My prop bets for SF/SEA game. High confidence.

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  • jaykarrels
    SBR High Roller
    • 08-28-13
    • 120
    #1
    My prop bets for SF/SEA game. High confidence.
    I've been cashing in on the under for both Russel Wilson and Colin Kaepernick in the yards and completions categories. Does anyone else think that these are going to be great ones to go for this weekend? I am thinking the props will both will be around 15-17 completions and just over 200 yards.

    For reference:

    Wilson last 5 games:

    completions 9, 15, 11, 18, 15 (against SF) average = 13.6
    yards 103, 172, 108, 206, 199 (against SF) average = 157.6

    Kaep last 6 games:

    completions 15, 16, 21, 13, 19, 15 (against Seattle) average = 16.5
    yards 196, 227, 310, 197, 203, 175 (against Seattle) average = 218

    I see both QB's getting about 15 completions and 180-220 yards. Whoever loses the game should have slightly better numbers. I would also bet Wilson doesn't rush that much, same with Kaep.

    ALSO, I am betting BIG money on first play of the game being a run. It seems this is easy money as it always cashes out, and I don't see this week being any different. Those are my picks for the week. Also would bet on Boldin getting more than 5 catches or whatever that number will be (depending if Crabtree plays or not).
    Tags: None
    • jaykarrels
      SBR High Roller
      • 08-28-13
      • 120
      #2
      Looks like total passing yards for Wilson is 200, and Kaep is 190. I am pounding Wilson's 200. He has only gone over 200 passing yards once in the last five games.
        Comment
        • Parligod
          SBR Sharp
          • 09-28-09
          • 403
          #3
          I'm not as good at Prop bets on individuals unless something stands out for me but I like reading up on stats like the ones you laid out. The game should be a grind but yeah if one falls behind the other team may start passing more and taking shots late-game. This will probably be SF taking the shots but who knows. Kaep is the big x factor this game; he has solid numbers post-season but bad numbers when he plays in Seattle.
            Comment
            • z-doggie
              SBR MVP
              • 01-09-14
              • 1014
              #4
              somebody else said the niners are pretty sure to be the first ones to take a time out.
                Comment
                • jaykarrels
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 08-28-13
                  • 120
                  #5
                  Yeah because Kaep is TERRIBLE with clock management. They use so many time outs in the first and third quarters!!
                    Comment
                    • djmano
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 04-30-12
                      • 209
                      #6
                      i think @ -150 SF to use first timeout is still a great bet
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