03-01-11
                                                                  • 347

                                                                  #67
                                                                  So do ya play 1st halves or is this for game, and what does MOD mean?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • on3
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-23-10
                                                                    • 2197

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by frisky
                                                                    So do ya play 1st halves or is this for game, and what does MOD mean?
                                                                    play full game. MOD = modified to play ON teams > .500 that lose 2 in a row ATS and SU instead of the requisite 3 that the system calls for. read the thread and the rules to get a better understanding.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • on3
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-23-10
                                                                      • 2197

                                                                      #69
                                                                      system record: 9-0
                                                                      mod system record: 5-0
                                                                      units: +7.65 (1 series open)
                                                                      mod units: +3.6 (1 series open)

                                                                      week 11 plays (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS/lost 2 SU and 2 ATS (MOD)):

                                                                      (B) San Diego (MOD) -10/-600 vs oakland -- play ML per the rules
                                                                      (A) San Diego -10/-600 vs oakland -- play ML per the rules
                                                                      (B) NY Giants +4.5 vs san francisco
                                                                      (A) Chicago -3 (-120)/-150 ML vs. minnesota -- play ML per the rules

                                                                      week 12 potential plays
                                                                      (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS/lost 1 SU and 1 ATS (MOD)):

                                                                      tennessee
                                                                      carolina
                                                                      miami (MOD)
                                                                      buffalo (MOD)
                                                                      cincy (MOD)
                                                                      pittsburgh (MOD)

                                                                      week 13 potential plays (lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

                                                                      houston
                                                                      washington
                                                                      jacksonville
                                                                      miami
                                                                      buffalo
                                                                      new orleans
                                                                      cincy
                                                                      pittsburgh
                                                                      tampa bay
                                                                      oakland
                                                                      st louis

                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • on3
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 08-23-10
                                                                        • 2197

                                                                        #70
                                                                        system record: 11-0
                                                                        mod system record: 6-0
                                                                        units: +7.3 (1 series open)
                                                                        mod units: +6

                                                                        week 12 plays (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS/lost 2 SU and 2 ATS (MOD)):

                                                                        (C) NY Giants +3.5 (-125) vs dallas
                                                                        (A) Buffalo (MOD) -4/-210 vs ny jets -- play ML per rules

                                                                        week 13 potential plays
                                                                        (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS/lost 1 SU and 1 ATS (MOD)):

                                                                        washington
                                                                        buffalo
                                                                        new orleans
                                                                        philly (MOD)
                                                                        seattle (MOD)
                                                                        denver (MOD)
                                                                        detroit (MOD)
                                                                        indianapolis (MOD)
                                                                        cleveland (MOD)

                                                                        week 14 potential plays (lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

                                                                        jacksonville
                                                                        cleveland
                                                                        minnesota
                                                                        philly
                                                                        seattle
                                                                        denver
                                                                        detroit
                                                                        indianapolis
                                                                        Last edited by on3; 11-18-14, 03:49 PM.
                                                                        Comment
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