INTELLECTUAL MASTERMIND: SEATTLE -1/2 1st QUARTER AVAILABLE

Easy-Rider 66 · 01-16-14, 06:20 PM

Could be tight early. But you do get +110. GL.

trobin31 · 01-16-14, 06:42 PM

Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66

Could be tight early. But you do get +110. GL.

Thats the best part is the value. Seattle is minus 230 on ML vs taking better value with SEA -1/2 1st quarter +110. You could still come in on 49ers +3.5 or while taking advantage of seattle's typical bust out the gate early intensity. I can't remember the Seahawks being down at home after the 1st 5 mins, nonetheless 1st quarter, it's usually a double digit lead by 2nd quarter.

Easy-Rider 66 · 01-16-14, 06:48 PM

^ I am seeing Sea-190 for the game and -145 to win 1stQ. The only thing is Sea O has not been playing well as of late. SF has more weapons especially if Harvin can't go. Think I would rather lay the 145 than 1/2 point if I was to take Sea 1stQ.

trobin31 · 01-16-14, 06:59 PM

Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66

^ I am seeing Sea-190 for the game and -145 to win 1stQ. The only thing is Sea O has not been playing well as of late. SF has more weapons especially if Harvin can't go. Think I would rather lay the 145 than 1/2 point if I was to take Sea 1stQ.

sorry if I am ignorant, isn't taking the -1/2 point at +110 the same as money line Seattle at -145, only by laying points you get better value?

strictlypaypal · 01-16-14, 07:04 PM

that half point is a huge difference in the first quarter. if niners have the ball early at 0-0 that clock is going to feel like its going at 100MPH. there's no way to cap the first quarter it's literally a coin flip especially with these slow time consuming offenses there's a reason why -.5 is + money

Easy-Rider 66 · 01-16-14, 07:05 PM

Originally posted by trobin31

sorry if I am ignorant, isn't taking the -1/2 point at +110 the same as money line Seattle at -145, only by laying points you get better value?

See your point. But the fact that it is the 1stQ factors into the difference. Especially in what could be a defensive battle with points at a premium.

strictlypaypal · 01-16-14, 07:07 PM

just take ML and bite the juice, at least you don't lose any money if its tied after 1. also I think its been like 6 straight games where niners have scored the first drive. I would steer clear

trobin31 · 01-16-14, 07:37 PM

Originally posted by strictlypaypal

that half point is a huge difference in the first quarter. if niners have the ball early at 0-0 that clock is going to feel like its going at 100MPH. there's no way to cap the first quarter it's literally a coin flip especially with these slow time consuming offenses there's a reason why -.5 is + money

Here are your numbers, I'd say the odds are a bit more than coin flip my friend!

SEA VS: 1st quarter
NO 0-7
STL 0-3
ARI 0-0
NO 0-17
MIN 3-10
TB 0-0
TEN 3-0
JAC 0-7
SF 0-0

DIV Playoffs, NO 0-6

Seahawks at home 1st quarter vs opponents:
43-6, only the titans out scored SEATTLE at home after 1st quarter.
Seahawks led after 1st quarter in 6/10 home games this year, 1 losing, 3 draws

I like my chances even better in the playoffs, and, especially in the 1st qtr

i hear you that Seattles offense has been limping bye, even more important for them to get out to an early strike.

There is always a chance of losing any bet, but you can't say this is a coin flip!

SEA -1/2 1st Q is my largest play until the TOOTER TOOTS his play at the last minute.

MY BETS SO FAR:
SF +3.5
SEA ML
DEN ML
SF ML & NE ML small money for Huge profit PARLEY.

MY OTHER STRONGEST PLAY :

TEASER SF+9.5 & SF/SEA UNDER 45

My strategy, I am playing on SF to cover, if they don't, I can still get a proportion of my money back, if I am right though I stand to make a big profit.

Also considering a round robin play of SF/SEA UNDER 39, SEA ML, DEN ML, NE/DEN UNDER