Any thoughts?? Sure looks good to me.. How about you?
McBa1n
SBR MVP
01-02-06
2642
#2
I think this is a bad line - so that means it's probably a good one.
I actually favor the over by the slimmest of margins.
Buffalo can run the ball and has a playmaking receiver in Price. Those 2 factors make it hard to take under 2 TDs.
Buffalo has a pretty decent D and can score on D (I think Takeo Spikes being available to play helps a LOT with that - not sure his status this week, yet.) They've also put up points on some pretty solid Ds this year - and on the road, and they're an AFC team (always worth something, as the AFC is much better).
I think it's too close a line. Handicapping says Buffalo will barely cover that number - my gut says 'no way at Soldier Field'.
I don't think you'll have a big enough edge to make it worth taking... Unless you really have a strong feeling about Chicago this weekend. If there's one team that can hold down ANY team to under a TD, it's Chi.
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imgv94
SBR Posting Legend
11-16-05
17192
#3
J.P Losman @ Soldier Field...
Buffalo TT so far this year
17-16-20-17
Now take into consideration their on the road versus the best defense in the NFL...
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McBa1n
SBR MVP
01-02-06
2642
#4
I am not disputing the logic - hell no.
It's just the stupid things that happen and the x factors.
I don't know how 'up' for the game the Bears will be. They WANTED Seattle real bad. Buffalo? I havn't had a chance to go over the local Chi news yet to get a pulse.
I am NOT a big fan of Losman, either...
I think that line is so razor thin that it's hard. 14 1/2, I'd feel MUCH better (I'd jump on it myself)... I think Buffalo is capable of a TD, and then you have to pray for nothing else.
I think the BIGGEST factor is if you think the game will be close. If it's close, then I think you're good. If Chi puts up a lot of points and then backs off on D, I think you might be in trouble.
No way I kill the pick, though. It's so very close.
I can see it going either way - by a slim margin. If it were 14 1/2, though, I think you'd be money.
Also, take into consideration, my totals record is very bad historically (1 - 1 in bets this year in the NFL), I make a lot of mistakes in predicting the totals.
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ivyconniver
SBR Sharp
09-07-06
267
#5
I'd go the over on that line, personally, if you put a gun to my head
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nosuzieno
SBR Wise Guy
09-18-06
593
#6
Like the thought, with only concern being defensive points as Grossman still capable of throwing pick like he did in Minn...
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falloutboy35
SBR Rookie
09-18-06
48
#7
i would stay away from the total in this game.
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rm18
SBR Posting Legend
09-20-05
22291
#8
Looks pretty good, I also think Cleveland under 14.5, Tennessee under 14.5, and Baltimore under 14.5 look nice, Denver has only given up 1 TD all year.
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slacker00
SBR Posting Legend
10-06-05
12262
#9
Whoever got the Bills under 13, I'm jealous! It's at 11.5 at Pinny right now. I gotta check this forum more often. Nice find imgv94!
I am following rm18's Browns U14.5 & Titans U14.5, still available -102 @ Pinny. I don't like the Ravens U14.5 as much, because I half expect the Ravens D to score a TD even if Denver holds the Raven's offense to a few FGs.
I've never played team totals before, so we'll see how this weekend goes.
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moses millsap
SBR Hall of Famer
08-25-05
8289
#10
I think Buffalo will score a special teams TD tomorrow, fwiw.
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Illusion
Restricted User
08-09-05
25166
#11
Buffalo should have been shutout today. They got great feild position on a fumble from Chicago late in garbage time.
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imgv94
SBR Posting Legend
11-16-05
17192
#12
I played this very small..
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rm18
SBR Posting Legend
09-20-05
22291
#13
I can't believe these all hit, maybe I should stick to team totals and props, cuz I still lost yesterday even though I got these 3.
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Jay Edgar
SBR MVP
03-08-06
1576
#14
Now the question is, what about Buffalo under 19.5 or 20 this Sunday in Detroit?
Freakin' Kitna and his handouts may be the biggest problem to overcome . . .
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rm18
SBR Posting Legend
09-20-05
22291
#15
I would go under 20.5 if you can find that number, or no play
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rm18
SBR Posting Legend
09-20-05
22291
#16
The interesting thing though is it looks like we may even see Arizona O/U 14 against Chicago next week, Bears may not be quite the same on the road, but it still looks very hot.
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primo_skillz
SBR Wise Guy
09-15-06
706
#17
Liking the bears to keep arz point total low as well.