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Indy 3.5 vs kc 44
Cincy 7 vs sd 45
san fran 4 vs GB 49
n.orleans 1.5 vs PHA 56
What are your numbers?
Renegades
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-11
5290
#2
Indy will be less than a fg
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indio
SBR Wise Guy
06-03-11
753
#3
Originally posted by Renegades
Indy will be less than a fg
I'm quite positive they'll be at least 3, but we'll see.
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meader99
SBR MVP
10-30-10
4223
#4
Originally posted by indio
What are these going to be? My projection:
Indy 3.5 vs kc 44
Cincy 7 vs sd 45
san fran 4 vs GB 49
n.orleans 1.5 vs PHA 56
What are your numbers?
Can't see SF as a 4 point favorite. They were only 4 point faves in the opener at SF.
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indio
SBR Wise Guy
06-03-11
753
#5
Originally posted by meader99
Can't see SF as a 4 point favorite. They were only 4 point faves in the opener at SF.
Not trying to be mean, but if you think a line from week 1 actually has any meaning for a January game, perhaps you shouldn't be betting too much on sports. And just for the record, they were laying a solid 5 in that game, even 6 at a few places.
Atlanta was favored over New England in September too, Houston was a 4.5 favorite vs San Diego in week 1, do you think that would matter if those games were played tomorrow? Do you think you could get New England plus points vs Atlanta, or San Diego + 4.5 vs Houston if they played next week?
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JerseyRobby
SBR MVP
12-14-11
1494
#6
Lines out on 5 Dimes
Ind -3
Bengals -7 1/2
49ers/GB PK
No over unders yet
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indio
SBR Wise Guy
06-03-11
753
#7
Originally posted by JerseyRobby
Lines out on 5 Dimes
Ind -3
Bengals -7 1/2
49ers/GB PK
No over unders yet
Yeah, I saw those. That GB/SF line is as bad as some as their college bowl openers. Wont take them long to make SF a favorite.
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meader99
SBR MVP
10-30-10
4223
#8
Originally posted by indio
Not trying to be mean, but if you think a line from week 1 actually has any meaning for a January game, perhaps you shouldn't be betting too much on sports. And just for the record, they were laying a solid 5 in that game, even 6 at a few places.
Atlanta was favored over New England in September too, Houston was a 4.5 favorite vs San Diego in week 1, do you think that would matter if those games were played tomorrow? Do you think you could get New England plus points vs Atlanta, or San Diego + 4.5 vs Houston if they played next week?
Don't much care if you're trying to be mean or not....Looks like you were only 4 points off of your projection.
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indio
SBR Wise Guy
06-03-11
753
#9
Originally posted by meader99
Don't much care if you're trying to be mean or not....Looks like you were only 4 points off of your projection.
I doubt it. San Fran will be at least a 3 point favorite (probably 3.5) by game time guaranteed, and might even be 3 by tomorrow. Theyve already become favorites, and 5 Dimes openers are not very strong.
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indio
SBR Wise Guy
06-03-11
753
#10
Originally posted by indio
I doubt it. San Fran will be at least a 3 point favorite (probably 3.5) by game time guaranteed, and might even be 3 by tomorrow. Theyve already become favorites, and 5 Dimes openers are not very strong.
San Fran is already a 2 point favorite at Pinny. That took all of 10 minutes LOL.
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meader99
SBR MVP
10-30-10
4223
#11
Originally posted by indio
I doubt it. San Fran will be at least a 3 point favorite (probably 3.5) by game time guaranteed, and might even be 3 by tomorrow. Theyve already become favorites, and 5 Dimes openers are not very strong.
Funny. You tell me I shouldn't be betting, even though I was clearly right here. What I know is what HFA is worth and that teams like the Packers, Cowboys, Yankees, Duke and UNC basketball (to name a few) always have inflated lines. Seems you should bet the ranch since you are getting 4 points of value.
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indio
SBR Wise Guy
06-03-11
753
#12
Originally posted by meader99
Funny. You tell me I shouldn't be betting, even though I was clearly right here. What I know is what HFA is worth and that teams like the Packers, Cowboys, Yankees, Duke and UNC basketball (to name a few) always have inflated lines. Seems you should bet the ranch since you are getting 4 points of value.
You were right? The line is already SF -2 and going up. Trust me , SF will be at least a 3 point favorite when this game goes off. All this did was to say that my openers were better than 5 dimes, which isn't unusual.
And your rationale is a lot different here than it was earlier. Here, its an inflated HFA for GB, earlier, it was because of the week 1 line, which is a stupid reason. At least an inflated HFA and Rogers factor makes sense, as opposed to a week 1 line.
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meader99
SBR MVP
10-30-10
4223
#13
Originally posted by indio
You were right? The line is already SF -2 and going up. Trust me , SF will be at least a 3 point favorite when this game goes off. All this did was to say that my openers were better than 5 dimes, which isn't unusual.
And your rationale is a lot different here than it was earlier. Here, its an inflated HFA for GB, earlier, it was because of the week 1 line, which is a stupid reason. At least an inflated HFA and Rogers factor makes sense, as opposed to a week 1 line.
The 1st game was in SF and opened at 4. This game is in GB and opened at 0. You thought it would be 4. So yeah, I was right.
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indio
SBR Wise Guy
06-03-11
753
#14
Originally posted by meader99
The 1st game was in SF and opened at 4. This game is in GB and opened at 0. You thought it would be 4. So yeah, I was right.
No, I said the LINE would be 4, which it might be (more likely 3). 5 Dimes openers are meaningless (They opened Michigan as a favorite vs Kansas St.) Where did I say what it would open at? I said what the line would be, which often is different than an opener.
My post was what would the line be, not what a weak opener was, which by the way, lasted all of 5 minutes. San Fran is a 2.5 favorite at Pinny right now, and the line has been out less than an hour, and only taking small size wagers.
You're not too bright, are you son?
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Renegades
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-11
5290
#15
Indy -2.5 at 5 dimes. KC is winning this game. I'll be on it.