Buffalo Bills Team Total Under 13 Any thoughts?

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  • imgv94
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-16-05
    • 17192

    #1
    Buffalo Bills Team Total Under 13 Any thoughts?
    Buffalo Bills TT Under 13pts

    Any thoughts?? Sure looks good to me.. How about you?

  • McBa1n
    SBR MVP
    • 01-02-06
    • 2642

    #2
    I think this is a bad line - so that means it's probably a good one.
    I actually favor the over by the slimmest of margins.

    Buffalo can run the ball and has a playmaking receiver in Price. Those 2 factors make it hard to take under 2 TDs.

    Buffalo has a pretty decent D and can score on D (I think Takeo Spikes being available to play helps a LOT with that - not sure his status this week, yet.) They've also put up points on some pretty solid Ds this year - and on the road, and they're an AFC team (always worth something, as the AFC is much better).

    I think it's too close a line. Handicapping says Buffalo will barely cover that number - my gut says 'no way at Soldier Field'.

    I don't think you'll have a big enough edge to make it worth taking... Unless you really have a strong feeling about Chicago this weekend. If there's one team that can hold down ANY team to under a TD, it's Chi.
    Comment
    • imgv94
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-16-05
      • 17192

      #3
      J.P Losman @ Soldier Field...

      Buffalo TT so far this year
      17-16-20-17

      Now take into consideration their on the road versus the best defense in the NFL...
      Comment
      • McBa1n
        SBR MVP
        • 01-02-06
        • 2642

        #4
        I am not disputing the logic - hell no.
        It's just the stupid things that happen and the x factors.
        I don't know how 'up' for the game the Bears will be. They WANTED Seattle real bad. Buffalo? I havn't had a chance to go over the local Chi news yet to get a pulse.
        I am NOT a big fan of Losman, either...
        I think that line is so razor thin that it's hard. 14 1/2, I'd feel MUCH better (I'd jump on it myself)... I think Buffalo is capable of a TD, and then you have to pray for nothing else.

        I think the BIGGEST factor is if you think the game will be close. If it's close, then I think you're good. If Chi puts up a lot of points and then backs off on D, I think you might be in trouble.

        No way I kill the pick, though. It's so very close.
        I can see it going either way - by a slim margin. If it were 14 1/2, though, I think you'd be money.

        Also, take into consideration, my totals record is very bad historically (1 - 1 in bets this year in the NFL), I make a lot of mistakes in predicting the totals.
        Comment
        • ivyconniver
          SBR Sharp
          • 09-07-06
          • 267

          #5
          I'd go the over on that line, personally, if you put a gun to my head
          Comment
          • nosuzieno
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 09-18-06
            • 593

            #6
            Like the thought, with only concern being defensive points as Grossman still capable of throwing pick like he did in Minn...
            Comment
            • falloutboy35
              SBR Rookie
              • 09-18-06
              • 48

              #7
              i would stay away from the total in this game.
              Comment
              • rm18
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 09-20-05
                • 22291

                #8
                Looks pretty good, I also think Cleveland under 14.5, Tennessee under 14.5, and Baltimore under 14.5 look nice, Denver has only given up 1 TD all year.
                Comment
                • slacker00
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-06-05
                  • 12262

                  #9
                  Whoever got the Bills under 13, I'm jealous! It's at 11.5 at Pinny right now. I gotta check this forum more often. Nice find imgv94!

                  I am following rm18's Browns U14.5 & Titans U14.5, still available -102 @ Pinny. I don't like the Ravens U14.5 as much, because I half expect the Ravens D to score a TD even if Denver holds the Raven's offense to a few FGs.

                  I've never played team totals before, so we'll see how this weekend goes.
                  Comment
                  • moses millsap
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-25-05
                    • 8289

                    #10
                    I think Buffalo will score a special teams TD tomorrow, fwiw.
                    Comment
                    • Illusion
                      Restricted User
                      • 08-09-05
                      • 25166

                      #11
                      Buffalo should have been shutout today. They got great feild position on a fumble from Chicago late in garbage time.
                      Comment
                      • imgv94
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-16-05
                        • 17192

                        #12
                        I played this very small..
                        Comment
                        • rm18
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 09-20-05
                          • 22291

                          #13
                          I can't believe these all hit, maybe I should stick to team totals and props, cuz I still lost yesterday even though I got these 3.
                          Comment
                          • Jay Edgar
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-08-06
                            • 1576

                            #14
                            Now the question is, what about Buffalo under 19.5 or 20 this Sunday in Detroit?

                            Freakin' Kitna and his handouts may be the biggest problem to overcome . . .
                            Comment
                            • rm18
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 09-20-05
                              • 22291

                              #15
                              I would go under 20.5 if you can find that number, or no play
                              Comment
                              • rm18
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 09-20-05
                                • 22291

                                #16
                                The interesting thing though is it looks like we may even see Arizona O/U 14 against Chicago next week, Bears may not be quite the same on the road, but it still looks very hot.
                                Comment
                                • primo_skillz
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 09-15-06
                                  • 706

                                  #17
                                  Liking the bears to keep arz point total low as well.
                                  Comment
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