INTELLECTUAL MASTERMIND: NFC Ship Betting Analysis and Pick

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  • trobin31
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-09-14
    • 9854

    #1
    INTELLECTUAL MASTERMIND: NFC Ship Betting Analysis and Pick
    Looking to take SEATTLE - ??? Pts 1ST QUARTER, gotta be a mortal lock: just hoping to get it around -3 and less than -200.


    why?


    A. Seattle always comes out swinging, 1988 Mike Tyson style, and the joint is always rattling: so expect early lead by Seahawks
    B. NINERS superior offense could be the difference between the two teams even before halftime so giving them points anytime after the first quarter makes me nervous.

    If you see any flaws in this plan and/or have recommendations(especially for parlay/teaser) please do tell.
  • trobin31
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-09-14
    • 9854

    #2
    My early bets:

    NINERS +3.5: 3UNITS: NINERS are clearly a superior team, arguably defensively and unquestionably Offensively. How do the Seahawks win if they can't run the ball, which NINERS will stop the run regardless. Will Russell Wilson be able to complete mid to deep range passes at rate he hasn't been asked to do all year? Without turning the ball over? i have't seen him do it yet, doesn't mean he can't though.

    Teaser: NINERS+9.5, UNDER 45: 6UNITS


    NINERS & PATS ML Parlay: Low risk==> huge reward 3units==>+18UNITS
    Sounds like fool's gold, but dam sure doesn't seem too far fetched when you think that Ravens and NINERS both covered last year!

    ****Seattle 1st Q line**** not available yet; likely 5units, considering 10units as this is my highly regarded pick for next weekend.


    Broncos ML: 3UNITS wait for Live line movement and better value if Broncos fall behind early.

    Consider Seattles ML 3UNITS if behind at halftime, where-in lies good value.

    SO, you see, I have attempted to cash in with parlays + teasers on my fav picks, while planning on buying insurance in case the wheels fall off late!
    Comment
    • inTomWeTrust
      SBR MVP
      • 10-20-13
      • 1763

      #3
      you must TRUST IN A STEAM ENGINE
      Comment
      • trobin31
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 01-09-14
        • 9854

        #4
        Originally posted by inTomWeTrust
        you must TRUST IN A STEAM ENGINE
        I trust Tom above all else!
        Comment
        • WWCD
          SBR MVP
          • 11-22-13
          • 1957

          #5
          Originally posted by trobin31
          NINERS & PATS ML Parlay: Low risk==> huge reward 3units==>+18UNITS
          My book has a prop of Super Bowl matchup: Pats vs Niners = 6/1 odds.
          Comment
          • agendaman
            SBR MVP
            • 12-01-11
            • 3735

            #6
            as i previously posted trains dont run on steam any more n.e.-49rs ml book it
            Comment
            • Parligod
              SBR Sharp
              • 09-28-09
              • 403

              #7
              Originally posted by WWCD
              My book has a prop of Super Bowl matchup: Pats vs Niners = 6/1 odds.

              Bad odds IMO. Trobin I love the Teaser - my favorite pick as well.
              Comment
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