Ne over 25.5

[Enifrica]

NE OVER 25.5 seems like a fairly solid play regardless of the outcome of the game. Their defense won't play a factor in them scoring, and the broncos don't have anything spectacular stopping the same mix of run, pass, and play action that NE brought to the colts game.

NE scored over 25.5 in 5 of their last 7 games, the two 20 point games being Carolina and Miami.
NE scored over 30 in their last three games against Denver
Harris, a key coverage man for Denver, will not play on Sunday

Am I missing something here, or does this seem pretty scripted?

[inTomWeTrust]

just keep SCREAMING AT THE TOP OF YOUR LUNGS TOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOT TOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOT!@!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!

[RickyRoma]

Looks like a good play but with so many ppl on the over, it could be a trap

[inTomWeTrust]

we just trust in a STEAM ENGINE to the bank

[Enifrica]

Looks like a good play but with so many ppl on the over, it could be a trap

Well at the moment this gives an edge above the over of 55. They assume Denver is going to put up 29.5 of the 55 points, when in reality, you have a lot more wiggle room with NE on the over because of their lower expected contribution