Last Leg of 2 Big Teasers - Need Hedging Advice

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  • Parligod
    SBR Sharp
    • 09-28-09
    • 403

    #1
    Last Leg of 2 Big Teasers - Need Hedging Advice
    I placed 2 big plays this morning and both include tomorrow's 49ers/Panthers game as the last leg. I've read/been told in the past that if you're about to hit solid teasers or parlays then it's generally best to simply hedge to ensure you win something. That said - I'd love to know thoughts on what to hedge/how much given what I have going tomorrow:

    3-Team-Teaser, Stand to Win $500+:
    Seattle -2 (WIN)
    New England -1.5 (WIN)
    San Francisco +3 (PENDING)

    Teaser 6-Team-Teaser, Stand to Win ~$1000:
    - NE -1.5 (WIN)
    Car +9 (PENDING)
    NO +14 (WIN)
    NO/Sea UNDER 51 (WIN)
    Ind/NE OVER 45 (WIN)
    SF/CAR UNDER 47 (PENDING)

    Thanks in advance for tips.
  • Jikos
    SBR MVP
    • 04-28-13
    • 1663

    #2
    Parlay Carolina ML and over
    Comment
    • Husker36
      SBR MVP
      • 12-02-08
      • 3846

      #3
      Here is my opinion...... First of all.... I think the UNDER 47 is a lock. I guess if you want to bet ANYTHING bet $220 on Over 41 (or whatever your line is). You already have both sides.... SF and Carolina so you know for sure one of those 2 will hit. (very possible both) If you bet the OVER 41 you might hit that AND UNDER 47 which would be double sweet.
      Comment
      • Jikos
        SBR MVP
        • 04-28-13
        • 1663

        #4
        I would parlay a small amount on Carolina and the over to have something to entertain me and relieve a possible disaster, and then if I didn't like my bets sizes, hedge off an amount that would make me comfortable with my bets, with a middle. Like above said that total range 42-46 is not a long shot so I would definitely hedge about half of my bet on that if I was going to hedge. Idk how a teaser got SF to only +3 though there isn't much you can do about that. If you're comfortable with the size of the bets though, the best possible thing, and most profitable thing you can do in this spot, is to let them both ride. You got it in good, you have SF at +3 for I assume (-110) or (-120) and you have u47 at the same price. Those are good spots to be in.

        EdIt: Whoops, I just saw that they're 3 and 6 team teasers. In that case If you're looking to eliminate risk then you can parlay against the teasers to cover the risk or a part of it. However the most +EV thing to do here is to let them ride.
        Comment
        • Parligod
          SBR Sharp
          • 09-28-09
          • 403

          #5
          Thanks for feedback guys much appreciated.
          Comment
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